Quote:
Originally Posted by Basileus777
Math doesn't even make any sense, teams locked into having to win 4 playoff games like the Ravens should not mathematically have better odds.
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That's exactly what you're seeing in the CCG appearance though... Chiefs and Lions have a higher chance at appearing in that game since they have the first round bye.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Basileus777
NFL just has too many numbers with no predictive ability behind them, DVOA does not tell you who is more likely to win playoff matchups.
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It predicts it to the extent of historical DVOA numbers, and given 4 teams are all within 2.4% of each other, yeah it's not a crazy strong predictor.
The Ravens' H I S T O R I C DVOA last season probably ****ed up the numbers ever so slightly by not even making it to the Super Bowl.