Chiefs Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite? - Page 12

**Rain Man** · 11-13-2013, 12:54 PM

Maybe it's discussed in a thread somewhere, but I didn't see it and I like the limelight of having a thread with my name on it.

I figured the Broncos would be favored, but I would have expected 5 points or so. Not 8.5. They obviously know something about the officiating that's not public.

http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2013/1...read-favorites

The Denver Broncos will open Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs in Week 11 as an 8.5-point favorite, according to pregame.com.

It's at 8 and 9.5 in other places.

One big question that weighs into this is the health of Peyton Manning. Early signs are that he's going to be fine but an MRI is coming. That is the biggest thing remaining that could affect the line.

Last week I asked the guys over at Odds Shark what the line on the Chiefs-Broncos game would be. The official line wasn't up yet but our guy there polled two oddsmakers and they both said -6.5 for the Broncos. The difference between -6.5 and -8.5 is huge considering a lot of games end in a seven point difference. The Chargers lost to the Broncos by eight points last Sunday so KC would have to perform that well to have a shot at covering.

But we don't really care about covering. We care about the Chiefs winning. Their 9-0 record speaks for itself but oddsmakers clearly feel the Broncos are the better team here. Not that this should surprise anyone. We've known all along that folks think the Broncos are better. On Sunday night, we finally get to put this question to rest.

AussieChiefsFan · 11-14-2013, 12:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crossbow

What was the "line" for the Rams vs. Colts game? Was Indy supposed to stomp STL?

I think it was -10.

**007** · 11-14-2013, 01:11 AM

Didn't shock me at all opening up at 8.5. Personally I like the Chiefs being the underdog.

beach tribe · 11-14-2013, 02:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sannyasi

Denver has a much better QB than the Chiefs do.

Fixed

beach tribe · 11-14-2013, 02:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crossbow

What was the "line" for the Rams vs. Colts game? Was Indy supposed to stomp STL?

I was actually more shocked by the Jags beating the Tits.

TOUCHDOWN!!! KC · 11-14-2013, 05:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philfree

Two weeks to prepare.
The "worst' 9-0 team ever.
8.5 points underdog.
A hobbled Peyton Manning.
I'm liking our chances more and more with each coming day.

You forgot one thing.
A stoned D~Bowe.

BlackHelicopters · 11-14-2013, 10:00 AM

From a gambler's perspective, it is an underdog league.

TEX · 11-14-2013, 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by theelusiveeightrop

From a gambler's perspective, it is an underdog league.

Exactly. Giving 8.5 is about right to get more action.

REDHOTGTO · 11-14-2013, 10:27 AM

get this ! in the middle of poker last night a loud mouth donkey fan spouted off "denvers gonna win by 35 points" !!!!!!!!! holy shit he set off a shit storm ! long story short he offered 5.00 to every man that wanted to take the bet, i think 12 of our hands shot up immediatley, hope he pays us off next week.

Mile High Mania · 11-14-2013, 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by REDHOTGTO

get this ! in the middle of poker last night a loud mouth donkey fan spouted off "denvers gonna win by 35 points" !!!!!!!!! holy shit he set off a shit storm ! long story short he offered 5.00 to every man that wanted to take the bet, i think 12 of our hands shot up immediatley, hope he pays us off next week.

Alcohol induced most likely, that or he just doesn't watch games.

MagicHef · 11-14-2013, 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by morphius

Special Teams is at best a push. We have given up punt blocks, they haven't. They edge us out on AVG return for both punts and KO, they lead the league in touch backs, have 2 TD returns to our 1...

We also have a punt block for a TD, making it 3 total special teams TDs to 1 for the Chiefs.

I don't understand how it could even be a push.

Mile High Mania · 11-14-2013, 10:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MagicHef

We also have a punt block for a TD, making it 3 total special teams TDs to 1 for the Chiefs.

I don't understand how it could even be a push.

Yeah, not really a push at all.

View Poll Results: Before reading this, what point spread would you have guessed?
Virtuous Chiefs by 7+	8	5.88%
Virtuous Chiefs by 5 to 6.5	2	1.47%
Virtuous Chiefs by 3 to 4.5	13	9.56%
Virtuous Chiefs by 0.5 to 2.5	1	0.74%
Push	4	2.94%
Cheating Broncos by 0.5 to 2.5	1	0.74%
Cheating Broncos by 3 to 4.5	26	19.12%
Cheating Broncos by 5 to 6.5	29	21.32%
Cheating Broncos by 7+	49	36.03%
I don't deal with math and probabilities. I hire people for that.	3	2.21%
Voters: 136. You may not vote on this poll

11-13-2013, 12:54 PM
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $2938491 VARSITY	Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite? Maybe it's discussed in a thread somewhere, but I didn't see it and I like the limelight of having a thread with my name on it. I figured the Broncos would be favored, but I would have expected 5 points or so. Not 8.5. They obviously know something about the officiating that's not public. http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2013/1...read-favorites The Denver Broncos will open Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs in Week 11 as an 8.5-point favorite, according to pregame.com. It's at 8 and 9.5 in other places. One big question that weighs into this is the health of Peyton Manning. Early signs are that he's going to be fine but an MRI is coming. That is the biggest thing remaining that could affect the line. Last week I asked the guys over at Odds Shark what the line on the Chiefs-Broncos game would be. The official line wasn't up yet but our guy there polled two oddsmakers and they both said -6.5 for the Broncos. The difference between -6.5 and -8.5 is huge considering a lot of games end in a seven point difference. The Chargers lost to the Broncos by eight points last Sunday so KC would have to perform that well to have a shot at covering. But we don't really care about covering. We care about the Chiefs winning. Their 9-0 record speaks for itself but oddsmakers clearly feel the Broncos are the better team here. Not that this should surprise anyone. We've known all along that folks think the Broncos are better. On Sunday night, we finally get to put this question to rest.
Posts: 141,719

11-14-2013, 01:11 AM	#167
007 Shaken. Not stirred. Join Date: Sep 2002 Location: London Casino cash: $13920126 VARSITY	Didn't shock me at all opening up at 8.5. Personally I like the Chiefs being the underdog. __________________ My dear girl, there are some things that just aren’t done. Such as, drinking Dom Perignon ’53 above the temperature of 38 degrees Fahrenheit. That’s just as bad as listening to the Beatles without earmuffs.
Posts: 65,558

11-14-2013, 10:00 AM	#171
BlackHelicopters Spiraling down the Drain Join Date: Oct 2012 Location: Dante's Ninth Circle Casino cash: $2370588	From a gambler's perspective, it is an underdog league. __________________ "We're both part of the same hypocrisy, Senator, but never think it applies to my family." "Fredo. You are my brother, and I love you. But never take sides against the Family again. Ever." 2019 Adopt a Chief - Travis Kelce #87
Posts: 31,739

11-14-2013, 10:27 AM	#173
REDHOTGTO Veteran Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: INDEPENDENCE,KANSAS Casino cash: $7248961	get this ! in the middle of poker last night a loud mouth donkey fan spouted off "denvers gonna win by 35 points" !!!!!!!!! holy shit he set off a shit storm ! long story short he offered 5.00 to every man that wanted to take the bet, i think 12 of our hands shot up immediatley, hope he pays us off next week.
Posts: 1,918