|
11-04-2010, 01:32 PM | |
Starter
Join Date: May 2005
Casino cash: $10004900
|
Playoff Odds according to footballoutsiders.com
I just posted this on the Jets site (my team for those that don't know), thought you guys might like to see what the predictions/simulations are for KC
Compiled by Mike Harris The playoff odds report plays out the season 10,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on an equation which considers the current Weighted DVOA ratings of the two teams as well as home-field advantage. (DVOA ratings are explained here.) Mean Wins is the average number of wins for this team over the 10,000 simulations. Odds are given for winning each playoff seed, as well as for winning the division (DIV), earning a bye week (BYE), or winning a wild card (WC). TOT represents odds of making the playoffs in any fashion. Code:
AFC West Team Rec WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE KC 5-2 29.2% 11.4 19.1% 24.9% 23.2% 25.5% 0.5% 1.0% 92.7% 44.0% 1.5% 94.2% 0.4% SD 3-5 17.0% 8.0 0.0% 0.6% 1.4% 2.9% 1.8% 7.3% 4.9% 0.7% 9.1% 14.0% 4.0% OAK 4-4 -9.1% 7.0 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 1.6% 2.3% 0.2% 1.9% 4.2% 2.3% DEN 2-6 -24.2% 4.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% -0.3% Playoff Scenarios This report lists the odds of each team * Reaching the Conference Championship Game * Winning the Conference Championship Game * Winning the Super Bowl Code:
Conf App Conf Win SB Win NYG 50.3% 30.6% 16.0% KC 43.1% 23.6% 13.1% NE 41.1% 22.1% 12.0% PIT 36.6% 19.4% 10.4% PHI 32.7% 18.8% 10.3% ATL 46.0% 22.5% 9.6% GB 30.7% 14.4% 6.5% TEN 18.3% 8.8% 5.0% IND 17.2% 7.8% 3.8% NYJ 17.7% 8.0% 3.7% NO 17.7% 7.2% 2.8% BAL 14.2% 5.8% 2.6% MIA 5.7% 2.4% 1.2% TB 6.8% 2.0% 0.7% SEA 6.6% 1.9% 0.6% SD 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% HOU 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% SF 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% WAS 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% CHI 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% STL 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% MIN 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% DET 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% OAK 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% ARI 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% JAC 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% CLE 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% CIN 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% |
Posts: 331
|
11-04-2010, 01:52 PM | #16 | ||
Mindful Taoist German
Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $7491662
|
__________________
Quote:
Quote:
|
||
Posts: 74,925
|
11-04-2010, 01:52 PM | #17 | |
MVP
Join Date: Mar 2009
Casino cash: $8095299
|
Quote:
please explain. |
|
Posts: 7,893
|
11-04-2010, 01:54 PM | #18 | |
Bolly 'wood'
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Gardner,KS
Casino cash: $10004900
|
Apparently, he (or she) doesn't feel further explanation will help...
__________________
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 630
|
11-04-2010, 01:54 PM | #19 |
The man you could post like.
Join Date: Oct 2010
Casino cash: $979655
|
He's reading that from the chart, you ignorant ****nut..... Talking about us being homers, when your dumb-ass is on a Chiefs Board hoping to flame or start an argument. OF COURSE we are going to assume that the Chiefs will make it to the Super Bowl, we are Chiefs FANS!!! Please go and find a board for Raider fans and you can get a boner about McFadden padding his stats against the 32nd and 27th run defenses in the league.
|
Posts: 39,104
|
11-04-2010, 01:57 PM | #20 |
SNAP THE ****ING BALL!!!
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: KCMO
Casino cash: $2326946
|
It says right there that according to these stats we are the second most liekly team to win the Superbowl you dumbass. I know you're a worthless troll but at least read the ****ing OP.
|
Posts: 11,554
|
11-04-2010, 01:58 PM | #21 | ||
Mindful Taoist German
Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $7491662
|
Hold up there sport.
If we have a LOSING record from here on out we finish 9-7. Honestly, that's the best any team in the AFCW (outside of KC) can hope for right now. So how, exactly, are we not "playoff caliber?"
__________________
Quote:
Quote:
|
||
Posts: 74,925
|
11-04-2010, 01:59 PM | #22 | |
MFIC
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Tromsų, Norway
Casino cash: $3799219
|
Quote:
The Chargers offense is a juggernaut and their 'D' is in top form. You guys are doomed but thanks for coming out. |
|
Posts: 7,771
|
11-04-2010, 02:00 PM | #23 | |||
Mindful Taoist German
Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $7491662
|
Quote:
Being that both the Chiefs and Raiders have managed to emasculate them only serves to give us hope for the postseason...
__________________
Quote:
Quote:
|
|||
Posts: 74,925
|
11-04-2010, 02:01 PM | #24 |
The man you could post like.
Join Date: Oct 2010
Casino cash: $979655
|
GL with catching up to our record then, homeslice. Past history definitely suggest's that they can do it.
|
Posts: 39,104
|
11-04-2010, 02:02 PM | #25 | |
Bob Carr is a raging douche
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Not Oakland
Casino cash: $10004900
|
Quote:
Hilarious that my behavior is "clowish" yet I've been told to die NUMEROUS times since being here when I was still being cordial w/ the board as well as people wishing my children were stillborn. So I will politely say "**** off" to you much like that fat cow seems to be doing in your pic. |
|
Posts: 494
|
11-04-2010, 02:02 PM | #26 |
SNAP THE ****ING BALL!!!
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: KCMO
Casino cash: $2326946
|
Dude. Once again. It was a reference to the OP which stated they are the most likely team to rep the AFC in the superbowl and the second most likely to win it.
|
Posts: 11,554
|
11-04-2010, 02:02 PM | #27 |
MFIC
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Tromsų, Norway
Casino cash: $3799219
|
|
Posts: 7,771
|
11-04-2010, 02:03 PM | #28 | |
SNAP THE ****ING BALL!!!
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: KCMO
Casino cash: $2326946
|
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 11,554
|
11-04-2010, 02:03 PM | #29 |
MFIC
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Tromsų, Norway
Casino cash: $3799219
|
|
Posts: 7,771
|
11-04-2010, 02:04 PM | #30 |
Bob Carr is a raging douche
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Not Oakland
Casino cash: $10004900
|
Shocking the only person who gets it isn't a Chiefs fan. If I could rep, I would rep you for not being a ****ing moron like majority of the locals around here.
|
Posts: 494
|
|
|