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Old 04-13-2020, 01:46 PM   #20393
Donger Donger is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins View Post
Pete,

Sundays have lagged, as indicated by death rates.

3/29 had a death rate 150 less than the day before or after
4/5 had a death rate less than the day before or after


4/12 had a death rate less than 4/11. Hopefully, 4/13 is less, but the trend of the information is that reporting seems to lag on those days, unless for some reason people are just less likely to die on a Sunday.

Overall, the point is not to put too much info on a single data point. Wait for the trend to establish itself.
Unless I'm wrong, and I'm never wrong, new cases are the thing that should be focused on as it relates to seeing the glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel. It would be fantastic if we see day-over-day new case growth trending downward for a week or so, even with a couple of outliers. Looking at Italy, we are at the same duration as they were when their trend began.

Fingers crossed.
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