Chiefs Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is?

oaklandhater · 11-18-2016, 02:52 PM

http://kcpridesince99.sportsblog.com...ht-he-is-.html

Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is?
Jordan Foote , KC Sports Talk on November 16
0

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Coming into the season, Chiefs fans were looking for a lot less of this:

And a LOT more of this:

Anyone that has watched Alex Smith play during his 3 and a half years in Kansas City knows that he is a mobile quarterback with playmaking ability. Those same people also know that Smith is not as good at stretching the field compared to other quarterbacks. The eye test gives pretty solid evidence for that. The GIF above shows you the playmaking ability, but also: Alex is stretching the field! With a revamped offensive line, developing receivers and a fantastic RB Core, Alex should be ready more than ever to push the ball down the field, right? Right? Right?

Sadly, statistics aren't on our side. Alex has averaged 6.7 YPA (Yards Per Attempt) this season. Compare this to last year's average (7.4) and you are saying to yourself "Wow! I had no clue he had regressed in the YPA department this season..." The famous eye test sure doesn't do it justice, but our reality is that Alex is throwing the ball shorter than he was last year, which we didn't know was truly possible.

This doesn't mean that "Captain Checkdown" is making a return. This doesn't mean that Alex Smith isn't capable of throwing the deep ball. This simply means that Alex Smith is throwing the ball a shorter distance down the field compared to last season. Now, many factors can contribute to that. Below is a table of Alex's opponent, attempts and yards per attempt.

Opponent
Attempts
YPA
San Diego Chargers
48
7.56
Houston Texans
37
5.03
New York Jets
33
7.18
Pittsburgh Steelers
50
5.74
Oakland Raiders
22
10.18
New Orleans Saints
24
8.92
Indianapolis Colts
19
6.68
Carolina Panthers
38
4.68
7.1 YPA is the NFL Median so far this season, meaning that 7.1 is the middle of the road in terms of YPA. Alex Smith has thrown for above 7.1 YPA in 4 out of 8 games this season, with 4/8 below the median as well. His average in a game OVER YPA is 2.72. When he performs under the median level, he does so at an average of 1.57 YPA. This data may seem meaningless, but there is actually a lot that can be interpreted from it.

2.72 is greater than 1.57. When Alex Smith is stretching the field, he is doing so very well. When he doesn't stretch the field, he does so at a bit better of a distance from the median. He has great moments and bad moments.

Good moment:

Bad moment:

To make a long story short, Alex Smith is what we thought he is. Coming into the season, we wanted him to stretch the field more and make more big plays. He has done so, but there has been no in between. This is just the tip of the iceberg. I am not going to go in depth about how many good defenses he's faced or how his progressions look, etc. but I am going to say this: Alex is who we thought he is, a QB that can make throws on occasion, but can not make them consistently. Stay tuned for more analysis. Until then, here's what we used to put up with:

WolfmanJoe · 11-18-2016, 03:34 PM

No, he's worse, because now he can't run.

He has one more year of being a guy who can get you a one and done, and then he's done as a viable starting NFL QB.

Rest in peace, rich mother****er. Hope you enjoyed ripping off KC and the Hunts, now get the **** out.

TigeRRUppeRRcut · 11-18-2016, 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WolfmanJoe

No, he's worse, because now he can't run.

He has one more year of being a guy who can get you a one and done, and then he's done as a viable starting NFL QB.

Rest in peace, rich mother****er. Hope you enjoyed ripping off KC and the Hunts, now get the **** out.

Clay???

MTG#10 · 11-18-2016, 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WolfmanJoe

No, he's worse, because now he can't run.

He has one more year of being a guy who can get you a one and done, and then he's done as a viable starting NFL QB.

Rest in peace, rich mother****er. Hope you enjoyed ripping off KC and the Hunts, now get the **** out.

Welcome back Clay

**jjchieffan** · 11-19-2016, 05:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WolfmanJoe

No, he's worse, because now he can't run.

He has one more year of being a guy who can get you a one and done, and then he's done as a viable starting NFL QB.

Rest in peace, rich mother****er. Hope you enjoyed ripping off KC and the Hunts, now get the **** out.

Hey Clay, doesn't someone own your Sig and avatar rights for the rest of the season?

**Dartgod** · 11-18-2016, 03:38 PM

Oh hey, another Alex Smith thread!

**Baby Lee** · 11-18-2016, 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WolfmanJoe

No, he's worse, because now he can't run.

He has one more year of being a guy who can get you a one and done, and then he's done as a viable starting NFL QB.

Rest in peace, rich mother****er. Hope you enjoyed ripping off KC and the Hunts, now get the **** out.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dartgod

Oh hey, another Alex Smith thread!

Oh hey! Another Claynus mult.

MTG#10 · 11-18-2016, 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Baby Lee

Oh hey! Another Claynus mult.

Yeah this one is very obvious. Hates Alex Smith, loves Trump, space between every line in all of his posts. He's not even trying to be discreet anymore.

Reerun_KC · 11-18-2016, 03:40 PM

I am sick of Alex Smith and Alex Smith threads... Someday he will be gone and we can have hope and peace.

splatbass · 11-18-2016, 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Reerun_KC

I am sick of Alex Smith and Alex Smith threads... Someday he will be gone and we can have hope and peace.

