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Old 12-11-2012, 09:59 AM  
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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2013 Kansas City Royals Repository Thread

Proposed 2013 Slogan: Tigers: They're what's for dinner
Actual 2013 Slogan: Come to Play
A better, more accurate, or alternative slogan: All in, no panic, we promise.

Dayton Moore has pushed all his chips in and is riding on King/Jack suited, hoping it comes together, he gets some good luck, and he hits the nuts by the river card. There's potential, oh yes, there's potential. There's also risk.

At the midway point, Dayton is left counting on the river card. The flop and turn didn't help him, and he's looking at the Tigers holding a pair of Queens and the Indians holding a pair of 9s. His 2013 plan hasn't failed - yet - but the odds are not in his favor.

Burning questions updates below.

Burning Questions for 2013:

1) Will the improve rotation be improved enough? Does James Shields pitch like a fringe No. 1 away from Tampa Bay? Does Ervin Santana pitch to his highest upside in his walk year? Can Jeremy Guthrie build on his strong performance as a Royal in 2012? Can Wade Davis bring his new mentality- and velocity - back to the rotation?

Midseason check-in: Yes, the rotation is certainly improved enough. Shields has pitched like a fringe No. 1 and Santana is having his best season. Guthrie has horrible peripherals but has continued to perform well at his home park and eat innings on the road. Davis brought neither his kick-ass mentality or improved velocity back to the rotation and is in Luke Hochevar/Hiram Davies territory.

2) When will Luke Hochevar be shown the door?
Midseason check-in: It appears, never, at this point. Hochevar has been solid in non-leverage situations, though pretty much every time he has been used with men on base in an inning, it has been a disaster.

3) Does Hosmer bounce back?
Midseason check-in: It took some time, but Hosmer's performance from June 1 on is probably the most encouraging thing about the 2013 season so far.
4) Can Moustakas hit for a whole season like he did in the first half of 2012?
Midseason check-in: Nope. Moustakas was god-awful, then great for about 3 weeks, then god-awful again. He has been better since he started working with Brett and Grafol but still has a long way to go.
5) Who regresses?
Midseason check-in: Welp, Alicides Escobar is not a surprising name here (though Yost's stubborn insistence on hitting him second is ridiculous). Billy Butler is a surprise. He isn't having a terrible year - still contributing a lot to the offense - but he's not hitting for the average or power he has displayed over the past several years.
6) Who plays 2B?
Midseason check-in: A whole bunch of people, and not that great. Gio is at least getting a shot, though he once again is not doing much with it.
7) Can Jeff Francoeur be at least replacement level, rather than epic horrible level?
Midseason check-in: Hahahahahahahahahahaha
8) Will Dayton Moore survive to see 2014?
Midseason check-in: Outlook uncertain. Probably still around, unless the team completely tanks in the second half and he does something foolish. My guess - he sacrifices Ned Yost this offseason and gets one more shot with a new manager in 2014.
9) Will Danny Duffy come back healthy? And if he does, is he the same, better or worse?
Midseason check-in: Yes. Velocity looks the same, and it looks likely he is the same guy as before.
10) And the big one: Has KC added enough to run down the big-money Detroit Tigers?
Midseason check-in: Doesn't look like it, does it?

Last edited by duncan_idaho; 07-15-2013 at 10:01 AM..
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Old 07-02-2013, 09:33 AM   #6436
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I saw Schilling talking about verlander he said last year he threw 76% of his fastballs at 95 mph or higher. This year that number has dropped to 22%, meaning he isn't throwing as hard as he did before.
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Old 07-02-2013, 09:36 AM   #6437
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We need someone with some crazy mojo start tonight's game thread.

Doesn't SPChief have a pretty good W/L ratio?
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Old 07-02-2013, 09:40 AM   #6438
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Old 07-02-2013, 09:45 AM   #6439
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Originally Posted by CJizzles View Post
We need someone with some crazy mojo start tonight's game thread.

Doesn't SPChief have a pretty good W/L ratio?
I had a nice 4 game streak. I'm 4-1 for the year, but I don't know if that meets your qualifications for "crazy mojo"
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Old 07-02-2013, 09:46 AM   #6440
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And, FTR, when the topic of semi-shitty outfielders comes up, it often seems that Cain stands outside of these discussions, and he shouldn't. He has done little to separate himself meaningfully from the likes of Dyson and Lough.

Thus, when we trade a bunch of "pitching prospects" for Stanton, it will be a 3-for-all in the octagon of semi-worthlessness at the 'Lil K, the new home of the Frenchy Quarter. To commemorate, RF has been slightly sunk in comparison to the rest of the diamond.
Cain is on pace for about 3.0 WAR, despite the recent struggles. Obviously, he isn't going to reach that mark if he continues to hit like he did in June, but I was a little surprised. Must be a REALLY weak year for CFs offensively.

