Gas Usage Down

[Mr. Laz]

Posted on Mon, Apr. 21, 2008 10:15 PM

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Gasoline usage heads down

By STEVE EVERLY

The Kansas City Star

• Chris Lester: We haven’t seen the peak of gasoline prices
• KCGasPrices.com

If you decide to make changes based on the high cost of gasoline, which of the following would you consider?

U.S. drivers are doing something they haven’t done for nearly two decades — consume less gasoline.Gas consumption so far this year is down about 0.2 percent compared to last year, according to the Energy Information Administration. The federal agency is predicting that gasoline demand will be down 0.4 percent this summer and 0.3 percent for the year.
That may not sound like much, but it would be the first time since 1991 that there’s been a decline in annual gas consumption. And it would be only the eighth year since 1951 in which demand for gasoline has declined.
The federal agency noted that the decline was occurring in part because of a slowing economy. But it also said that higher gas prices were having an effect on demand.
“Sustained higher gasoline prices are beginning to show up in lower gasoline consumption,” said Tancred Lidderdale, an analyst for the Energy Information Administration.
Both gasoline and diesel prices are now at record levels.
According to AAA, the national average on Monday for a gallon of gasoline was $3.50 a gallon, or 64 cents higher than a year ago. Diesel was $4.20 per gallon, or $1.27 higher than a year ago.
A gallon of E-85, a blend that contains 85 percent ethanol, was $2.89 a gallon. AAA also gives an adjusted price reflecting the fact that ethanol has less energy than conventional gasoline. By that measure, a price-adjusted gallon of E-85 was $3.81.
Crude oil prices were up on Monday for the sixth straight day. Light, sweet crude for May delivery rose to a record $117.76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange before settling at $117.48, up 79 cents from Friday’s close.
Figures that track gas consumption can be volatile from week to week. But the idea that demand for the year will be down is gaining support.
Lehi German, publisher of Fundamental Petroleum Trends, said the federal agency’s prediction of a downturn was “in the ballpark.” In addition, diesel demand has shown signs of softening as well.
Although higher fuel prices were expected to have an effect on demand, it wasn’t clear just how high they would have to go to do so. Many market watchers believed prices would have to stay above $3 per gallon for several months or even a year.
That tipping point for gasoline demand may have arrived.
Mike Right, a spokesman for AAA Club of Missouri, said that a decline in gasoline usage shouldn’t come as much of a surprise. A survey conducted in January by AAA found that many motorists were already deciding to change vacation plans for this summer by planning for shorter trips.
“We are starting to see some signs of that,” he said.
Verne Covell of Smithville counts himself as one who’s had enough.
Now retired, Covell bought a pickup and travel trailer when he retired in 2000. Long trips with his wife to places like Canada were common.
This year, however, there will be at most a trip to south Missouri. The trailer may even stay in storage for the entire year because of fuel prices.
“We’re getting on and you don’t know how long you have,” he said. “But this year we decided it just got too expensive.”
There are indications that a fundamental shift in consumer driving habits may have started in December, when total miles traveled in the U.S. dropped 3.9 percent compared with the same month a year earlier. Miles traveled in the Midwest were down 5.8 percent.
Mainly because of the December drop, the Federal Highway Administration said it was estimating that miles traveled for all of 2007 were down 0.4 percent.

A question now is whether the curtailing of gas consumption could gain momentum, especially if prices climb further.
Steve Mosby is vice president of Admo Energy, an area company that helps other companies, including gas stations, control the cost they pay for fuel. He said his company had been getting recent reports from customers of substantial reductions in the number of gallons being pumped.
And those changes may show up in daily commuting habits in addition to plans for longer trips.
Demand already is increasing for automobiles offering higher gas mileage.
The Kansas City Area Transportation Authority also reports that bus ridership has been growing as gas prices have increased. Last year ridership was up 4.1 percent. For the first two months of this year, compared to the same period last year, the number of riders was up 9 percent.
“I certainly think gas prices are having an impact on our ridership,” said Dick Jarrold, a senior director at ATA.
A decline in gasoline demand could help give some relief from high prices. Although prices are surging as the traditional summer driving season approaches, some market followers expect prices to ease back later this summer.
One ongoing concern is that even though Americans may be cutting back on gas consumption, emerging middle classes in faster-growing countries such as China and India are quickly embracing the driving habit and pushing global demand for fuel higher.
“That’s the billion-dollar question,” Mosby said.

