Chiefs Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite? - Page 4

**Rain Man** · 11-13-2013, 12:54 PM

Maybe it's discussed in a thread somewhere, but I didn't see it and I like the limelight of having a thread with my name on it.

I figured the Broncos would be favored, but I would have expected 5 points or so. Not 8.5. They obviously know something about the officiating that's not public.

http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2013/1...read-favorites

The Denver Broncos will open Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs in Week 11 as an 8.5-point favorite, according to pregame.com.

It's at 8 and 9.5 in other places.

One big question that weighs into this is the health of Peyton Manning. Early signs are that he's going to be fine but an MRI is coming. That is the biggest thing remaining that could affect the line.

Last week I asked the guys over at Odds Shark what the line on the Chiefs-Broncos game would be. The official line wasn't up yet but our guy there polled two oddsmakers and they both said -6.5 for the Broncos. The difference between -6.5 and -8.5 is huge considering a lot of games end in a seven point difference. The Chargers lost to the Broncos by eight points last Sunday so KC would have to perform that well to have a shot at covering.

But we don't really care about covering. We care about the Chiefs winning. Their 9-0 record speaks for itself but oddsmakers clearly feel the Broncos are the better team here. Not that this should surprise anyone. We've known all along that folks think the Broncos are better. On Sunday night, we finally get to put this question to rest.

easymobee · 11-13-2013, 02:19 PM

If the game was in KC this Sunday I think Denver would be 2.5 to 4 pt favs.

**ptlyon** · 11-13-2013, 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

49.5 last I looked. Pretty high.

Wow that's a lot of DTs

Thanks btw

BigCatDaddy · 11-13-2013, 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ptlyon

Wow that's a lot of DTs

Thanks btw

Delirium Tremmens?

**DaneMcCloud** · 11-13-2013, 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ptlyon

Wow that's a lot of DTs

Thanks btw

Three TD's by Denver's offense (21 points).

Two TD's by the Chiefs offense, one TD by the Chiefs Special Teams and one by the Chiefs defense (28 points).

Take the under.

**notorious** · 11-13-2013, 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania

. KC's offense has been rather bland on the road.

WHY ARE YOU BEING SO NICE?!

KC's offense has been SHIT on the road.

vailpass · 11-13-2013, 02:25 PM

The line isn't calculated based on who Vegas thinks will win. It's based on where the bets are going and it's designed to move them as close to 50-50 as possible/this is a recording...

htismaqe · 11-13-2013, 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania

Ok, so it's happened in 5 of 9 games... is that a fluke?

The Chiefs have forced at least 1 fumble in 7 of their 9 games. In the 2 games where they didn't force a single fumble, they had 2 interceptions and 3 interceptions, respectively.

In addition, they've yet to allow more than 17 points to anybody.

I don't think they have much chance to beat Manning at Mile High but this defense is no fluke.

**DaneMcCloud** · 11-13-2013, 02:26 PM

As of right now, it'll likely be in the 20's on Sunday, with rain and snow.

Which team does that favor?

BigCatDaddy · 11-13-2013, 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vailpass

The line isn't calculated based on who Vegas thinks will win. It's based on where the bets are going and it's designed to move them as close to 50-50 as possible/this is a recording...

Why must you be disrespecting on us bro?

King_Chief_Fan · 11-13-2013, 02:26 PM

ppssshhhh- how many point favorites was Indy over Rams?

vailpass · 11-13-2013, 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

Why must you be disrespecting on us bro?

My bad...

bowener · 11-13-2013, 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sannyasi

Denver has a much better ~~team~~ QB than the Chiefs do.

FTFY

htismaqe · 11-13-2013, 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

As of right now, it'll likely be in the 20's on Sunday, with rain and snow.

Which team does that favor?

That's great news.

easymobee · 11-13-2013, 02:28 PM

Julius Thomas, Demaryius Thomas, and Wes Welker each have 9 TD catches. Decker only has 3. Knowshon has ran for 8 more TDs.

KC only has 9 passing TDs all year and 16 total on offense. People see the disparity in those kinds of numbers and this is where there $$$ goes.

