Chiefs Math does not respect the Chiefs - Page 9

**cdcox** · 10-24-2013, 10:25 PM

Even though we are the only undefeated team, we only have a 6% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Ahead of us are:

Seattle 35%
Denver 16%
Cincinnati 11%
Indy 8%

and tied with SF.

This is according to my nfl-forecast.com software using team efficiency ratings from advancednflstats.com

Direckshun · 11-20-2013, 11:15 PM

I really want it to be Indy.

O.city · 11-20-2013, 11:17 PM

I really want to be the #1 seed so I can go to a home playoff game, one in which we win.

ShowtimeSBMVP · 11-20-2013, 11:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun

I really want it to be Indy.

Luck, Chiefs don't have a chance in hell. /Clay

ShowtimeSBMVP · 11-20-2013, 11:25 PM

I really don't buy all this math crap at all. Couple weeks ago it had the Ravens not making the playoffs.

This week

Ravens beat Jets
Panthers beat Fins

Ravens are tied for 6th seed.

AussieChiefsFan · 11-20-2013, 11:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

99+% chance of making the playoffs
85% chance of getting the 5 seed
42% chance of winning a playoff game
0.6% chance of winning the Super Bowl

Yeah, no.

**cdcox** · 11-20-2013, 11:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsandO'sfan

I really don't buy all this math crap at all. Couple weeks ago it had the Ravens not making the playoffs.

This week

Ravens beat Jets
Panthers beat Fins

Ravens are tied for 6th seed.

If the Ravens were to only lose 2 more games this year they would be 8-8 and have at best a 20% chance of making the playoffs.

They still have to play Detroit and the Bengals on the road and the Steelers, Jets, and Patriots at home.

They have like a 3% chance of making it.

ShowtimeSBMVP · 11-20-2013, 11:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

If the Ravens were to only lose 2 more games this year they would be 8-8 and have at best a 20% chance of making the playoffs.

They still have to play Detroit and the Bengals on the road and the Steelers, Jets, and Patriots at home.

They have like a 3% chance of making it.

Good thing they play the games then.

**DaneMcCloud** · 11-20-2013, 11:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

If the Ravens were to only lose 2 more games this year they would be 8-8 and have at best a 20% chance of making the playoffs.

They still have to play Detroit and the Bengals on the road and the Steelers, Jets, and Patriots at home.

They have like a 3% chance of making it.

Well then who is going to be the 6th seed?

4-6 Baltimore? 4-6 Pittsburgh? 4-6 San Diego? 4-6 Cleveland? 4-6 Oakland? 4-6 Tennesee? 5-5 Miami?

5-5 Jets? (

)

**cdcox** · 11-20-2013, 11:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

Well then who is going to be the 6th seed?

4-6 Baltimore? 4-6 Pittsburgh? 4-6 San Diego? 4-6 Cleveland? 4-6 Oakland? 4-6 Tennesee? 5-5 Miami?

5-5 Jets? (

)

Jets > Mia > Cleveland > Pittsburgh > Tennessee > SD > Buffalo > Baltimore > Oakland

**DaneMcCloud** · 11-20-2013, 11:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

Jets > Mia > Cleveland > Pittsburgh > Tennessee > SD > Buffalo > Baltimore > Oakland

The Jets are at Baltimore, have Miami twice, the Browns, Oakland and at Carolina.

They'll be lucky to be 8-8, but the same can be said for all of the other teams listed.

There's a lot of bad football teams this year.

**cdcox** · 11-21-2013, 12:05 AM

There is about a 25% chance that the 6th seed will have an 8-8 record. Because there are so many teams in the field, there is a 75% chance that one of them will be able to string together 9 or more wins.

**DaneMcCloud** · 11-21-2013, 12:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

There is about a 25% chance that the 6th seed will have an 8-8 record. Because there are so many teams in the field, there is a 75% chance that one of them will be able to string together 9 or more wins.

I can't imagine any of the 4-6 teams to win 5 out of six and IMO, there's no way the Jets or Miami win four out of six.

If there's a 9-7 team as the 6th seed, look out, because that team has suddenly gone on fire.

**DaneMcCloud** · 11-21-2013, 12:16 AM

For the record, the team I think that has the best chance of winning 5 out of six and stealing the final playoff spot is the Steelers.

If they're the sixth seed, no one will want to face them.

**RealSNR** · 11-21-2013, 01:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsandO'sfan

I really don't buy all this math crap at all. Couple weeks ago it had the Ravens not making the playoffs.

This week

Ravens beat Jets
Panthers beat Fins

Ravens are tied for 6th seed.

Ravens suck this year. I think the Jets, Dolphins, Chargers, and even the Browns are better than them.

Discuss Thrower · 11-21-2013, 03:02 AM

All I know is either way the Chiefs are going to be boned by whatever scenario happens.. namely in having to face Denver again in Mile High in the remote chance they actually win a playoff game.

10-24-2013, 10:25 PM
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2291769	Math does not respect the Chiefs Even though we are the only undefeated team, we only have a 6% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Ahead of us are: Seattle 35% Denver 16% Cincinnati 11% Indy 8% and tied with SF. This is according to my nfl-forecast.com software using team efficiency ratings from advancednflstats.com
Posts: 45,541

11-20-2013, 11:15 PM	#121
Direckshun __ Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Springpatch Casino cash: $4303447	I really want it to be Indy.
Posts: 59,288

11-20-2013, 11:17 PM	#122
O.city In Search of a Life Join Date: Jul 2009 Casino cash: $2654064	I really want to be the #1 seed so I can go to a home playoff game, one in which we win.
Posts: 81,305

11-20-2013, 11:25 PM	#124
ShowtimeSBMVP Chiefs Join Date: Feb 2009 Casino cash: $3586009	I really don't buy all this math crap at all. Couple weeks ago it had the Ravens not making the playoffs. This week Ravens beat Jets Panthers beat Fins Ravens are tied for 6th seed.
Posts: 23,755

11-21-2013, 12:05 AM	#131
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2291769	There is about a 25% chance that the 6th seed will have an 8-8 record. Because there are so many teams in the field, there is a 75% chance that one of them will be able to string together 9 or more wins.
Posts: 45,541

11-21-2013, 12:16 AM	#133
DaneMcCloud Supporter Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Hollywood, CA Casino cash: $10053648	For the record, the team I think that has the best chance of winning 5 out of six and stealing the final playoff spot is the Steelers. If they're the sixth seed, no one will want to face them.
Posts: 88,960

11-21-2013, 03:02 AM	#135
Discuss Thrower "You like to drink?" Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: "I like to drink." Casino cash: $3136869	All I know is either way the Chiefs are going to be boned by whatever scenario happens.. namely in having to face Denver again in Mile High in the remote chance they actually win a playoff game. __________________ Chiefs 2016 Opponents: Home: JAX, TEN, NO, TB, NYJ. Away: HOU, IND, ATL, CAR, PIT Chiefs 2017 Opponents: Home: BUF, MIA, PHI, WSH, AFC North. Away: NE, NYJ, NYG, DAL, AFC South
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