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Old 07-26-2011, 03:23 AM   Topic Starter
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Pro Football Focus: Sophomore Spotlight – Eric Berry

Fantasy: Sophomore Spotlight – Eric Berry
June 19th, 2011 | Author: Ross Miles

A winner of both the Jim Thorpe and Jack Tatum Awards for the nation’s top defensive back in 2009, Berry elected to enter the NFL Draft after his junior season. Arguably the best and safest prospect in the 2010 NFL Draft class, similar to this year’s Patrick Peterson, general consensus was that despite elite talent, a defensive back is not #1 draft pick material. Berry fell to the fifth overall pick where Kansas City was happy to select a player with 14 college interceptions on his resume.

Berry instantly became a day 1 starter, not missing a single snap all season. He showcased his versatility in his playmaking abilities in his rookie season, charting 90 total tackles, 2 sacks, 4 interceptions and a forced fumble, quickly becoming a top 10 fantasy safety.

It wasn’t all smooth sailing though for Berry, who started poorly, allowing 6/6 passes completed for 190 yards and 3 touchdowns through the first 2 games. In fact, he saw a marked jump in his performance from week 8 onwards, halving his YAC allowed and only allowing 1 touchdown.

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Eric Berry - PFF gradings by week
% Ct Tot. Yds Avg. Cat YAC TD Int PD Passer Rating
Weeks 1-7 78.6% 249 16.7 84 6 1 1 117.5
Weeks 8-17 50.0% 140 8.4 48 1 3 5 60.0

Berry ended the season as PFF’s #20 graded safety at +3.8, but most impressively he was our #7 pass-rushing safety (+3.4). Berry rushed the passer on only 4.95% of snaps (35 times), but disrupted the quarterback on 34.29% of his blitzes (12 times). If given the opportunity to blitz more often in 2011 he could pad his fantasy points nicely.

To be a top fantasy defensive back you need to be able to make consistent tackles too. Again Berry improved after week 7, upping his solo tackles per game from 3.5 to 5.2. Those figures don’t include his season best performance in the playoffs, when he reached double-digits for the first time against Baltimore. He was also more effective at making stops, charting 24 in the final ten games having made 4 in the first six games.

A true dynamic threat, Berry made four interceptions last season, including one for touchdown against Tennessee when he beat 5 Titans on the way to the endzone. Playing for the Tennessee Volunteers in college Berry made 14 picks, returning three for touchdown and 494 total yards. He reminds me of Ed Reed in the way he makes interceptions and finds a way to return the ball, and Reed has 20 and 3 TDs in the past three seasons.

The IDP team at PFF quite likes Berry to break out as a fantasy stud in 2011. Our projection model ranks Berry as the #2 defensive back in 2011, behind only LaRon Landry, but our combined wisdom has him ranked as our top DB prospect.
Rk Player Team Pos Snaps Tks Asst Sks TL Int PD FF Pts
2 Eric Berry KC SS 1104 85 17 2 4 4 12 1 158

We expect Berry to be a prized IDP asset, who should be targeted early in all fantasy formats this season. 90 total tackles make you a solid fantasy option, but supplementing that with explosive interceptions and a dangerous pass-rush makes you elite. In our IDP Dynasty rankings, only Lawrence Timmons, Patrick Willis and Justin Tuck have higher values, showing just how much we like Berry.
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