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Old 07-17-2012, 11:45 AM  
OnTheWarpath15 OnTheWarpath15 is offline
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How does Dwayne Bowe rank among the elite WR's?

Sorry, didn't want this getting overlooked in the other thread. Then again, people will probably ignore it anyway - I know some of you will appreciate this.


I keep seeing people say that Dwayne Bowe isn't an elite WR. So I decided to do some research to see how he matches up statistically over his 5 years in the league.

What I found, is that statistically, Bowe is the 10th best WR of the last 5 years.

I found 9 other WR's that either had better yardage totals, better TD numbers or both. He was 10th in yardage, tied for 6th in TD's.

Here's the list. (Yardage/TD's) Bolded players have fewer or same TD's as Bowe.


Larry Fitzgerald - 6480/49

Roddy White - 6422/42

Reggie Wayne - 6234/36

Wes Welker - 6105/31

Calvin Johnson - 5872/49

Andre Johnson - 5703/35

Greg Jennings - 5539/46

Steve Smith - 5353/29

Marques Colston - 5202/40

Dwayne Bowe - 4927/36


Personally, I think that's impressive on its own.

Especially when you consider the only guy on this list who is younger is Megatron. I'd be curious to see how he matches up to the same players during each of their first 5 seasons.

Anyway, when you compare Bowe's number's to the #1 yardage and #1 TD's - he's not nearly as far off as it seems.

It comes down to 19.41 yard a game, and .16 TD's per game.

Factor in that Bowe is missing something the other 9 have - solid QB play.

After looking at this, its hard for me to say Dwayne Bowe is NOT an elite WR, considering how his numbers match up to the "elite" and never having the benefit of decent QB play.

I'm pretty confident in saying that with solid QB play, Bowe would easily make up 19.41 yards and .16 TD's a game.

Like him or not, he's an elite WR - and has shown it over his 5 years in the league.

Dude deserved elite money.

Or, tl;dr - **** him.


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Old 07-20-2012, 12:37 PM   #1246
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I'd be willing to draft that QB at #8 overall, but not at #3 overall.
You can save, like, a million dollars a year doing it that way!
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Old 07-20-2012, 12:37 PM   #1247
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I'd pay bowe $4...but paying him $5 would make us Habitual Overspenders, and people would post pictures of Clark with the caption "Dan Snyder!"...

avoiding this matters more than retaining a #1 WR
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Old 07-20-2012, 12:39 PM   #1248
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So...you guys are just cool with overdrafting and overspending on every single limp dick who has ever played football? Is that going to facilitate a winning approach?

(Posted with emo rage as if Chiefs fans have any idea what a "winning approach" would look like, unless we're talking about Clark's bank account.)
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Old 07-20-2012, 12:49 PM   #1249
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So be mad at all the fans that go to the games. But what do you mean excuse the final product?

If fans have that much power, I guess those that are angry just aren't doing enough to change things, and should try harder.
I don't even think this is relevant anymore. I mentioned this few years ago (and some people scoffed at the notion) but it's clear that the NFL owners aren't concerned with the game day experience because the television contracts have made ticket buyers nearly irrelevant.

The NFL is preparing for free Wi-Fi in all of its stadiums come 2013 so that fans can watch replays on their mobile devices. Sunday Ticket is available on mobile devices and PS3. The Blackout Rules are slowly becoming softer and will disappear altogether in the coming years. New stadiums are being constructed as smaller venues: Instead of 80,000 seaters, 50 and 65 thousand seat stadiums are the trend.

It's virtually impossible for an NFL owner to lose money and with new TV contracts going into effect in 2014, the share of local money will become even more irrelevant. Soon, the fans won't have a say with their wallet.
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Old 07-20-2012, 12:58 PM   #1250
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Absolutely. And clearly, the Chiefs low balled him or he'd have a deal.
That's quite an assumption.
We don't know what he's asked for.
We don't know what has been offered.

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Should the Chiefs give Albert and Dorsey enormous deals that push out both Bowe and Carr? Not only does that seem unlikely, it wouldn't be in line with Pioli's M.O.
Albert for sure. Dorsey? Eh...

