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View Poll Results: Before reading this, what point spread would you have guessed? | |||
Virtuous Chiefs by 7+ | 8 | 5.88% | |
Virtuous Chiefs by 5 to 6.5 | 2 | 1.47% | |
Virtuous Chiefs by 3 to 4.5 | 13 | 9.56% | |
Virtuous Chiefs by 0.5 to 2.5 | 1 | 0.74% | |
Push | 4 | 2.94% | |
Cheating Broncos by 0.5 to 2.5 | 1 | 0.74% | |
Cheating Broncos by 3 to 4.5 | 26 | 19.12% | |
Cheating Broncos by 5 to 6.5 | 29 | 21.32% | |
Cheating Broncos by 7+ | 49 | 36.03% | |
I don't deal with math and probabilities. I hire people for that. | 3 | 2.21% | |
Voters: 136. You may not vote on this poll |
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11-13-2013, 12:54 PM | |
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Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite?
Maybe it's discussed in a thread somewhere, but I didn't see it and I like the limelight of having a thread with my name on it.
I figured the Broncos would be favored, but I would have expected 5 points or so. Not 8.5. They obviously know something about the officiating that's not public. http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2013/1...read-favorites The Denver Broncos will open Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs in Week 11 as an 8.5-point favorite, according to pregame.com. It's at 8 and 9.5 in other places. One big question that weighs into this is the health of Peyton Manning. Early signs are that he's going to be fine but an MRI is coming. That is the biggest thing remaining that could affect the line. Last week I asked the guys over at Odds Shark what the line on the Chiefs-Broncos game would be. The official line wasn't up yet but our guy there polled two oddsmakers and they both said -6.5 for the Broncos. The difference between -6.5 and -8.5 is huge considering a lot of games end in a seven point difference. The Chargers lost to the Broncos by eight points last Sunday so KC would have to perform that well to have a shot at covering. But we don't really care about covering. We care about the Chiefs winning. Their 9-0 record speaks for itself but oddsmakers clearly feel the Broncos are the better team here. Not that this should surprise anyone. We've known all along that folks think the Broncos are better. On Sunday night, we finally get to put this question to rest. |
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11-13-2013, 01:18 PM | #16 |
a haw haw haw
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You don't have to convince me,I've always believed the NFL is fixed when it comes to the spread.
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11-13-2013, 01:19 PM | #17 |
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11-13-2013, 01:19 PM | #18 |
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11-13-2013, 01:21 PM | #19 |
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Except objectively judging whether a team is better than another is quite a bit more complex than looking at a team's overall record. Hence the reason Alabama is perceived to be better than Boise State every year in college football despite similar records.
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11-13-2013, 01:22 PM | #20 |
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I agree and this game looks perfect for that as the national crowd has been hearing KC has played nobody yada yada yada all season long.I'm on two other non-chiefs football boards and very very few are even giving KC a chance to stay in the game.
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11-13-2013, 01:24 PM | #21 |
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11-13-2013, 01:25 PM | #22 |
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Just hope the Denver catering group isn't serving brownies for dessert at the pre-game meal
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11-13-2013, 01:27 PM | #23 |
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11-13-2013, 01:27 PM | #24 |
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Wow if Peyton wasn't gimping around during the final part of the sd game, it'd probably be 45
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11-13-2013, 01:31 PM | #25 |
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not surprising. chiefs are 3-6 afterall.
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11-13-2013, 01:40 PM | #26 |
#triggering
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Vegas looks at all sorts of stuff like how does a team do on the road compared to home. I showed the numbers in another thread, but just look at the results for yourself. Sure, KC is 9-0 and traveling to 8-1... but, that doesn't automatically mean the PS is going to be 3.
Hell, they could have started with 5.5 and many would complain. Again, I think few doubt the awesomeness of KC's defense... it's the offense that few believe in at this point and recent road games give validity to the concerns.
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11-13-2013, 01:41 PM | #27 |
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All I know is, if we're going to win this thing, we're going to need a lot more #14.
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11-13-2013, 01:45 PM | #28 |
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11-13-2013, 01:46 PM | #29 |
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11-13-2013, 01:48 PM | #30 | |
#triggering
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Quote:
So, yeah if the D/ST scores a few times, it's a whole new outlook... KC's offense has been rather bland on the road. Alex Smith last threw a TD in a road game at Jacksonville, week 1.
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