A question about the NFL draft value chart.

**Rain Man** · 02-20-2009, 07:30 PM

The draft value chart assigns points to each draft pick. The #3 pick is worth 2,200, the #35 pick is worth 560, and so on. Supposedly, teams use this chart to determine if they're getting a fair value on trades involving draft picks.

In theory, this makes a lot of sense.

However, I think there's a problem with it. The NFL draft is a very variable process. Every year, there's a different group of players, and the best ones play different positions and have different levels of skill.

For example, I keep hearing that this draft class is pretty mediocre on high-value positions, and a lot of the best players are at positions that shouldn't be taken with high picks.

This raises the question: If "the chart" says our pick is worth 2,200 points, (and "the chart" says that this is the equivalent of getting the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd round picks of the team drafting #8), would you take less than that value for the pick? So for example if the team drafting #11 offered their 1st, 2nd, and 3rd round picks at a stated value of 1,860 points, would you say no because that's too low according to the chart, or would you consider it?

My theory is that the draft chart measures an average draft class, and at the tippy-top of the chart there can be wide variations. Therefore, there's an inefficiency in the system that can be exploited. In a draft with several great prospects, the #6 pick should be worth more than it is in a draft with only four great prospects.

What do you think?

View Poll Results: Should you always trade for equivalent value on the draft chart?
Yes. It's a proven concept and draft classes are generally consistent in talent.	2	16.67%
No. The draft chart is just a general guideline and values vary from year to year.	8	66.67%
I have Scott handle these types of things.	2	16.67%
Obama instituted a draft?	0	0%
Voters: 12. You may not vote on this poll

02-20-2009, 07:30 PM	Topic Starter
Rain Man Seize life. Be an ermine. Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $-692449 VARSITY	A question about the NFL draft value chart. The draft value chart assigns points to each draft pick. The #3 pick is worth 2,200, the #35 pick is worth 560, and so on. Supposedly, teams use this chart to determine if they're getting a fair value on trades involving draft picks. In theory, this makes a lot of sense. However, I think there's a problem with it. The NFL draft is a very variable process. Every year, there's a different group of players, and the best ones play different positions and have different levels of skill. For example, I keep hearing that this draft class is pretty mediocre on high-value positions, and a lot of the best players are at positions that shouldn't be taken with high picks. This raises the question: If "the chart" says our pick is worth 2,200 points, (and "the chart" says that this is the equivalent of getting the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd round picks of the team drafting #8), would you take less than that value for the pick? So for example if the team drafting #11 offered their 1st, 2nd, and 3rd round picks at a stated value of 1,860 points, would you say no because that's too low according to the chart, or would you consider it? My theory is that the draft chart measures an average draft class, and at the tippy-top of the chart there can be wide variations. Therefore, there's an inefficiency in the system that can be exploited. In a draft with several great prospects, the #6 pick should be worth more than it is in a draft with only four great prospects. What do you think?
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