---

Higher standards sought

WASHINGTON | The government today plans to release a proposal to raise fuel efficiency standards for new cars and trucks, putting the nation’s fleet on track to reach 35 miles per gallon by 2020.

Last year, Congress sought a 40 percent increase in mileage standards.


Today’s proposal will set fuel economy standards from 2011 to 2015.


The nation’s fleet of new passenger cars is currently required to meet a 27.5 mpg average, while sport utility vehicles, pickup trucks and vans have a target of 22.5 mpg.


Democrats have said the new fuel economy requirements will save motorists $700 to $1,000 a year in fuel costs.

The Associated Press contributed to this report. To reach Steve Everly, call 816-234-4455 or send e-mail to severly@kcstar.com. | The Associated Press

[Mr. Flopnuts]

Originally Posted by Laz

Democrats have said the new fuel economy requirements will save motorists $700 to $1,000 a year in fuel costs.

So by 2011 it'll be like $5000. Sweet.

[PhillyChiefFan]

After the purchase of a new car, people who can't afford that new car will be Flintstoning their asses to work.

[Radar Chief]

Originally Posted by Mr Flopnuts

So by 2011 it'll be like $5000. Sweet.

Wonder how much the increased cost of more efficient vehicles will offset that savings.

[PhillyChiefFan]

Originally Posted by Radar Chief

Wonder how much the increased cost of more efficient vehicles will offset that savings.

exactly. So basically we are consuming less gasoline but our CAR payment goes up exponentially.

[Mr. Flopnuts]

Looking at the map leads me to believe that Texas said "**** it."

[Pitt Gorilla]

Originally Posted by PhillyChiefFan

exactly. So basically we are consuming less gasoline but our CAR payment goes up exponentially.

Exponentially? I'm guessing that you're not referring to integer exponents, which then makes me wonder why you used the term at all.

[bkkcoh]

Demand sure has caused the price to go down. Damn I thought congress was for the little guy, what in the hell have they done in order to lower prices...

[Frazod]

Originally Posted by bkkcoh

Demand sure has caused the price to go down. Damn I thought congress was for the little guy, what in the hell have they done in order to lower prices...

We're not even getting election year lip service, which is strange. Of course, I guess there is a bit of an upside to not being lied to about one less thing.

[Bugeater]

What's lost in all of this is that with less consumption, tax revenues are down as well, which results in...yes, you guessed it...higher gasoline taxes!

[markk]

Originally Posted by PhillyChiefFan

exactly. So basically we are consuming less gasoline but our CAR payment goes up exponentially.

car companies love it. consumer actually doesnt save any money, they just pay it to GM up front instead of at the pump. and then they cruise around at the mileage we should be getting already thinking that GM has done them some wild favor

[PhillyChiefFan]

Originally Posted by Pitt Gorilla

Exponentially? I'm guessing that you're not referring to integer exponents, which then makes me wonder why you used the term at all.

Wow...not much to do today?? Sorry will go higher...better??

I didn't reference my trig book...what WAS I thinking.

[PhillyChiefFan]

Originally Posted by markk

car companies love it. consumer actually doesnt save any money, they just pay it to GM up front instead of at the pump. and then they cruise around at the mileage we should be getting already thinking that GM has done them some wild favor

Yea, that is what burns me, you don't really save the money you just rob Peter to pay Paul.

[Stinger]

Originally Posted by GoBo

What's lost in all of this is that with less consumption, tax revenues are down as well, which results in...yes, you guessed it...higher gasoline taxes!

Ding ... Ding... Ding.... We have a winner

[BWillie]

It's because people can't afford to drive all over hell. They are more inclined to stay at their house. I'll have friends say come to Lawrence or Topeka. I tell them it will cost me 30 dollars to drive there and back so I say screw it. We are finally witnessing the point where the resource is becoming somewhat elastic.

My car gets 16 miles per gallon. It's 16 miles to work. If gas is 3.50 a gallon I'm actually paying 7 dollars every freaking day to get to work. Now that is just ridiculous.

If we had cars that got 70 mpg we wouldn't have this problem. I want to buy a Honda Insight that gets that gas mileage, but even buying a 2000 with 150K miles is 14K. And the thing is tiny and has no back seats.