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So where does this cap savings end up? I'd suggest looking no further than Clark Hunt's wallet.
That's not as awful as it sounds, but I suppose it depends on how far apart the two sides are.

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I don't think that any reasonable person would suggest that Bowe be paid more than he's worth. Now sure, that "worth" is probably more to a receiver starved team like the Chiefs but I'm betting on the open market, teams like Denver, Baltimore, Indy, the Giants, Eagles, etc. would "overpay" him.
And that should inform the Chiefs FO?
The fact that someone else could potentially make a bad decision?

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I don't think that too many Chiefs fans expected Carr to get $10 million per on the open market. And I'm pretty sure they'd be shocked at Bowe's price on the open market as well.
I disagree. Quite a few people thought he'd fetch that kind of contract outside of Kansas City. That's the elephant in the room though. Sometimes a player is singularly focused on hitting the open market. Carr was. Perhaps Bowe is too?

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IMO, there was no reason for this to happen. Bowe should have been locked up so the team could move on to 2013 decisions like Albert, Dorsey and of course, a QB.
Hard to say with so many gaps in what we know.
I mean, given your own thoughts about what another organization might do to obtain Bowe...Is it possible that he wants out and has all along?
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:00 PM   #1251
DeezNutz DeezNutz is offline
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Sometimes a player is singularly focused on hitting the open market. Carr was.
Link?

Or is this the excuse for why it was OK for us to not to re-sign a very talented CB in his prime?
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:02 PM   #1252
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Link?
Not sure how to post a link to common sense.
I'll do some research though.
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:04 PM   #1253
DeezNutz DeezNutz is offline
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Not sure how to post a link to common sense.
I'll do some research though.
Once a player enters into his FA year, I'd say the desire for him to test the waters is probably pretty strong, which is exactly why an organization needs to demonstrate foresight at least one year out.

And common sense doesn't apply to how much Bowe is likely asking for? So many are ready to rest on "we don't know..." etc.
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:08 PM   #1254
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I still can't believe they didn't re-sign him. The Chiefs are a ****ing joke and Hunt is a cheapskate POS, toad, who's full of shit. The Hunts are penny-pinchin' misers, who would rather sit on their pile of money over having the best product possible. They can piss up a rope.
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:11 PM   #1255
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I don't think that any reasonable person would suggest that Bowe be paid more than he's worth. Now sure, that "worth" is probably more to a receiver starved team like the Chiefs but I'm betting on the open market, teams like Denver, Baltimore, Indy, the Giants, Eagles, etc. would "overpay" him.


The Giants have a WR who's going to play under the franchise tag so maybe they're not a good example.
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:12 PM   #1256
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:13 PM   #1257
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I don't think that any reasonable person would suggest that Bowe be paid more than he's worth. Now sure, that "worth" is probably more to a receiver starved team like the Chiefs but I'm betting on the open market, teams like Denver, Baltimore, Indy, the Giants, Eagles, etc. would "overpay" him.


The Giants have a WR who's going to play under the franchise tag so maybe they're not a good example.
You're probably right. I should have listed the Jets instead.

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Old 07-20-2012, 01:15 PM   #1258
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Once a player enters into his FA year, I'd say the desire for him to test the waters is probably pretty strong, which is exactly why an organization needs to demonstrate foresight at least one year out.

And common sense doesn't apply to how much Bowe is likely asking for? So many are ready to rest on "we don't know..." etc.
I think I have a pretty good idea of what he's asking for.
I'm gonna guess that there's $10m separating the sides.
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:20 PM   #1259
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I think I have a pretty good idea of what he's asking for.
I'm gonna guess that there's $10m separating the sides.
OK, so what do you think that number is?
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Old 07-20-2012, 01:24 PM   #1260
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I think I have a pretty good idea of what he's asking for.
I'm gonna guess that there's $10m separating the sides.
So, let's assume you're correct: $10 million dollar difference.

That's $2 million per season for the next five years. The Chiefs are currently $16 million under. They can afford it. And in 2014, the salary cap will increase by about $18 million per team.

With that knowledge, why wouldn't you pay Dwayne Bowe?
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