Chiefs Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite?

**Rain Man** · 11-13-2013, 12:54 PM

Maybe it's discussed in a thread somewhere, but I didn't see it and I like the limelight of having a thread with my name on it.

I figured the Broncos would be favored, but I would have expected 5 points or so. Not 8.5. They obviously know something about the officiating that's not public.

http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2013/1...read-favorites

The Denver Broncos will open Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs in Week 11 as an 8.5-point favorite, according to pregame.com.

It's at 8 and 9.5 in other places.

One big question that weighs into this is the health of Peyton Manning. Early signs are that he's going to be fine but an MRI is coming. That is the biggest thing remaining that could affect the line.

Last week I asked the guys over at Odds Shark what the line on the Chiefs-Broncos game would be. The official line wasn't up yet but our guy there polled two oddsmakers and they both said -6.5 for the Broncos. The difference between -6.5 and -8.5 is huge considering a lot of games end in a seven point difference. The Chargers lost to the Broncos by eight points last Sunday so KC would have to perform that well to have a shot at covering.

But we don't really care about covering. We care about the Chiefs winning. Their 9-0 record speaks for itself but oddsmakers clearly feel the Broncos are the better team here. Not that this should surprise anyone. We've known all along that folks think the Broncos are better. On Sunday night, we finally get to put this question to rest.

Mile High Mania · 11-13-2013, 12:56 PM

I really pay no attention to point spreads.

KC_Connection · 11-13-2013, 12:58 PM

Maybe it's a little high, but Denver has been the better team to this point (looking past strictly the records) and they have home advantage. It make sense.

KC native · 11-13-2013, 12:59 PM

homer vote

Sannyasi · 11-13-2013, 01:01 PM

Denver has a much better team than the Chiefs do.

keg in kc · 11-13-2013, 01:05 PM

I'll be surprised if it's that close if Manning plays the whole game.

ciaomichael · 11-13-2013, 01:06 PM

It's reasonable. Maybe 3 for the home field and 7 for perceived superiority minus 1.5 for any lingering doubts about Manning's health.

**notorious** · 11-13-2013, 01:06 PM

I am surprised it's that low.

The money will go towards Denver, so maybe Vegas knows something.........

Chief Roundup · 11-13-2013, 01:06 PM

As I am not a gambler I do not know how this stuff works. I voted for the 3 to 4.5. My thinking was that 3 was about an even match at their house. 4.5 would give them a win by a field goal kind of scoring difference.

Mama Hip Rockets · 11-13-2013, 01:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC_Connection

Denver has been the better team to this point (looking past strictly the records)

Except for, ya know, records are the only things that matter. Therefore, the Chiefs have been the better team.

**Gonzo** · 11-13-2013, 01:12 PM

I'm calling my ****ing bookie.

**Nzoner** · 11-13-2013, 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by notorious

I am surprised it's that low.

The money will go towards Denver, so maybe Vegas knows something.........

it opened at -8 on scores and odds and has moved to 8.5,I look for it to go to -9 or better by Sunday

**notorious** · 11-13-2013, 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nzoner

it opened at -8 on scores and odds and has moved to 8.5,I look for it to go to -9 or better by Sunday

I am right.

They do know something.

philfree · 11-13-2013, 01:15 PM

Two weeks to prepare.
The "worst' 9-0 team ever.
8.5 points underdog.
A hobbled Peyton Manning.
I'm liking our chances more and more with each coming day.

Chief Roundup · 11-13-2013, 01:17 PM

I wonder how much, if any, affect DumBowe getting busted had on those numbers.

