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-   -   Football Predicting how the QB draft prospect will do (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=203956)

Sweet Daddy Hate 03-10-2009 11:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Rick (Post 5570105)
I wasn't so much talking about the formula as I was this:
Stafford is NOT a "start in 09" guy. Neither is Sanchez, but if a team picks ANY college QB and throws him to the wolves on opening day, they deserve to be beaten.

And often.

Nobody here expected either of these two guys to roll up in to Arrowhead and go to work/win games on day one of the 2009 season. We wanted someone who showed great upside and could be brought along and developed in the correct and proper NFL fashion. And that may still happen. Because of Herm and Carl's complete suckage over the last three years, the franchise HAS to win some games this year to dig itself out of a hole. Cassel can(possibly)bring those instant wins and at least get us rolling again.

ChiefRon 03-10-2009 11:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Darth CarlSatan (Post 5570088)
Yeah, I'd like to see where Cassel would fall on that list, but we'll never know since he went from Jr. High to the NFL in start time.
Well, let's see. He never started in college (unless you count his lone start at TE). In his four seasons, he went 19 of 33, 0 tds, 1 int

So it looks like this for him:

0 + [(57.58-60)X5] + [(0-2.25)X10 = -34.6

Sweet Daddy Hate 03-10-2009 11:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefRon (Post 5570137)
Well, let's see. He never started in college (unless you count his lone start at TE). In his four seasons, he went 19 of 33, 0 tds, 1 int

So it looks like this for him:

0 + [(57.58-60)X5] + [(0-2.25)X10 = -34.6
ROFL

Chiefnj2 03-10-2009 11:52 AM
Good news, Tom Brandstater of Fresno State has a 39.2 ranking which places him right next to Eli Manning. Print 'em.

Sweet Daddy Hate 03-10-2009 11:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chiefnj2 (Post 5570175)
Good news, Tom Brandstater of Fresno State has a 39.2 ranking which places him right next to Eli Manning. Print 'em.
LMAO Wheeeee!!!!

Dave Lane 03-10-2009 12:09 PM
Jay Cutler Vanderbilt 2006 2.39

Dave Lane 03-10-2009 12:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefRon (Post 5570137)
Well, let's see. He never started in college (unless you count his lone start at TE). In his four seasons, he went 19 of 33, 0 tds, 1 int

So it looks like this for him:

0 + [(57.58-60)X5] + [(0-2.25)X10 = -34.6
Actually its 0+ [(60.6-60)x5] + [(0-2.25)x10] = -19.5

Rain Man 03-10-2009 12:55 PM
The whole purpose of developing a predictive model is so it'll have predictive value. If you look at how they end up ranking the QBs, that model has almost no predictive value. Perhaps they need to improve it a little before they print it.

Sweet Daddy Hate 03-10-2009 01:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 5570377)
The whole purpose of developing a predictive model is so it'll have predictive value. If you look at how they end up ranking the QBs, that model has almost no predictive value. Perhaps they need to improve it a little before they print it.
Understatement of the decade.LMAO

ChiefRon 03-10-2009 01:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Lane (Post 5570271)
Actually its 0+ [(60.6-60)x5] + [(0-2.25)x10] = -19.5
Well I did round up on the comp pct, but where do you get 60.6%?

htismaqe 03-10-2009 01:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 5570377)
The whole purpose of developing a predictive model is so it'll have predictive value. If you look at how they end up ranking the QBs, that model has almost no predictive value. Perhaps they need to improve it a little before they print it.
Exactly what I thought.

Spicy McHaggis 03-10-2009 03:39 PM
The only thing that could make this formula more ridiculous is if it were explained to you in a bar at 3:00 am by John Madden and he's completely hammered.


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