2014 Playoff prediction thread

[cdcox]

It looks like we will be in the thick of the playoff race for the rest of the season. So I'll keep an updated prognosis of our chances in this thread. These are made with my software, available here: http://nfl-forecast.com


After week 8:
Chances of winning the division: 10%
Chances of making the playoffs: 52%
Median number of projected wins: 9

After week 9:
Chances of winning the division: 19%
Chances of making the playoffs: 57%
Median number of projected wins: 10

After week 10:
Chances of winning the division: 17%
Chances of making the playoffs: 71%
Median number of projected wins: 10

After week 11:
Chances of winning the division: 36%
Chances of making the playoffs: 82%
Median number of projected wins: 11

[RealSNR]

Originally Posted by RunKC

Risk vs reward. Beating them in Indy would be amazing. I don't think we'd lose if we played there again this January.

Let's do baby steps.

Just get a playoff win. Period. Then try beating the Colts once or twice in regular seasons.

Then let's have another shot at them.

I have ****ing limits. I can probably handle another playoff loss, as long as it's not heartbreaking. But I CAN'T ****ing handle another shitbag loss to that shitbag team with their stupid idiot ****ing undeserved franchise QB getting lucky and seemingly willing fumbles balls back into their possession for TDs.

I'm not watching that playoff game if it's the Colts. I'm just not.

[BossChief]

Originally Posted by Direckshun

Scared is probably not the right word.

But you're not pessimistic about facing Brady/Belichek in their house during crunchtime after that pisspounding they're going to want to avenge?

Not at all.

I think our defense has enough firepower to really limit their offense being that our front 7 annihilated them the first time around and we should be better in the front 7 by the time the playoffs come around.

I also think our offense has enough playmakers to put points on the board regularly.

Potential playoff matchups I'd prefer:

1) Cincy
2) Pittsburgh
3) Patriots
4) Indy

[TimBone]

That Buffalo game next week is very important. That's one that they could easily lose on the road, and it's going to put them in a hole moving forward.

That game and the Seattle game at home are the two that interest me the most.

I sure hope that Tennessee game doesn't come back to haunt the Chiefs in the end.

[RunKC]

I agree, but I would put money on us. We have depth, we have a good secondary. We should be healthy.

I think if we played them in the playoffs tomorrow we'd anally rape them. You know this entire team wants a piece of them. Charles would go the **** off.

Lose again and I don't care. I won't expect a win. But win in Indy and I would feel like a boy with his first playboy.
I want that feeling so bad. I'm 26 ****ing years old and have never witnessed this team win in the postseason. I felt a glimpse of it for one half of football last year. Then I felt like a Derek Jeter victim who was told they have herpes.

We beat Indy and I'd freak out. If this team somehow impossibly went Royal and beat Luck, Brady and Manning to get the SB, I'd freak out like an African tribe getting a days worth or John Goodmans ****ing dinner.

[Direckshun]

Originally Posted by TimBone

That Buffalo game next week is very important. That's one that they could easily lose on the road, and it's going to put them in a hole moving forward.

That game and the Seattle game at home are the two that interest me the most.

I sure hope that Tennessee game doesn't come back to haunt the Chiefs in the end.

The Buffalo game, who knows, that could be for a playoff tiebreaker.

[Coogs]

Originally Posted by KChiefs1

Denver is going to be the 1st seed

Unless we win the West, then they would be wild card material,

[BossChief]

I hate to say it, but in think Buffalo gives us fits.

Their front 7 will give our OL trouble all day and their secondary has a lot of playmaking talent.

If we beat them it will be due to the defense forcing turnovers and scoring off them IMO.

[BigMeatballDave]

Originally Posted by BossChief

I hate to say it, but in think Buffalo gives us fits.

Their front 7 will give our OL trouble all day and their secondary has a lot of playmaking talent.

If we beat them it will be due to the defense forcing turnovers and scoring off them IMO.

Which is how we beat them last year.

[Direckshun]

We BARELY beat them last year.

This year they have a QB who won't shit his pants, and a better defense.

I still think we win that game. I know they have a good front seven, but nobody stops our run game. And I can't see Orton doing shit against us.

Who's running the ball for Buffalo right now? Serious question, I think Fred Jackson and Spiller are both out.

[RealSNR]

Originally Posted by Direckshun

We BARELY beat them last year.

This year they have a QB who won't shit his pants, and a better defense.

I still think we win that game. I know they have a good front seven, but nobody stops our run game. And I can't see Orton doing shit against us.

Who's running the ball for Buffalo right now? Serious question, I think Fred Jackson and Spiller are both out.

Anthony Dixon.

Yeah...

[Direckshun]

Originally Posted by SNR

Anthony Dixon.

Yeah...

Big mother****er.

Our DL eats big mother****ers for breakfast.

[RealSNR]

That's kind of funny to me. Frank Gore has NEVER had a backup to him who was good. NEVER.

In all his years as a starting RB, San Francisco has never found a decent guy to relieve some of those carries from Gore. Carlos Hyde is about as good as it gets, and he's still an unproven rookie.

That's just unheard of to me, that a RB could be in the league that long without a halfway decent or established backup.

[RealSNR]

Oh, and Bryce Brown. Forgot about him.

Brown's pretty good, but Buffalo hasn't been giving him the ball as much as they should. They're kind of being idiots.

[tk13]

Plus the fact that we never win in Buffalo. Last year's win broke a streak that was long.

[Easy 6]

Originally Posted by TimBone

That Buffalo game next week is very important. That's one that they could easily lose on the road, and it's going to put them in a hole moving forward.

That game and the Seattle game at home are the two that interest me the most.

I sure hope that Tennessee game doesn't come back to haunt the Chiefs in the end.

The sad thing about that Titans game is that your scenario is entirely possible, its going to be tight right down to the wire and that one game could be enough to sink us

With Buffalo, thats definitely a worrisome game... Orton has them looking like a pro football team again, just like I knew he would. The good news is that while he's always good for two touchdowns a game, he's also usually good for two picks.

Maybe we can turn one or both into 6.