Quote:
Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar
But KC had scored one TD in their previous 6 quarters. Wasn't exactly a slam-dunk that they'd score one in the OT period. If it were that easy, they'd have done it in regulation.
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The 49ers probably made the "correct" analytical decisions based on a win probability model. Basically how often does it go 0-0, 3-3, 7-7 or 8-8. I imagine it goes 3-3 a decent amount and rarely 0-0. If that even happens 20% of the time then you are trying to deduce if the advantage you gave the other team by letting them go 2nd with 4 downs is worth more or less than that say 20%.
I think every coach should understand you have to go for 2 if the other team scores 7 and you answer with a TD.