cdcox's playoff forecast

**cdcox** · 10-17-2005, 04:41 PM

Well, I was hoping that I would be ready to distribute software by now. Way too much to do at work is going to put that offf for a couple of weeks, at least. Here are some screen shots from my software that describes the playoff and post season picture right now. In these predictions, I assumed Indy wins tonight.

Screenshots will be attached in an early post in this thread.

**cdcox** · 10-17-2005, 04:54 PM

Finally. Took a bit of resizing.

**Rain Man** · 10-17-2005, 05:24 PM

Kill the messenger! Kill the messenger, I say!

Lurch · 10-17-2005, 05:38 PM

Your software has a fuggin' glitch, dude.

**cdcox** · 10-17-2005, 05:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lurch

Your software has a fuggin' glitch, dude.

Only one? Awesome!

DanT · 10-17-2005, 05:46 PM

Thanks, cdcox!

**cdcox** · 10-17-2005, 05:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man

Kill the messenger! Kill the messenger, I say!

I'm not too worried. You still haven't done away with the Nasty fin fan on the other thread.

Lurch · 10-17-2005, 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

Only one? Awesome!

A really big on though. Strength of schedule and home and away records...

That and it's hard to quantify Plummer's boneheadedness.

**cdcox** · 10-17-2005, 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lurch

A really big on though. Strength of schedule and home and away records...

That and it's hard to quantify Plummer's boneheadedness.

Home and away is factored in. Streghth of schedule is also considered both in terms of games played so far, and for predicting outcomes of games for the rest of the season.

Player variances, such as Plummer's (hopefully) coming melt down, are not considered in the forecasts. That would be very difficult in incorporate in an objective way.

Lurch · 10-17-2005, 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

Home and away is factored in. Streghth of schedule is also considered both in terms of games played so far, and for predicting outcomes of games for the rest of the season.

Player variances, such as Plummer's (hopefully) coming melt down, are not considered in the forecasts. That would be very difficult in incorporate in an objective way.

Fair enough. Interesting.

**Rain Man** · 10-17-2005, 06:24 PM

Well, there has to be something else wrong with it, then. It's not showing the Chiefs as the best team in the league.

**cdcox** · 10-18-2005, 08:04 AM

bump for the day crew

**cdcox** · 10-22-2005, 07:35 PM

Here's an update based on Kansas Cities big win in Miami last night:

Our chances of winning the division increased from about 10% to about 24% and our chances of makeing the playoffs climbed from 35% to about 60%. Still our odds of winning the Super Bowl are less than 4%. I'll post another set of screen shots after this week's games.

**Rain Man** · 10-23-2005, 08:03 AM

Okay, you're moving in the right direction. I'm still not going to believe this model until it gets the Chiefs up to 100 percent, though.

**Skip Towne** · 10-23-2005, 08:08 AM

Seedy, haven't you learned by now not to argue with Rainman? He's a statistical genious.

10-17-2005, 04:41 PM
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2331769	cdcox's playoff forecast Well, I was hoping that I would be ready to distribute software by now. Way too much to do at work is going to put that offf for a couple of weeks, at least. Here are some screen shots from my software that describes the playoff and post season picture right now. In these predictions, I assumed Indy wins tonight. Screenshots will be attached in an early post in this thread.
Posts: 45,537

10-17-2005, 04:54 PM	#2
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2331769	Finally. Took a bit of resizing. Attached Thumbnails
Posts: 45,537

10-17-2005, 05:24 PM	#3
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $3288491 VARSITY	Kill the messenger! Kill the messenger, I say! __________________ I'm putting random letters here as a celebration of free speech: xigrakgrah misorojeq rkemeseit.
Posts: 141,458

10-17-2005, 05:38 PM	#4
Lurch You rang? Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Greenbriar, USA Casino cash: $10004957	Your software has a fuggin' glitch, dude. __________________ Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy. -- Benjamin Franklin
Posts: 1,538

10-17-2005, 05:46 PM	#6
DanT Veteran Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Davis, CA Casino cash: $4471711	Thanks, cdcox!
Posts: 4,225

10-17-2005, 06:24 PM	#11
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $3288491 VARSITY	Well, there has to be something else wrong with it, then. It's not showing the Chiefs as the best team in the league. __________________ I'm putting random letters here as a celebration of free speech: xigrakgrah misorojeq rkemeseit.
Posts: 141,458

10-18-2005, 08:04 AM	#12
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2331769	bump for the day crew
Posts: 45,537

10-22-2005, 07:35 PM	#13
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2331769	Here's an update based on Kansas Cities big win in Miami last night: Our chances of winning the division increased from about 10% to about 24% and our chances of makeing the playoffs climbed from 35% to about 60%. Still our odds of winning the Super Bowl are less than 4%. I'll post another set of screen shots after this week's games.
Posts: 45,537

10-23-2005, 08:03 AM	#14
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $3288491 VARSITY	Okay, you're moving in the right direction. I'm still not going to believe this model until it gets the Chiefs up to 100 percent, though. __________________ I'm putting random letters here as a celebration of free speech: xigrakgrah misorojeq rkemeseit.
Posts: 141,458

10-23-2005, 08:08 AM	#15
Skip Towne Supporter Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: T-Town Casino cash: $10004900	Seedy, haven't you learned by now not to argue with Rainman? He's a statistical genious.
Posts: 69,689