Thread: NFL Draft Top 5 Pick Success Rate
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Old 02-25-2009, 11:39 AM   #31
Deberg_1990 Deberg_1990 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP View Post
This is just a snapshot and isn't enough info to make any claims. You're looking at success rate without looking at value. OG had the highest success rate - but you can get an OG later in the draft and still have a pretty good success rate. However, when you look at other positions like QB, DT, etc. the success rate drops off much more. Therefore, while an OG might be the 'safer' pick it is not a good value pick because you can get one later. Whereas a QB might have a lower top-5 success rate - the rate in lower rounds gets lower and lower and lower.
Basically elite skill position players will always have a larger boom or bust ratio. Thats why they are valued.
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Originally Posted by Cassel's Reckoning:

Matt once made a very nice play in Seattle where he spun away from a pass rusher and hit Bowe off his back foot for a first down.

One of the best plays Matt has ever made.
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