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Old 11-01-2014, 07:04 PM  
cdcox cdcox is offline
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2014 Playoff prediction thread
It looks like we will be in the thick of the playoff race for the rest of the season. So I'll keep an updated prognosis of our chances in this thread. These are made with my software, available here: http://nfl-forecast.com


After week 8:
Chances of winning the division: 10%
Chances of making the playoffs: 52%
Median number of projected wins: 9

After week 9:
Chances of winning the division: 19%
Chances of making the playoffs: 57%
Median number of projected wins: 10

After week 10:
Chances of winning the division: 17%
Chances of making the playoffs: 71%
Median number of projected wins: 10

After week 11:
Chances of winning the division: 36%
Chances of making the playoffs: 82%
Median number of projected wins: 11
Last edited by cdcox; 11-19-2014 at 07:36 PM..
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Old 11-19-2014, 01:02 PM   #166
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I want to play the Colts again. At Arrowhead.

We've got to win the division. We're a good road team, but winning 3 in a row on the road won't be fun.
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Old 11-19-2014, 01:03 PM   #167
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Now that I think about it, we match up EXTREMELY well with the Colts.

They've got no one in their front 7 and their best defender is a CB. Who gives a shit? We don't throw TDs to WRs anyway!

If we meet them in the playoffs healthy, we could have our best running day of the year.
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Old 11-19-2014, 01:09 PM   #168
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Originally Posted by ThaVirus View Post
I'm still hoping for the 1st or 2nd seed but if were saddled with the 5th then bring on those ****ing douchebag Colts.

You HAVE to think our guys would have a serious bone to pick with them.

Assuming we go into that game with a healthy Charles, Houston and Hali we'll ****ing throttle those entitled bitches.

Plus, they don't have Mathis. He sparked their comeback last season with that strip sack.
Kelce and DAT would give them fits too. I believe in our secondary this year far more than I ever did last year.
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Old 11-19-2014, 01:21 PM   #169
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We do eventually have to exorcise that Colts demon. Someway, somehow.
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Old 11-19-2014, 01:43 PM   #170
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Think im loving football outsiders right now. They have us at 4th highest chance to make playoffs. At 87.x percent. Ahead of denver. 47.4 to win the division. And 5th highest to win superbowl at 10%. They have devnver at first at 14%
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Old 11-19-2014, 07:40 PM   #171
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OP updated. Our generic win percentage took a big jump this week, increasing our mean number of wins to 11 and our chances to take the division to 36%. HFA officially stands at 22%.
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Old 11-19-2014, 07:41 PM   #172
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
OP updated. Our generic win percentage took a big jump this week, increasing our mean number of wins to 11 and our chances to take the division to 36%. HFA officially stands at 22%.
If we ebat Denver?
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Old 11-19-2014, 07:49 PM   #173
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Count Alex's Wins View Post
If we ebat Denver?
65% chance to win the division and 41% chance for HFA.
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Old 11-19-2014, 07:55 PM   #174
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65% chance to win the division and 41% chance for HFA.
I just went from 6 to midnight.
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Old 11-19-2014, 07:58 PM   #175
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Originally Posted by Count Alex's Wins View Post
If we ebat Denver?
We're gonna gonna ebat Denver all day long.
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