AFCW: Week 11

[Mile High Mania]

I feel like I'm having that moment in 'The Jerk' when Navin R. Johnson realizes the phone books just arrived. "It's here - It's here... Chiefs @ Broncos, sounds like your typical assholes are coming to town."

Anyway, this is what everyone around here has been clamoring about for months now, the only blemish is that it's 8-1 vs 9-0, but sole possession of first place is on the line here, and there's absolutely no lack for drama.

As I type this, the Manningverse is all lit up about the MRI that will be performed today and while it's definitely a concern, I don't see this being a case where he's missing the game. If that were to happen, then all bets are off as the 6'7 Sasquatch would see his first action... but again, that ain't happening.

Through 10 weeks, we have the following:

Chiefs 9-0
Broncos 8-1
Chargers 4-5
Raiders 3-6

Three games that matter, but really only one of any real importance as it relates to the race for the Division crown.

Raiders @ Texans
Neither team is really any good right now, but both have the potential to win this game. I'm keeping it easy here and sticking with the home team. Houston has better playmakers across the board, IMO. And, I like what Keenum has been doing. The Raiders look ... well, like the Raiders. I think it could be a fun game to watch, possibly, but the Texans win this one by 10.

Texans 27 / Raiders 17

Chargers @ Dolphins
As I type this, the Dolphins are in all kinds of disarray and preparing to battle the Bucs on MNF. So, no clue as to whether or not they're rolling into this game with a win or a loss.

Either way, I don't think it will matter as I believe the Chargers when this "battle of the coastal teams". San Diego has talent and they can put up points, but their defense is rather lame. I think this could be a good game, but the Chargers win this one after a big letdown at home vs the Broncos. Chargers fans will be teased into another few weeks of "maybe we can get a WC spot" before ultimately being disappointed after their team loses 4 of their final 6 games at the hands of Denver, KC (twice) and the Bengals.

Chargers 30 / Dolphins 17

Broncos vs Chiefs

There's not much more that can be said that isn't already being hotly debated on 72 other threads regarding this epic matchup. The Chiefs stroll into Denver with a perfect 9-0 record coming out of their bye week. The Chiefs are relatively healthy and determined to prove to everyone that they are without a doubt the best team in the land.

The Broncos slipped up against the Colts, and their defense has given up a fair amount of points and yards to every team they've played this season.

Every bit of success that Denver has is directly related to Manning - big shocker and with the ankle issues and the banged up Oline... there is cause for concern. The good news is that while the Chiefs have a nasty defense, their offense is fairly pedestrian.

I noted in another thread that if you were to compare Denver's production at home and KC's production on the road, it's not pretty for KC. In 4 road games, the Chiefs' offense has produced 5 TDs and 11 FGs, while the Defense and Special Teams has accounted for 5 other TDs. That's really good if you're a KC fan, but on the road in Denver... I think Smith and the passing game will have to become a bit more bold and productive, especially if Denver is successful in containing/limiting Charles.

I've thrown out a few random score predictions over the last week, but they all have one thing in common - I believe Denver wins this one by roughly 10 points. Yes, Manning is banged up - the Oline is banged up. The Chiefs defense is crazy nasty and will do all they can to hit Manning early, hard and often.

Can they be successful with this and can their offense put up 20+ points? I think Yes and No... it should be a fun game.

Broncos 34 / Chiefs 23

[LoneWolf]

Originally Posted by Breaker

When was the last time the Chiefs won a playoff game? Right .. that would be 1993. Exactly 20 years ago, hell Manning wasn't even in the NFL yet.

What does that have to do with anything you said? I'd call you reeruned again, but that would be insulting to actual reeruns.

[Mile High Mania]

Adam Schein believes in KC...

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap200...denver-broncos

[Mr. Arrowhead]

So does Keyshawn Johnson

Keyshawn Johnson ‏@Thromedamnball 20h

Thanks for the help on Week 11 picks... IND AZ SD JETS TB CHI DET PHI CIN HOU KC SEA NO GIANTS CAR

[BossChief]

I hate to say it, but I think there are going to be 2 9-1 teams in the AFC west Monday morning.

Their defense is strong against the run and weak against the pass. We don't match up well there. Their offense is a top tier unit, as our defense is, and there is no doubt in my mind that we will severly limit them (after the first drive or two)...but even with us limiting them, they are still gonna score at least 20 and I doubt our offense is able to top that.

