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Old 10-11-2013, 11:06 AM  
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Sagarin NFL Ratings: Chiefs #8 (#32 SOS)
Anyone disagree? In the rating we have the worst schedule in the NFL so far, with Denver only 1 slot better. After this week when they've played Jax it might change, but we are playing the 2-3 Raiders so it might still be close.


http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm



On point differential however, we have an expected W/L record of 4.3-0.7 whereas Denver is only 3.8-1.2. However, the simple rating system (Pro Football Reference) has them at a whopping 15.4 vs us at 8.9 based on our low SOS. We're behind the same Sagarin teams like Seattle, Indy, NE, etc:

http://www.pro-football-reference.co...s/kan/2013.htm




I'm having trouble finding any computer ranking that puts us in the Top 5. This computer ranking system was the worst at 16th overall which seems stupid but at least he's predicting a 6.03 point win vs Oakland Sunday:
http://talismanred.com/ratings/nfl.shtml
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Old 11-04-2013, 05:38 PM   #121
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Cool thread pb

Enjoy reading it, even though it doesn't really matter a whole lot, cool read.

Good job
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Old 12-01-2013, 07:52 PM   #122
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Computers never lie, and liars never compute. The ratings consistently showed we were in the 7-10 range this year and now I think we all can see that's about where we are. At this point I'm done dreaming about a surprise playoff run because there's hardly any likelihood any more of that after today.
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Old 12-16-2013, 07:30 PM   #123
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Denver falls to #4, KC right behind them at #5. A 1-pt fave on a neutral now over us. Surprisingly, we are the only 2 AFC teams among the top 7. Is the NFC really that good? I don't watch many of their games.
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Old 12-16-2013, 07:33 PM   #124
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
Denver falls to #4, KC right behind them at #5. A 1-pt fave on a neutral now over us. Surprisingly, we are the only 2 AFC teams among the top 7. Is the NFC really that good? I don't watch many of their games.
Why would you watch the games? You can just read Sagarin.
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Old 12-16-2013, 07:33 PM   #125
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Denver falls to #4, KC right behind them at #5. A 1-pt fave on a neutral now over us. Surprisingly, we are the only 2 AFC teams among the top 7. Is the NFC really that good? I don't watch many of their games.
Seattle
New Orleans
49ers
Carolina
Arizona or Chicago

Yes
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Old 12-16-2013, 07:36 PM   #126
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Seattle
New Orleans
49ers
Carolina
Arizona or Chicago

Yes
Has anyone seen a single game Arizona played? Chicago got the Steelers on MNF or SNF once I cant remember. Maybe living in KC makes it easier to watch AFC teams. Seems like Denver or New England is on every damn week.
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Old 12-16-2013, 07:38 PM   #127
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Has anyone seen a single game Arizona played? Chicago got the Steelers on MNF or SNF once I cant remember. Maybe living in KC makes it easier to watch AFC teams. Seems like Denver or New England is on every damn week.
There should be a setup in which one network shows AFC games and a different network shows NFC games. Why hasn't anyone ever thought of that?
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Old 12-16-2013, 07:41 PM   #128
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There should be a setup in which one network shows AFC games and a different network shows NFC games. Why hasn't anyone ever thought of that?
I'm not really interested in seeing the Cowboys, Packers and Giants constantly. That's for people like you.
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Old 12-16-2013, 08:11 PM   #129
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I would say that Seattle, 49ers and Carolina are contenders, I think Arizona, Chicago and New Orleans would be out the first game.
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Old 12-16-2013, 11:02 PM   #130
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
Computers never lie, and liars never compute. The ratings consistently showed we were in the 7-10 range this year and now I think we all can see that's about where we are. At this point I'm done dreaming about a surprise playoff run because there's hardly any likelihood any more of that after today.
Computers don't lie, but that liars never compute is way off. If that were the case all of the computers would have exactly the same results. Each system has its own biases. Garbage in, garbage out.
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