.270/.330/.400 is a good target for Cain. If he can provide that while playing the level of defense he does, he's a very valuable and cheap piece.

I don't think Miami is going to trade Stanton.
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:22 AM   #6441
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Cain is complete dog-shit at the plate. Has a 92 OPS+ and has struck out 3x as often as he's walked. His fielding stats are providing all his WAR. Looks like he's severely cut into Alex' fielding stats this year.


The other guy in that Greinke trade is OPS+ 70. Now you might be thinking "What's so bad with a SS having a 70 OPS?" Consider that is the exact same OPS George Kottaras has. And he's batting .143.
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:28 AM   #6442
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Baseball America reports the
Royals have signed 16-year-old Italian shortstop Marten Gasparini ($1.3M), dubbed the best Euro prospect ever.

Retweeted by Kansas City Star
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:28 AM   #6443
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David Lough currently has an OPS over .800. If he keeps that up -- which I seriously doubt he can -- he would be a very valuable player. If he keeps his OPS over .700, he's a tremendous upgrade over Jeff Francouer, and the price of a further upgrade (a legit .800+ OPS guy) is going to be quite high.

If I were DM and looking to trade starting pitchers for offense, I'd still be looking to acquire prospects rather than over-the-hill vets.
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:36 AM   #6444
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:38 AM   #6445
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Baseball America reports the
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Retweeted by Kansas City Star
Who was the best prospect ever before him?
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:42 AM   #6446
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Who was the best prospect ever before him?
Quick internet search brought this article up -

http://www.baseballamerica.com/inter...prospect-ever/


Marten Gasparini, 15, Might Be Europe’s Best Prospect Ever

May 20, 2013 by Ben Badler


International scouting directors spend hundreds of days every year in the Dominican Republic and Venezuela to evaluate baseball’s top international amateur prospects.

Over the past year, those top scouting officials have added a less traditional baseball country to their itineraries.

That’s because one of this year’s top international prospects is Marten Gasparini, a 15-year-old Italian shortstop who is expected to sign the biggest contract ever for a European amateur player. Gasparini, who turns 16 on May 24, is 6 feet, 175 pounds, hits from both sides of the plate and is an outstanding athlete with 65-70 speed on the 20-80 scouting scale.

Once he becomes eligible to sign when the 2013-14 international signing period opens on July 2, Gasparini will likely net a bonus north of $1 million. While Dodgers vice president of international scouting Bob Engle made the Mariners a leader in signing European prospects until he left in October and the Cubs have also shown interest, most sources believe the Royals are the frontrunners to sign Gasparini.

The last European prospect to captivate this much attention from major league teams was Max Kepler, a German outfielder who signed with the Twins in 2009 for a European-record $800,000 and entered 2013 as Minnesota’s No. 10 prospect. In Gasparini, some scouts believe they are watching the best European prospect they have ever seen.

Yet Gasparini isn’t just good for a European player—he’s one of the premier prospects in the entire international market.

“He’s a well-above-average athlete with really good agility and really good body control,” said one international scouting director. “It’s a good body on an athlete with tools. He brings a lot to the table. Even if he goes to center field, he profiles there at a premium position. The competition level in Europe is more like middle-of-the-road high school in the United States and he’s not facing the 92-94 mph some of the Dominicans face, but he hits in games. He’s a really interesting guy.”

Discovering The Game

Born to an Italian father and a mother of Jamaican descent who grew up in London, Gasparini speaks Italian and English. Growing up in the small northeastern Italian town of Alture in the Friuli region along the Slovenian border, Gasparini originally dabbled in other sports as a child. He had played soccer. He had tried his hand at martial arts.

Gasparini also happened to live close to a club baseball team in Cervignano, which is how he got his start in the sport. Then in May 2011, when he was just about to turn 14, Gasparini showed up to a tryout for the Italian Baseball Academy. Bill Holmberg, who up until a year ago had scouted for the Cubs, now works as the director of the Italian Baseball Academy and serves as the Italian national team’s pitching coach. He immediately recognized Gasparini’s potential.

“As soon as I saw him at 13,” Holmberg said, “I knew we had a chance to create a superior player if we could work with him for a couple years.”

Gasparini joined the academy in September 2011, moving nearly 300 miles away form home to live and train in Tirrenia, Italy.

“He was extremely raw in his actions at shortstop, and his swing wasn’t what it has become,” Holmberg said. “But from the beginning you could see he had bat speed, range and an above-average arm for his age (85 mph) at 13 from shortstop.”

