Vegas lines on games relevant to us

[scho63]

Originally Posted by FringeNC

KC -12.5 Cleveland
Denver -3.5 Cinci
NE -3 Jets
Pittsburgh -10 Baltimore

Probably has been awhile since we've been 12.5 favorites. Also, Denver's line is a little surprising. Seems a little high.

Home teams get a starting 3 points in the spread and then they move the line towards whoever is the favorite.

On a neutral field, Denver would be only a 1/2 point favorite.

[chiefzilla1501]

[QUOTE=scho63;11968072]

Originally Posted by FringeNC

KC -12.5 Cleveland
Denver -3.5 Cinci
NE -3 Jets
Pittsburgh -10 Baltimore

Probably has been awhile since we've been 12.5 favorites. Also, Denver's line is a little surprising. Seems a little high. /QUOTE]

Home teams get a starting 3 points in the spread and then they move the line towards whoever is the favorite.

On a neutral field, Denver would be only a 1/2 point favorite.

As noted above, to me the spread seems even low considering Bengals are rolling with McCarron

[Toby Waller]

Originally Posted by scho63

Home teams get a starting 3 points in the spread and then they move the line towards whoever is the favorite.

On a neutral field, Denver would be only a 1/2 point favorite.

No,they move the line in the opposite direction of where more money is being bet

[scho63]

Originally Posted by smellypitts

No,they move the line in the opposite direction of where more money is being bet

You don't understand my statement. When they SET the opening line PRIOR to betting they give the home team a three point advantage and from there they set their initial line to the favorite. Denver opened at (- 3 1/2)

That means Denver got 3 for the home field and 1/2 point for their perceived advantage.

Money bet more on one side will start moving the line to the other team to balance out the bets. Bookies want the bets to be exactly 50-50.

[Toby Waller]

Originally Posted by scho63

You don't understand my statement. When they SET the opening line PRIOR to betting they give the home team a three point advantage and from there they set their initial line to the favorite. Denver opened at (- 3 1/2)

That means Denver got 3 for the home field and 1/2 point for their perceived advantage.

Money bet more on one side will start moving the line to the other team to balance out the bets. Bookies want the bets to be exactly 50-50.

want it to be 50-50? No, they want to gain the majority and have everyone on the wrong side as much as possible. They want to bait people and have them be so stupid that its a 90-10 split when they can.

[O.city]

Originally Posted by smellypitts

want it to be 50-50? No, they want to gain the majority and have everyone on the wrong side as much as possible. They want to bait people and have them be so stupid that its a 90-10 split when they can.

I hope you don't gamble much

[scho63]

Originally Posted by smellypitts

want it to be 50-50? No, they want to gain the majority and have everyone on the wrong side as much as possible. They want to bait people and have them be so stupid that its a 90-10 split when they can.

I can see why your REP is so red.

You are dead wrong. 1000% wrong.

Bookies and sports books work to make the SPREAD OR VIGORISH. If bookies or sports books tried to "BET" on one side or the other, they would be out of business so fast because the odds are not with them.

You need to learn before you state something as fact that is 100% incorrect.

[Toby Waller]

Originally Posted by scho63

I can see why your REP is so red.

You are dead wrong. 1000% wrong.

Bookies and sports books work to make the SPREAD OR VIGORISH. If bookies or sports books tried to "BET" on one side or the other, they would be out of business so fast because the odds are not with them.

You need to learn before you state something as fact that is 100% incorrect.

where am I wrong? the point of gambling is to profit 100%.
they dont hope to go 50-50. they know they gain the majority no matter what the public does. Its not based on one game at a time.
they give odds on all 16 games and make a couple look decent/realistic to the public so a few people think they are doing well.
But they give ridiculous odds on the other games and will never do worse than 70-30 in their favor. They give the over/under, total, bet on spread,bet on team,move the line 3 times = if they do 50-50 it means they failed miserably.
and the mafia wouldnt even talk to them let alone worry about them or hire them.

they know theyll lose money on one game but everyone will get raked the other 15.

Gambling is a dark art. its not something fun they want dumb ass Johnny Suburb to do well in.

I'm sorry, I just think its funny when people try to talk about gambling like its some simple process or just another business.

[WhawhaWhat]

Originally Posted by smellypitts

where am I wrong? the point of gambling is to profit 100%.
they dont hope to go 50-50. they know they gain the majority no matter what the public does. Its not based on one game at a time.
they give odds on all 16 games and make a couple look decent/realistic to the public so a few people think they are doing well.
But they give ridiculous odds on the other games and will never do worse than 70-30 in their favor. They give the over/under, total, bet on spread,bet on team,move the line 3 times = if they do 50-50 it means they failed miserably.
and the mafia wouldnt even talk to them let alone worry about them or hire them.

they know theyll lose money on one game but everyone will get raked the other 15.

Gambling is a dark art. its not something fun they want dumb ass Johnny Suburb to do well in.

I'm sorry, I just think its funny when people try to talk about gambling like its some simple process or just another business.

[scho63]

Originally Posted by smellypitts

want it to be 50-50? No, they want to gain the majority and have everyone on the wrong side as much as possible. They want to bait people and have them be so stupid that its a 90-10 split when they can.

Read this and maybe you will learn something

http://www.gamblingsites.org/sports-...rs-make-money/

[WhawhaWhat]

Originally Posted by smellypitts

want it to be 50-50? No, they want to gain the majority and have everyone on the wrong side as much as possible. They want to bait people and have them be so stupid that its a 90-10 split when they can.

Why not go 97-3 if they can?

[Toby Waller]

Originally Posted by WhawhaWhat

Why not go 97-3 if they can?

of course. I was just giving a majority number for the hell of it