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View Poll Results: Who would you rather have drafting for the Chiefs? | |||
Dorsey, Reid and Co. | 98 | 76.56% | |
The collective wisdom of ChiefsPlanet | 30 | 23.44% | |
Voters: 128. You may not vote on this poll |
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02-19-2013, 09:01 PM | #14 | |
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Quote:
If we peel off those which are significantly special examples like Peyton and Eli to try to normalize things, I don't think we see the correlation we typically hear about. Brady was a low round pick, but we can't really count that as normalized either, because he was essentially a winning lottery ticket. I agree that it's a bit of an argument from silence. The Brady super bowls cloud the numbers for the last 10 or 15 years, and trying to normalize beyond the super-elite super-minority clouds it further. Here are all the 1st round QBs since 2000. Chad Pennington Michael Vick David Carr Joey Harrington Patrick Ramsey Carson Palmer Byron Leftwich Kyle Boller Rex Grossman ^ Eli Manning * Philip Rivers Ben Roethlisberger * J.P. Losman Alex Smith Aaron Rodgers * Jason Campbell Vince Young Matt Leinart Jay Cutler Jamarcus Russell Brady Quinn Matt Ryan Joe Flacco * Matt Stafford Mark Sanchez Josh Freeman Sam Bradford Tim Tebow Cam Newton Jake Locker Blaine Gabbert Christian Ponder Andrew Luck Robert Griffin III Ryan Tannehill Brandon Weeden Apologies if I missed anything. There we have 30-some guys, and only 4 have won Super Bowls in the 12 contested since then. So the success rate of these guys, almost all of whom were generally accepted first round picks, is about 1 in 10. Other than a Manning, we have only Roethlisberger, Flacco, and Rodgers among 1st rounders winning Super Bowls. And those guys were all middle-late first, weren't they? Outside of a few no-brainer choices, the picture isn't very clear. That's all I am pointing out. |
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