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Old 10-24-2013, 10:25 PM  
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Math does not respect the Chiefs
Even though we are the only undefeated team, we only have a 6% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Ahead of us are:

Seattle 35%
Denver 16%
Cincinnati 11%
Indy 8%

and tied with SF.

This is according to my nfl-forecast.com software using team efficiency ratings from advancednflstats.com
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Old 11-21-2013, 03:13 AM   #136
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Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower View Post
All I know is either way the Chiefs are going to be boned by whatever scenario happens.. namely in having to face Denver again in Mile High in the remote chance they actually win a playoff game.
If the Chiefs win out, they're the #1 seed.
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Old 11-21-2013, 03:16 AM   #137
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
If the Chiefs win out, they're the #1 seed.
Ignore the negative nancies.
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Old 11-21-2013, 03:18 AM   #138
DaneMcCloud DaneMcCloud is offline
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Originally Posted by Guru View Post
Ignore the negative nancies.

Oh, I have been.
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Old 11-21-2013, 03:23 AM   #139
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Oh, I have been.
You have been doing a poor job of that of late Dane.
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Old 11-21-2013, 10:00 AM   #140
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
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garbage in, garbage out.
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Old 11-21-2013, 10:10 AM   #141
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Math didn't favor King David or Gideon either but………

Cincy ??
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Old 11-21-2013, 10:10 AM   #142
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garbage in, garbage out.
True, but let's not turn thus into an Alex Smith thread.
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Old 11-21-2013, 10:50 AM   #143
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Math won't favor the Chiefs until they get better on offense. It's so easy to defend them - simply stack the box and play man. Done.
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Old 11-21-2013, 11:12 AM   #144
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People really suck at math and stats (of course, not the people actually doing the math and stats, but those trying to analyze it).
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Old 11-21-2013, 11:14 AM   #145
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
99+% chance of making the playoffs
85% chance of getting the 5 seed
42% chance of winning a playoff game
0.6% chance of winning the Super Bowl
What are Denver's numbers?
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Old 11-21-2013, 11:28 AM   #146
donkhater donkhater is offline
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I don't see how anyone doesn't acknowledge that Seattle is the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl, given their incredible Home-field advantage and the return of Harvin and O-linemen.

Couple that with the fact that the SB will be in NY in Feb which plays to their strengths (running/defense) and I just can't make a good argument for anyone else.
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Old 11-21-2013, 01:24 PM   #147
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Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower View Post
All I know is either way the Chiefs are going to be boned by whatever scenario happens.. namely in having to face Denver again in Mile High in the remote chance they actually win a playoff game.
Playoff Peyton Manning in the cold, perfect!
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Old 11-21-2013, 01:29 PM   #148
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Originally Posted by donkhater View Post
I don't see how anyone doesn't acknowledge that Seattle is the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl, given their incredible Home-field advantage and the return of Harvin and O-linemen.

Couple that with the fact that the SB will be in NY in Feb which plays to their strengths (running/defense) and I just can't make a good argument for anyone else.
The Saints are too much for Seattle.

I like Saints vs the winner of Patriots/Broncos right now.
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Old 11-21-2013, 01:32 PM   #149
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Originally Posted by Pam Oliver's Forehead View Post
The Saints are too much for Seattle.

I like Saints vs the winner of Patriots/Broncos right now.
The Patriots already beat the Saints.

If the Saints go to Seattle (which looks likely), they'll lose.

They're awful on the road and in Seattle, forget it.
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Old 11-21-2013, 01:34 PM   #150
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
The Patriots already beat the Saints.

If the Saints go to Seattle (which looks likely), they'll lose.

They're awful on the road and in Seattle, forget it.
This.
Though the Saints are not "awful" on the road, they will be IN Seattle.
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