Quote:
Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP
This is just a snapshot and isn't enough info to make any claims. You're looking at success rate without looking at value. OG had the highest success rate - but you can get an OG later in the draft and still have a pretty good success rate. However, when you look at other positions like QB, DT, etc. the success rate drops off much more. Therefore, while an OG might be the 'safer' pick it is not a good value pick because you can get one later. Whereas a QB might have a lower top-5 success rate - the rate in lower rounds gets lower and lower and lower.
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Oh, for crying out loud.... What this shows is that, despite the inane bleatings of Mecca and company on this issue, quarterback is the most likely position to be a wasted pick if the player is taken in the top 5. It doesn't mean that no QB taken in the top 5 will ever pan out. The asinine notion that people are "scared" because they don't want to piss away a top 5 pick on a QB that they don't think will succeed against the odds is just taking hit after hit.
As for value, what the hell is the 'value' of failure? What's the longterm value of drafting Ryan Leaf?