**DaneMcCloud** · 11-13-2013, 02:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe

That's great news.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/den...weather/347810

I hope the forecast doesn't change...

View Poll Results: Before reading this, what point spread would you have guessed?
Virtuous Chiefs by 7+	8	5.88%
Virtuous Chiefs by 5 to 6.5	2	1.47%
Virtuous Chiefs by 3 to 4.5	13	9.56%
Virtuous Chiefs by 0.5 to 2.5	1	0.74%
Push	4	2.94%
Cheating Broncos by 0.5 to 2.5	1	0.74%
Cheating Broncos by 3 to 4.5	26	19.12%
Cheating Broncos by 5 to 6.5	29	21.32%
Cheating Broncos by 7+	49	36.03%
I don't deal with math and probabilities. I hire people for that.	3	2.21%
Voters: 136. You may not vote on this poll

11-13-2013, 12:54 PM
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $3238491 VARSITY	Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite? Maybe it's discussed in a thread somewhere, but I didn't see it and I like the limelight of having a thread with my name on it. I figured the Broncos would be favored, but I would have expected 5 points or so. Not 8.5. They obviously know something about the officiating that's not public. http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2013/1...read-favorites The Denver Broncos will open Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs in Week 11 as an 8.5-point favorite, according to pregame.com. It's at 8 and 9.5 in other places. One big question that weighs into this is the health of Peyton Manning. Early signs are that he's going to be fine but an MRI is coming. That is the biggest thing remaining that could affect the line. Last week I asked the guys over at Odds Shark what the line on the Chiefs-Broncos game would be. The official line wasn't up yet but our guy there polled two oddsmakers and they both said -6.5 for the Broncos. The difference between -6.5 and -8.5 is huge considering a lot of games end in a seven point difference. The Chargers lost to the Broncos by eight points last Sunday so KC would have to perform that well to have a shot at covering. But we don't really care about covering. We care about the Chiefs winning. Their 9-0 record speaks for itself but oddsmakers clearly feel the Broncos are the better team here. Not that this should surprise anyone. We've known all along that folks think the Broncos are better. On Sunday night, we finally get to put this question to rest.
Posts: 141,521

11-13-2013, 02:19 PM	#46
easymobee _\|_ (^_^) _\|_ Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Playoffs Casino cash: $10005075	If the game was in KC this Sunday I think Denver would be 2.5 to 4 pt favs. __________________ ...............................
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11-13-2013, 02:25 PM	#51
vailpass Psycho Bag Of Squanch Join Date: Sep 2001 Casino cash: $9594244	The line isn't calculated based on who Vegas thinks will win. It's based on where the bets are going and it's designed to move them as close to 50-50 as possible/this is a recording... __________________ “Education is a weapon whose effect depends on who holds it in his hands and at whom it is aimed.” Joseph Stalin
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11-13-2013, 02:26 PM	#53
DaneMcCloud Supporter Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Hollywood, CA Casino cash: $10053648	As of right now, it'll likely be in the 20's on Sunday, with rain and snow. Which team does that favor?
Posts: 88,960

11-13-2013, 02:26 PM	#55
King_Chief_Fan Praise Him Join Date: Aug 2000 Location: none ya Casino cash: $5895486	ppssshhhh- how many point favorites was Indy over Rams? __________________ No Jesus No Peace Know Jesus Know Peace Ephesians 2:8-10 English Standard Version (ESV) 8 For by grace you have been saved through faith. And this is not your own doing; it is the gift of God, 9 not a result of works, so that no one may boast. 10 For we are his workmanship, created in Christ Jesus for good works, which God prepared beforehand, that we should walk in them.
Posts: 12,179

11-13-2013, 02:28 PM	#59
easymobee _\|_ (^_^) _\|_ Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Playoffs Casino cash: $10005075	Julius Thomas, Demaryius Thomas, and Wes Welker each have 9 TD catches. Decker only has 3. Knowshon has ran for 8 more TDs. KC only has 9 passing TDs all year and 16 total on offense. People see the disparity in those kinds of numbers and this is where there $$$ goes. __________________ ...............................
Posts: 607