Chiefs Home Field Advantage

**DaFace** · 12-28-2015, 05:03 PM

Just for fun, I ran some numbers on the season to try and get a feel for what's happening when we're at Arrowhead vs. on the road. As a caveat, I'm considering the London game to be a road game no matter what the NFL says.

Record:
Home - 4-2 (0.667)
Road - 6-3 (0.667)

On that metric, we're pretty much even for the season. Doesn't tell us too much. However, during the win streak, more of them have come on the road than have come at home (6 vs. 4), so that's mildly interesting.

Point Differential (average):
Home: +3.5 (6 games)
Road: +10.1 (9 games)

As I'd kind of suspected, we play games MUCH closer when we're at Arrowhead. That doesn't mean we lose them, but we seem to take the foot off the pedal more at home.

Point Differential (average - win streak only):
Home: +7.3 (4 games)
Road: +20.3 (6 games)

So even when we throw out the losses and just look at margin of victory, we're blowing people out of the water on the road, but not even winning by more than one score at home.

So what the hell? Why do we shut it down at home, but step on their throats on the road? And are these trends enough to make us consider how we might play in two weeks?

12-28-2015, 05:03 PM	Topic Starter
DaFace Kind of a mod Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land Casino cash: $-1883101	Home Field Advantage Just for fun, I ran some numbers on the season to try and get a feel for what's happening when we're at Arrowhead vs. on the road. As a caveat, I'm considering the London game to be a road game no matter what the NFL says. Record: Home - 4-2 (0.667) Road - 6-3 (0.667) On that metric, we're pretty much even for the season. Doesn't tell us too much. However, during the win streak, more of them have come on the road than have come at home (6 vs. 4), so that's mildly interesting. Point Differential (average): Home: +3.5 (6 games) Road: +10.1 (9 games) As I'd kind of suspected, we play games MUCH closer when we're at Arrowhead. That doesn't mean we lose them, but we seem to take the foot off the pedal more at home. Point Differential (average - win streak only): Home: +7.3 (4 games) Road: +20.3 (6 games) So even when we throw out the losses and just look at margin of victory, we're blowing people out of the water on the road, but not even winning by more than one score at home. So what the hell? Why do we shut it down at home, but step on their throats on the road? And are these trends enough to make us consider how we might play in two weeks?
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