Chiefs vs. Bills discussion thread...

[NJChiefsFan]

Originally Posted by feldspar

Dunno. I usually don't wager on Bills either way, but I'm getting 6.5 points. I think that'll cover. I also have the Colts +8.5 against the Texans, and the Patriots -7.5 against the Dolphins. It's a parlay. If all three cover the spread, I win $110 on a $20 bet. I'll lay down bigger bets once it becomes clearer who is who.

Problem I have with Parlays on the NFL is that its just that, the NFL. You could lay out 50 pages of why those 3 bets make sense. I just don't like my money depending on 3 NFL games turning out like they should. Even with Parlay odds, I wouldn't be comfortable with that.

[feldspar]

Originally Posted by NJChiefsFan

Problem I have with Parlays on the NFL is that its just that, the NFL. You could lay out 50 pages of why those 3 bets make sense. I just don't like my money depending on 3 NFL games turning out like they should. Even with Parlay odds, I wouldn't be comfortable with that.

Try a six-team parlay. Now that's tough. I've hit those before...gotta get lucky to do that no matter who you are. The odds are 500-1. I do a thing every week where I bet 15 games against the spread, college and pros. It costs $5, and you win $100,000 if you guess them all right. Pick 20 teams right, and you get a million dollars. Yeah, it's a waste of $5, but so is buying lotto tickets. To me, I'm paying $5 to be entertained.

I like to bet, though. Makes it more interesting. Sometimes I'll do a teaser card, where you pick against the spread, only points are added to the spread, so the odds go down and so do your winnings. Last year I hit on a 7-teamer ties win teaser card, but all my teams covered the regular spread. In other words, I didn't need the extra 5-6 points...so if I would have filled out a parlay card with the same picks, I would have had $4000 instead of $400.

Money-lines are fun, where you get a certain amount of points depending on who you pick straight-up - picking the Colts and Vikings this week would drive the price way up, but, on the other hand, picking the Vikings would be stupid probably.

Sometimes I'll bet off the board, just one team against the spread. That's probably the best way to do it. The problem with that is you have to wager more to win any kind of money.

I'm also in two football pools, where I could win REALLY big money every week and even more than that at the end of the year. Only $25 to sign up for the whole year in each. I'm by no means a degenerate gambler, but I do have fun with it, and I come out ahead in the long run mostly.