Week 15 Potential Upset Alerts Here!!!

[Megatron96]

So, since we're heading into a mini-bye, i thought it might be fun to see if there are any interesting potential upsets this week. Obviously, one would've been the TNF game if SEA had managed to steal a W vs. SF last night, for the playoff implications, but also the QB stories in that game with Geno Smith's resurgence as a starting QB, but also the enigma that was Brock Purdy the rookie.

Anyway, so i was looking at the schedule for this week, and there's a couple obvious ones in there, but also some that are more subtle. But all could be fun watches, especially for the upset potentials.

So, the easy one is, of course, MIA traveling to Buffalo tomorrow. Naturally, there are the playoff implications for both teams, but also how a W for either team could affect the other AFC front-runners, including KC. Then there's the weather factor, and the fact that Tua has never won a game in weather colder than 45 degrees, but this might be the first time that MIA has a real shot at earning the 1-seed in the playoffs if they can steal a win here. So it should be a hard-fought game either way. I'll leave it at that for now, so others can put their two cents in on what they think might happen, and which other games might be interesting upsets, playoff implications be damned.


Some potential upsets:

Can the stumbling Steelers get a W against a Panthers team that might still have a shot to get into the playoffs?

Can Trevor lawrence show out and prove he belongs by leading the Jags and take advantage of a reeling Cowboys team?

Can the Titans eliminate the Chargers once and for all?

Go!!!

[lewdog]

There are no upsets, only rigging!!!!

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by lewdog

There are no upsets, only rigging!!!!

Lolz

[007]

Dallas thought they were heading into a mini bye too. Play the game.

[NJChiefsFan]

I don't think a loss would eliminate the Chargers. I think even with a loss they have a good chance of getting in.

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by 007

Dallas thought they were heading into a mini bye too. Play the game.

Lol, do you know what Mahomes' record is after having a 2+ turnover game? It's a really small sample size, but it's like 3-0. And he threw 9 TDs in those three games. And ZERO interceptions.

wbf.

[MMXcalibur]

The Dolphins will erase the Bills from existence!

[007]

Originally Posted by Megatron96

Lol, do you know what Mahomes' record is after having a 2+ turnover game? It's a really small sample size, but it's like 3-0. And he threw 9 TDs in those three games. And ZERO interceptions.

wbf.

I am aware. Still, any given Sunday. This team sometimes has a habit of playing down to the competition.

They should blow them out. I expect them to. Doesn't mean they will.

[Rasputin]

[jjchieffan]

Chargers and Titans is a toss up to me. Those 2 teams have just been so inconsistent this year. Jags beating the Cowturds would definitely be an upset and I would love to see it. As far as Steelers Panthers, Wilks has had the Panthers playing better and the Steelers will likely be starting turdbisky so I expect Panthers to win that one. With the slump that the Fins have been in, them going into Buffalo and winning would be a huge upset. I hope that they pull it off, but I'm not holding my breath.

[dlphg9]

Originally Posted by 007

I am aware. Still, any given Sunday. This team sometimes has a habit of playing down to the competition.

They should blow them out. I expect them to. Doesn't mean they will.

This team under Patrick Mahomes has never lost to a team even close to as bad as the Texans. The Colts this year are by far the worst team we've ever lost to. The previous worst loss was to the Colts in 2019 and they finished the season 7-9.

Patrick's had 16 losses in the regular season.

The teams he has lost to are a combined 153-97-1.

2018 losses and opponents record

New England 11-5
Rams 13-3
Chargers 12-4
Seattle 10-6

2019 losses and opportunities record

Indy 7-9
Houston 10-6
Tennessee 9-7

2020 losses

Raiders 8-8

2021

Balt 8-9
Chargers 9-8
Bills 11-6
Tennessee 12-5
Bengals 10-6

2022

Colts 4-8-1
Bills 10-3
Bengals 9-4

So as you can see, Patrick Mahomes has one loss and the loss only happened because of special teams and a ref decided to change the outcome of the game based on a mean thing Chris Jones said to Matt Ryan.

Anyone that has any doubt whatsoever just likes to whine. I have 0 doubt that we win this game. it might not be a blowout and maybe they don't cover, but I'd literally bet my life that they will win.

[KC_Lee]

I Just want a nice & bland 28 - 10 win. Patrick throws a couple of TDs, a rushing TD, and 2nd string in from mid 3rd quarter to end of game with IP10 clinching the game for us with 120+ rushing yards.

[007]

Originally Posted by dlphg9

This team under Patrick Mahomes has never lost to a team even close to as bad as the Texans. The Colts this year are by far the worst team we've ever lost to. The previous worst loss was to the Colts in 2019 and they finished the season 7-9.