For us to win, we are gonna need to score on defense and special teams and the offense is gonna need to score at least 17 on their own.

[gold_and_red]

Originally Posted by BossChief

I hate to say it, but I think there are going to be 2 9-1 teams in the AFC west Monday morning.

Their defense is strong against the run and weak against the pass. We don't match up well there. Their offense is a top tier unit, as our defense is, and there is no doubt in my mind that we will severly limit them (after the first drive or two)...but even with us limiting them, they are still gonna score at least 20 and I doubt our offense is able to top that.

For us to win, we are gonna need to score on defense and special teams and the offense is gonna need to score at least 17 on their own.

I think we are gonna surprise them by calling intermediate and play action passes, probably a screen or two early in the game. No running JC (which Reid doesn't prefer anyways) or those swing passes against a fast Denver D.

[artstill]

[IMG]file:///C:/Users/Kent/Pictures/dumb%20and%20dumber.gif[/IMG]

[ILChief]

Originally Posted by artstill

[IMG]file:///C:/Users/Kent/Pictures/dumb%20and%20dumber.gif[/IMG]

You suck at the Internet

[Cannibal]

Originally Posted by BossChief

I hate to say it, but I think there are going to be 2 9-1 teams in the AFC west Monday morning.

Their defense is strong against the run and weak against the pass. We don't match up well there. Their offense is a top tier unit, as our defense is, and there is no doubt in my mind that we will severly limit them (after the first drive or two)...but even with us limiting them, they are still gonna score at least 20 and I doubt our offense is able to top that.

For us to win, we are gonna need to score on defense and special teams and the offense is gonna need to score at least 17 on their own.

Isn't the stat showing the Donk D "strong" against the run shewed because teams have generally had abandon the run in favor of the pass in order to keep up with Manning?

[Mile High Mania]

Stats are stats.

Did you know in the last 4 games, the Chiefs defense has given up 1,355 yards to the Raiders, Texans, Browns and Bills?

The Broncos have given up 1,291 yards to the Jags, Colts, Redskins and Chargers.

What does it mean? I dunno, but over 800 yards of offense to the Browns and Bills is pretty stellar...

The Chiefs offense has tallied just under 1,000 yards of offense in the last 4 games, compared to nearly 1,700 for Denver.

Again, just more numbers to ponder.

[Pasta Little Brioni]

Denver gave up 80 pts. the last 3...kc 45

Denver 2 wins...kc 3

[Mile High Mania]

This game really cannot get here fast enough...

[RealSNR]

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania

Stats are stats.

Did you know in the last 4 games, the Chiefs defense has given up 1,355 yards to the Raiders, Texans, Browns and Bills?

The Broncos have given up 1,291 yards to the Jags, Colts, Redskins and Chargers.

What does it mean? I dunno, but over 800 yards of offense to the Browns and Bills is pretty stellar...

The Chiefs offense has tallied just under 1,000 yards of offense in the last 4 games, compared to nearly 1,700 for Denver.

Again, just more numbers to ponder.

Did you know yards aren't a deciding metric in determining wins and losses?

[Mile High Mania]

Originally Posted by SNR

Did you know yards aren't a deciding metric in determining wins and losses?

I did realize that... but, it could give you an indication as to how much bend there is with a defense.

[MagicHef]

Originally Posted by Cannibal

Isn't the stat showing the Donk D "strong" against the run shewed because teams have generally had abandon the run in favor of the pass in order to keep up with Manning?

For probably the 20th time, Denver is allowing the second lowest yards per carry in the league. That doesn't go down because teams abandon the run.

[RealSNR]

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania

I did realize that... but, it could give you an indication as to how much bend there is with a defense.

And those last two games against inferior competition just before the long-awaited and somewhat delayed in the schedule bye week are THE indicator of how good this defense is, right? It's not everything they did before. Clearly teams just "figured out" the Chiefs defense, and it turns out the solution is so simple it can damn near be implemented by QBs like Jason Campbell and Jeff Tuel, right?

I mean, those last two games ARE the Chiefs. That's what you're trying to get at, right? Otherwise why even bother bringing up those last two games and highlighting them against the absolutely ****ing stellar production they had earlier in the season against superior QBs and more explosive offenses?