At the Italian academy, Gasparini worked with infield instructor Pedro Jova, hitting instructor Marco Mazzieri, Gianni Natale, Armando Gutierrez, Daniele Santolupo and the rest of the academy coaching staff every day. By 14, he was already attracting the attention of major league scouts.

After a year in the academy, Gasparini went to Chihuahua, Mexico to play shortstop for Italy in the 15U World Championship, a tournament heavily attended by international scouting directors. While Italy went just 3-5 in the tournament, Gasparini shined, hitting .419/.514/.710 by going 13-for-31 with a double, four triples and six stolen bases in six tries.

Just a few days after the 11-day tournament ended, Gasparini was in Seoul, South Korea playing center field for Italy in the 18U World Championship. Gasparini struggled at the plate (2-for-17), but he was the second-youngest player in the tournament, facing players three years older than him.

Since those tournaments, Gasparini has only continued to improve and draw more top scouts from major league teams to Italy. Scouts highest on Gasparini believe he has the potential to hit at the top of the order, with gap power now that should improve as he adds strength to his frame.

“The thing I see when I watch Marten swing the bat is the bat speed,” Holmberg said. “I don’t think he will be a pure power guy, more of a leadoff guy or maybe a two-hole hitter. But I do think that he could eventually hit 20 or so home runs a year.”

If a team is willing to spend more than $1 million on Gasparini, it’s likely that organization will let him start his career at shortstop. He has good range up the middle, although making plays on balls hit to his right are more of a challenge because of his arm strength. Scouts give him a 40 to 50 arm on the 20-80 scale and have concerns about his throwing mechanics, which is why some think he might be a better fit in center field. Yet while some scouts last year thought he was a surefire center fielder, now those same evaluators believe it’s a coin flip whether he will have to change positions.

“His arm action is a short arm action with a little funk to it, so I’m not sure if you can project it enough to play the shortstop position,” said one scout. “But he’s athletic and he has really good actions for a kid coming from that area. You look at that kid and you can compare him to some of the really smooth actions coming out of the Dominican Republic and Venezuela.”

Holmberg is among those who believe Gasparini has a chance to stay at shortstop. The plan at the Italian academy was to leave him at shortstop until he forced his way off the position, but over the past year he has only improved his chances to stay there.

“The player who he reminds of most is Derek Jeter,” Holmberg said. “Now I realize those are some big shoes to fill and they are definitely different in their swings and some skills, but I think they are similar in their actions. I have seen Marten make some plays on (defense) that are more advanced than what should be the case considering the age on his identity card.”

Rare Talent

While Kepler was another athletic European prospect, he was 6-foot-4, 180 pounds when he signed and figured to settle into a corner outfield position, though he played mostly center field last year at Rookie-level Elizabethton. Gasparini isn’t as big as Kepler, but he has more speed and a better chance to stay at a premium position.

“I’ve never had another player in our system with his ability or athleticism,” Holmberg said. “I wish we had 10 of them every year—it sure would make my job easier. Seriously, I’ve coached a little bit in the States and have scouted for the Cubs in the past, and I have never had the pleasure to coach or to scout a player Marten’s age with similar tools to his. Some have been close, but no one who could be considered in the same sentence. We had Max Kepler from Germany a few years ago who had great tools, but they were different player types and had different skill sets.”

In March, Italy’s World Baseball Classic team surprised people by making it out of the first round and nearly reaching the finals in San Francisco, but it did so with a roster nearly devoid of Italian-born players. Throughout Europe, attracting athletes of Gasparini’s caliber into baseball has been a difficult task.

“Our main problem in developing players is not the lack of coaching or facilities, it’s the lack of high-quality games that our kids can play,” Holmberg said. “Quality competition—that is the real battle after we have been able to interest the superior athletes in our sport. We really need to play 120 games a year with our best players. Then, you would probably see even more quality players coming out of Europe and into pro ball.”

There are signs it’s going in the right direction. Alex Liddi, who was born, raised and signed in Italy, made his major league debut with the Mariners in 2011. Donald Lutz, who was born in the United States but was raised in Germany, followed Liddi to become the second graduate of MLB’s European academy to play in the big leagues when the Reds called him up last month.

“The average player is better,” Holmberg said. “The level of play has gotten better. The coaching has gotten better. Everything across the board is better than it was even five years ago.

“We will never get all or most of the best athletes—soccer and other sports are too popular. Slowly but surely baseball is being recognized as an alternative for these young athletes and I think it can only get better.”
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:45 AM   #6447
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Who was the best prospect ever before him?
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:46 AM   #6448
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Old 07-02-2013, 10:55 AM   #6449
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I'm treating Lough the same way I did Aviles. I'm optimistic, but he's going to have to prove it his second time through the league.
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Old 07-02-2013, 11:00 AM   #6450
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