If the Chiefs do end up with the # 1 pick..

[Rain Man]

Hall of Fame quarterbacks who were active in 1980 or later, and their draft round:

Troy Aikman - 1st round
Terry Bradshaw - 1st round
John Elway (despite salary cap cheating) - 1st round (by the Colts)
Dan Fouts - 3rd round
Bob Griese - 1st round
Jim Kelly - 1st round
Dan Marino - 1st round
Joe Montana - 3rd round
Warren Moon - Undrafted (racists!)
Steve Young - 1st round (supplemental draft)

Unless you're really lucky or are willing to buck apartheid, you pretty much need to take the 1st round gamble to get a Hall of Fame quarterback.

And yeah, there are busts in the first round, too. There are busts at every position, though. Life is one big gamble.