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Old 01-14-2022, 01:29 AM  
Rain Man Rain Man is offline
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Our likely divisional-round opponents
I'm running the numbers based on the point spreads, and here are our odds of playing each divisional-round possibility.

Bills - 58.3 percent (Chiefs win, Bills win)
Bengals - 20.9 percent (Chiefs win, patriots win, Bengals win)
(No one) - 11.3 percent (We draw those amateur refs from the Bengals game)
Raiders - 9.4 percent (Chiefs win, patriots win, Raiders win)

Just figured I'd share this.
Last edited by Rain Man; 01-14-2022 at 01:52 AM..
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:37 AM   #2
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is offline
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I'm really hoping the Raiders and Pats win

And the Chiefs too
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:39 AM   #3
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this is wrong

we get the bills if they win no matter what

if the patriots win, we get the winner of LV/CIN

its going to be 0 degrees in Buffalo Saturday night so I think the Patriots have a better than average chance of winning that game...I am not gonna be shocked if the Patriots go to Tennessee, beat a terrible Titans offense, and show up in Arrowhead to get WHOMPED
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:41 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin View Post
I'm really hoping the Raiders and Pats win

And the Chiefs too
I don't see why so many people are scared of meeting these teams in Arrowhead. The Chiefs have been a dominant force at home lately.

I'd like to see the Titans lose so that KC can host the AFCC, but aside from that, bring 'em on.
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:42 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
this is wrong

we get the bills if they win no matter what

if the patriots win, we get the winner of LV/CIN

its going to be 0 degrees in Buffalo Saturday night so I think the Patriots have a better than average chance of winning that game...I am not gonna be shocked if the Patriots go to Tennessee, beat a terrible Titans offense, and show up in Arrowhead to get WHOMPED
Oh, dang, you're right. I forgot that there was a worthless #1 seed that gets the lowest seed. Let me rerun it.
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:45 AM   #6
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If the Bills lose to the Patriots, their fanbase should just head to the edge of the top of Niagara Falls and collectively jump.
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:47 AM   #7
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Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar View Post
I don't see why so many people are scared of meeting these teams in Arrowhead. The Chiefs have been a dominant force at home lately.

I'd like to see the Titans lose so that KC can host the AFCC, but aside from that, bring 'em on.
I really want to face the Patriots in Arrowhead . Other than that it would be fun to beat the Raiders 40-3 again.
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:49 AM   #8
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rain Man View Post
I'm running the numbers based on the point spreads, and here are our odds of playing each divisional-round possibility.



Just figured I'd share this.


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Old 01-14-2022, 01:51 AM   #9
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Okay, it's fixed now and we're back in business. Big changes occur when you take into account that we're not the #1 seed.
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Old 01-14-2022, 02:20 AM   #10
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Old 01-14-2022, 03:10 AM   #11
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Boy, this really makes you root for the Patriots now.

This is our easiest path to a SB. We duck Josh Allen, and only have to knock off one elite QB to get back to the Super Bowl.

Of course, it'd be just as satisfying to put the Bills back in their place.
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Old 01-14-2022, 04:28 AM   #12
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I'll gladly take the Bills. I fear nothing of Allen. Especially in a big game.
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Old 01-14-2022, 09:12 AM   #13
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Makes me realize how hosed we got with the new 17 game/playoff rules.

Instead of having a bye week we have to play the scrubby Steelers who have barely a chance to win.
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Old 01-14-2022, 09:13 AM   #14
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It’s be nice to handle the Steelers first.
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Old 01-14-2022, 09:16 AM   #15
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If something terrible happens this weekend and the Steelers find a way to win... you can point back to this thread.
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