Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
Saw Nick Wright arguing (as is his profession) that the Chiefs should be the favorites on Sunday.
Does anyone believe that?
Baltimore, at home, with their record and with a team that's performed at/near the same level we have both offensively and defensively. They even have a very experienced HC and good STs unit.
That's a really good football team.
So am I alone in thinking they SHOULD be favorites? I mean even if they're 60% to win, they'd still be 40% to lose - that's by no means zero.
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I'm sure I could come close to what Wright would say...
- Playoff Mahomes vs playoff Lamar
- 6th AFCCG in a row
- Chiefs have been playing playoff games 3 of the past 4 weeks, Ravens took a couple weeks off and scrimmaged with the Texans last week
- Chiefs just took out Josh Allen and logged their first road playoff victory while being pelted with snowballs, so no questions this week about being on the road
- All the pressure is on the Ravens; not just for some damn respect and to get that monkey off their back of beating a worthy playoff opponent, but if they can't win with THIS team, in a year where they only have to face one of Mahomes/Allen/Burrow, and Stroud won't always be a rookie on an otherwise 4-win team.... when will they ever win one?
(guess I should go listen to it now)
...not that I particularly believe all that should be taken into account in Vegas odds, and I think the current line is fine.
They played a lot of "good" teams... a lot of playoff contenders. Super Bowl contenders... split with the Bengals and won the game where Burrow got hurt. Dismantled the 49ers.
Chiefs, OTOH, were 1-4 against playoff teams in the regular season, even if games were all close and very winnable... and given the Phins were paper champions, really all they're propped up by is the win against the Bills last week. A great win, but does it wipe out the fact the Ravens didn't really have a huge soft spot in their schedule this season?
Hell, after the Chiefs/Lions game, shit got
sooooft for a while, like 6 weeks of preseason scrimmage soft.
I think it's fine... -3 at home isn't exactly saying they're the bonafide playoff-proven favorite, seems like they're getting the nod because it's at home and they were far more consistent against a tougher schedule this year.