Patrick's had 16 losses in the regular season.

The teams he has lost to are a combined 153-97-1.

2018 losses and opponents record

New England 11-5
Rams 13-3
Chargers 12-4
Seattle 10-6

2019 losses and opportunities record

Indy 7-9
Houston 10-6
Tennessee 9-7

2020 losses

Raiders 8-8

2021

Balt 8-9
Chargers 9-8
Bills 11-6
Tennessee 12-5
Bengals 10-6

2022

Colts 4-8-1
Bills 10-3
Bengals 9-4

So as you can see, Patrick Mahomes has one loss and the loss only happened because of special teams and a ref decided to change the outcome of the game based on a mean thing Chris Jones said to Matt Ryan.

Anyone that has any doubt whatsoever just likes to whine. I have 0 doubt that we win this game. it might not be a blowout and maybe they don't cover, but I'd literally bet my life that they will win.

Good lord. Go outside and and take a break from the internet.

[New World Order]

De berg just sent me a text: Texans over Chiefs

[Megatron96]

I'll just mention one other game, that being the MNF between the visiting LA Rams led by Baker Mayfield and Aaron Rodgers' GB Packers at what will probably be a very cold (predicting 19 degrees) and possibly snowy Lambeau Field.

Now, Vegas has this a dominating win for GB laying -7.5 to the Rams, and the ML is -300, so Vegas is pretty sure that GB is going to dominate the Rams on Monday night. And on paper that looks about right.

Add in the fact that GB is still mathematically in the hunt for the playoffs, while LAR is definitely not, there's no reason to doubt the prognosticators in LV.

However;

The Rams do have an outside chance to steal a W here. Sure, the Rams still feature the league's worst pass-blocking OL, as well as one of the worst rushing attacks in the league. And yeah, they're going to start their WRs 4/5/6 because their WRs 1/2/3 are all injured, and their TE1, Higbee, hasn't been a factor for weeks now because he's been spending all his snaps helping block instead of running routes. And of course, then there's Baker Mayfield, who did lead them to as unlikely a win last Sunday night, but that was against one of the worst pass defenses in the league. And everyone knows that Baker will do Baker things sooner or later and fail to put together another complete performance.

But wait! There's some chinks in the GB armor the Rams can exploit, check it out.

The Packers defense allows 24 points/game, but their offense is only scoring about 21 points/game. They give up about 2 TDs/gm, and almost 350 yds/gm. They are 3rd against the pass, but allow a 66% completion rate, and have only 24 sacks on the season. However, they rank 30th against the run, giving up about 155yds/gm. And finally, the Packers are allowing opponents to score TDs in the RZ about 56% of the time, about 19th in the league.

So the Packers are terrible against the run, so even the anemic Rams rush might be just effective enough to allow the PA to work like it did vs. the Raiders last Sunday.

And it's obvious that the Packers secondary will allow teams to catch passes, just not anything very long (6.9yds/rec). So the Rams second-string receivers might be able to compete with the Packers secondary and not get shut down.

They don't get a lot of sacks, so probably not that much pressure, so even the Rams OL might allow some kind of a passing attack.

Everything else is pretty much on the Rams defense being able to shut down the GB offense, or more realistically, just not allow GB to score over their season average of 21 points. So, how do they do that? Well, according to Teamrankings.com, LAR allows fewer points/gm, fewer yards/gm, fewer yds/play, fewer TDs/gm, and the second-best RZ defense in the league. They allow just 102 rush yads/gm, and just 0.6 rushing TDs/gm.

So it is possible for the Rams defense to just play to their average and slow down an already struggling GB team just enough to give the Rams offense a chance in this one.

It'll still be a tall task, as each unit will have to play nearly error-free football, and Baker can't have a let-down performance at all. In fact, he'll have to be better than he was Sunday night. The Packer defense may not be elite, but they are a lot better than the Raiders defense, so everything will be harder. And of course, that's Aaron Rodgers over there. He is always capable of just having a historic performance.

But if the Rams can do what they did to the Chiefs a few weeks ago and the Raiders last Sunday, and keep GB out of the EZ, the Rams could pull off a second miracle and begin a winning streak starting with upsetting the Packers on MNF, and possibly putting the final nail in future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers' retirement plans by effectively knocking the Packers out of the playoff race.


Should be a fun game. And who knows? It might be the last MNF of Aaron Rogers' career. Or the second page in the rebirth of Mayfield's career as a starter in the NFL. Nice pile of chips on the table in this one.