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06-06-2013, 06:28 PM | #106 |
Perpetual Mediocrity
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06-06-2013, 06:28 PM | #107 |
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06-06-2013, 06:29 PM | #108 |
Perpetual Mediocrity
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Bickford was projected by most as a top 10-20 pick (not that these rankings matter). He's also a high price guy (asking for $3M), who may be difficult to sign which is why some thought he would fall further than what he did.
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06-06-2013, 06:29 PM | #109 |
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I think you are massively over-valuing MLB draft picks after the 3rd or 4th pick. They all fail at a spectacularly high rate. We passed up a guy who might have a 25-30% chance of being a good player, to hopefully pick up a few more 20%'ers during rounds when everyone else is drafting 10-15%'ers.
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06-06-2013, 06:32 PM | #110 | |
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06-06-2013, 06:32 PM | #111 |
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When is the Royals next pick? They better pick a guy with upside that has fallen like you said.
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06-06-2013, 06:36 PM | #112 |
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06-06-2013, 06:40 PM | #113 |
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I don't think people understand that the MLB draft is far different than the NFL draft. The economics of it are completely different. It's entirely possible Austin Meadows told the Royals he wouldn't sign with them, for example. I know I would if I was a high school prospect.
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06-06-2013, 06:43 PM | #114 | |
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06-06-2013, 06:43 PM | #115 |
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Royals will take lefty Sean Manea with their next pick. Highly rated guy with a slight injury concern, R's will be able to sign him with money saved. Don't know if that is the right play, but that's likely the plan.
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06-06-2013, 06:48 PM | #116 |
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06-06-2013, 06:50 PM | #117 |
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The slot value at #8 is $3.1MM. At #40, it is a bit under $1.5MM. In the 3rd round, slot values are all at about 750k or less.
It starts out high at $7.8MM for #1 overall but then it drops like a rock, after #20, the slot values are all under $2MM. If a late first-rounder wants 2.2 for example, most of the teams will have to say no and pass on drafting him. In the 3rd round, we could pay over $1MM, etc.
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06-06-2013, 06:55 PM | #118 |
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I drafted that guy in my dynasty league last year (yes, it's a very deep dynasty league). Very high ceiling supposedly, but he's gotten hurt and been less effective in the spring.
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06-06-2013, 06:57 PM | #119 |
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06-06-2013, 07:00 PM | #120 | ||
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