View Poll Results: Before reading this, what point spread would you have guessed?
Virtuous Chiefs by 7+	8	5.88%
Virtuous Chiefs by 5 to 6.5	2	1.47%
Virtuous Chiefs by 3 to 4.5	13	9.56%
Virtuous Chiefs by 0.5 to 2.5	1	0.74%
Push	4	2.94%
Cheating Broncos by 0.5 to 2.5	1	0.74%
Cheating Broncos by 3 to 4.5	26	19.12%
Cheating Broncos by 5 to 6.5	29	21.32%
Cheating Broncos by 7+	49	36.03%
I don't deal with math and probabilities. I hire people for that.	3	2.21%
Voters: 136. You may not vote on this poll

11-13-2013, 12:54 PM
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $3338491 VARSITY	Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite? Maybe it's discussed in a thread somewhere, but I didn't see it and I like the limelight of having a thread with my name on it. I figured the Broncos would be favored, but I would have expected 5 points or so. Not 8.5. They obviously know something about the officiating that's not public. http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2013/1...read-favorites The Denver Broncos will open Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs in Week 11 as an 8.5-point favorite, according to pregame.com. It's at 8 and 9.5 in other places. One big question that weighs into this is the health of Peyton Manning. Early signs are that he's going to be fine but an MRI is coming. That is the biggest thing remaining that could affect the line. Last week I asked the guys over at Odds Shark what the line on the Chiefs-Broncos game would be. The official line wasn't up yet but our guy there polled two oddsmakers and they both said -6.5 for the Broncos. The difference between -6.5 and -8.5 is huge considering a lot of games end in a seven point difference. The Chargers lost to the Broncos by eight points last Sunday so KC would have to perform that well to have a shot at covering. But we don't really care about covering. We care about the Chiefs winning. Their 9-0 record speaks for itself but oddsmakers clearly feel the Broncos are the better team here. Not that this should surprise anyone. We've known all along that folks think the Broncos are better. On Sunday night, we finally get to put this question to rest.
Posts: 141,338

11-13-2013, 12:56 PM	#2
Mile High Mania #triggering Join Date: Aug 2000 Location: Tejas Casino cash: $3697229	I really pay no attention to point spreads. __________________
Posts: 30,266

11-13-2013, 12:58 PM	#3
KC_Connection Perpetual Mediocrity Join Date: Jan 2006 Casino cash: $5392783	Maybe it's a little high, but Denver has been the better team to this point (looking past strictly the records) and they have home advantage. It make sense.
Posts: 48,864

11-13-2013, 12:59 PM	#4
KC native Banned Join Date: Feb 2009 Location: Fort Worth, TX Casino cash: $10049239	homer vote
Posts: 24,946

11-13-2013, 01:01 PM	#5
Sannyasi Veteran Join Date: Jan 2010 Casino cash: $9963714	Denver has a much better team than the Chiefs do.
Posts: 2,615

11-13-2013, 01:05 PM	#6
keg in kc oxymoron Join Date: Feb 2001 Location: OP/KC/Whatever Casino cash: $9556299	I'll be surprised if it's that close if Manning plays the whole game.
Posts: 58,682

11-13-2013, 01:06 PM	#7
ciaomichael Starter Join Date: Nov 2013 Casino cash: $10004900	It's reasonable. Maybe 3 for the home field and 7 for perceived superiority minus 1.5 for any lingering doubts about Manning's health.
Posts: 120

11-13-2013, 01:06 PM	#8
notorious Supporter Join Date: May 2005 Location: Who knows? Casino cash: $2945884	I am surprised it's that low. The money will go towards Denver, so maybe Vegas knows something.........
Posts: 83,351

11-13-2013, 01:06 PM	#9
Chief Roundup Admitted Planet Junky Join Date: Oct 2000 Casino cash: $2081627	As I am not a gambler I do not know how this stuff works. I voted for the 3 to 4.5. My thinking was that 3 was about an even match at their house. 4.5 would give them a win by a field goal kind of scoring difference. __________________ Fanaticism is nowhere. There is no tenderness or humanity in fanaticism.
Posts: 19,196

11-13-2013, 01:15 PM	#14
philfree Indian Twitter Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: Free Agency Casino cash: $1666198	Two weeks to prepare. The "worst' 9-0 team ever. 8.5 points underdog. A hobbled Peyton Manning. I'm liking our chances more and more with each coming day. __________________ [/SIGPIC]
Posts: 14,939

11-13-2013, 01:17 PM	#15
Chief Roundup Admitted Planet Junky Join Date: Oct 2000 Casino cash: $2081627	I wonder how much, if any, affect DumBowe getting busted had on those numbers. __________________ Fanaticism is nowhere. There is no tenderness or humanity in fanaticism.
Posts: 19,196