There will never be hope or peace here. CP is full of people who live to bitch.

rabblerouser · 11-20-2016, 07:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Reerun_KC

I am sick of Alex Smith and Alex Smith threads... Someday he will be gone and we can have hope and peace.

Well I'm tired of Alex Smith throwing passes for the KC Chiefs, because he sucks.

splatbass · 11-20-2016, 07:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rabblerouser

Well I'm tired of Alex Smith throwing passes for the KC Chiefs, because he sucks.

So it isn't rigged?

rabblerouser · 11-20-2016, 07:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by splatbass

So it isn't rigged?

If it's not, then Reid is ****ing stupid and is a liability as a head football coach.

You pick.

splatbass · 11-20-2016, 07:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rabblerouser

If it's not, then Reid is ****ing stupid and is a liability as a head football coach.

You pick.

There are legitimate criticisms of Reid. He doesn't manage the clock well, he doesn't run the ball when we have 1st and goal inside the 5, etc., but lets not forget we were 2-14 and flying banners above arrowhead before he came here. He has consistently fielded competitive teams for more than 15 years. We are better off with him than we have been in a long, long time.

Warrior5 · 11-18-2016, 03:43 PM

I'll answer after Sunday...

Positive waves, baby/Oddball

11-18-2016, 02:52 PM	Topic Starter
oaklandhater future chiefs fans Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: oakland california Casino cash: $5828993	Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is? http://kcpridesince99.sportsblog.com...ht-he-is-.html Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is? Jordan Foote , KC Sports Talk on November 16 0 Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports Coming into the season, Chiefs fans were looking for a lot less of this: And a LOT more of this: Anyone that has watched Alex Smith play during his 3 and a half years in Kansas City knows that he is a mobile quarterback with playmaking ability. Those same people also know that Smith is not as good at stretching the field compared to other quarterbacks. The eye test gives pretty solid evidence for that. The GIF above shows you the playmaking ability, but also: Alex is stretching the field! With a revamped offensive line, developing receivers and a fantastic RB Core, Alex should be ready more than ever to push the ball down the field, right? Right? Right? Sadly, statistics aren't on our side. Alex has averaged 6.7 YPA (Yards Per Attempt) this season. Compare this to last year's average (7.4) and you are saying to yourself "Wow! I had no clue he had regressed in the YPA department this season..." The famous eye test sure doesn't do it justice, but our reality is that Alex is throwing the ball shorter than he was last year, which we didn't know was truly possible. This doesn't mean that "Captain Checkdown" is making a return. This doesn't mean that Alex Smith isn't capable of throwing the deep ball. This simply means that Alex Smith is throwing the ball a shorter distance down the field compared to last season. Now, many factors can contribute to that. Below is a table of Alex's opponent, attempts and yards per attempt. Opponent Attempts YPA San Diego Chargers 48 7.56 Houston Texans 37 5.03 New York Jets 33 7.18 Pittsburgh Steelers 50 5.74 Oakland Raiders 22 10.18 New Orleans Saints 24 8.92 Indianapolis Colts 19 6.68 Carolina Panthers 38 4.68 7.1 YPA is the NFL Median so far this season, meaning that 7.1 is the middle of the road in terms of YPA. Alex Smith has thrown for above 7.1 YPA in 4 out of 8 games this season, with 4/8 below the median as well. His average in a game OVER YPA is 2.72. When he performs under the median level, he does so at an average of 1.57 YPA. This data may seem meaningless, but there is actually a lot that can be interpreted from it. 2.72 is greater than 1.57. When Alex Smith is stretching the field, he is doing so very well. When he doesn't stretch the field, he does so at a bit better of a distance from the median. He has great moments and bad moments. Good moment: Bad moment: To make a long story short, Alex Smith is what we thought he is. Coming into the season, we wanted him to stretch the field more and make more big plays. He has done so, but there has been no in between. This is just the tip of the iceberg. I am not going to go in depth about how many good defenses he's faced or how his progressions look, etc. but I am going to say this: Alex is who we thought he is, a QB that can make throws on occasion, but can not make them consistently. Stay tuned for more analysis. Until then, here's what we used to put up with:
Posts: 24,003

11-18-2016, 03:34 PM	#2
WolfmanJoe Starter Join Date: Nov 2016 Casino cash: $10000400	No, he's worse, because now he can't run. He has one more year of being a guy who can get you a one and done, and then he's done as a viable starting NFL QB. Rest in peace, rich mother**er. Hope you enjoyed ripping off KC and the Hunts, now get the ** out.
Posts: 54

11-18-2016, 03:38 PM	#6
Dartgod Wasted away again... Join Date: Aug 2000 Location: in Margaritaville Casino cash: $3610000	Oh hey, another Alex Smith thread! __________________ If you shed a tear for me, please make it a tear of joy. -Joe Tracy (Nzoner) . .
Posts: 52,214

11-18-2016, 03:40 PM	#9
Reerun_KC Banned Join Date: Aug 2005 Casino cash: $7231160	I am sick of Alex Smith and Alex Smith threads... Someday he will be gone and we can have hope and peace.
Posts: 1,529

11-18-2016, 03:43 PM	#15
Warrior5 Stram was Cav Join Date: Aug 2000 Location: Chiefsplanet Casino cash: $8054010	I'll answer after Sunday... Positive waves, baby/Oddball __________________ The best pass defense is attacking the passer.
Posts: 5,240