Money Gambling advice needed!

**Ming the Merciless** · 01-15-2020, 07:09 PM

Hey so clearly the Chiefs will win by 20+ so no advice needed on that one...

But...Three questions for all the gamblers here:

1) The Chiefs over/under is at 52. In years past I would take the under in a heartbeat but this year I am inclined to go with the over....what say you ?

2) The niners are giving up 7 points or even 7.5 to GB. I do think the niners will win....but will they win by 8+? SHould I take GB and take 7 or 7.5 points? Help! I haven't watched a ton of GB games so I have no idea whats happening with them this season but I do know the niners have a hell of a team...Ive watched them quite a bit.

3) The over / under for the niners is around 45. I have no idea on this one....how is GB's defense....? What do you guys think the total score will be?

Keep in mind this is all for fun, I am going to do a couple parlay cards and maybe put down 20 bucks to try to win $100 or something....I was just wondering if anyone else had placed any bets and what their logic was.

Thanks so much..

Your Lover,

Pawnmower

Eleazar · 01-15-2020, 07:13 PM

Give me half the money you would have lost, I'll take you out back and kick you in the nuts, we'll call it a day.

Megatron96 · 01-15-2020, 07:42 PM

Check the weather, but if it's not going to be raining, (snow is fine), take the over. TEN is going to score some points; probably around 20. Chiefs are going to score more than 30.

If you have it available and the vig is the same (-110, Was for me), I'd just take the Chiefs to score more than 30.5 for the game.

The 49ers/GB game is a little tougher, IMO. I think the 49ers are going to win. But by a TD is tough. I think the sharps are taking the points, GB +7.5.

Again, I'd probably take the over. The Packers don't run defend that well, and the 49ers can run. Packers have Aaron and Aaron. Unlikely this game stays under 45, IMO.

If you're going to play a parlay, I'd buy all the 0.5 points. The parlay multiplier makes up for the points. YMMV.

**lewdog** · 01-15-2020, 08:02 PM

Talk to TLO or Why Not.

They are gambling addicts.

Why Not? · 01-15-2020, 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog

Talk to TLO or Why Not.

They are gambling addicts.

Bet you I’m not!

Megatron96 · 01-15-2020, 08:10 PM

I didn't touch the 49ers/GB game btw.

If I had to, I'd probably take the over and leave the rest of it alone.

I took the Chiefs to score over 30.5 points; that's about as close to a lock as there is between these two games.

Threw a flier parlay at the Chiefs -9 (vig was +107) and the over.

Why Not? · 01-15-2020, 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Megatron96

I took the Chiefs to score over 30.5 points; that's about as close to a lock as there is between these two games.

Smart man.

Why Not? · 01-15-2020, 08:14 PM

Honestly, I try to stay away from action on Chiefs games unless it’s the $ line or the Chiefs team total. Chiefs laying the number is okay also. I would never bet the under on a Chiefs game. Weird shit happens to people when $ is on the line and I don’t ever want to be at a place where I am not rooting for the Chiefs to score points. I also don’t really ever bet the over on a Chiefs game for the same reason, but opposite side. I want Chiefs opponents to score no points ever. Look at the Chiefs team total. Last week it was 30.5. Cha ching cha ching!

Here’s how you make a bunch of money on the NFC game.

Two leg 6 point Teaser. Packers plus 13 and over 32. Profit.

Why Not? · 01-15-2020, 08:20 PM

I think I’m staying away from the Chiefs this week. I’m going to the game so that’s rush enough. Plus if we win, I won’t need money to fly home. If we lose(not happening) while scoring 35(LOL)I won’t give a **** about the $ I would’ve won. I’m all in on emotion this week!

Well...emotions and the late game

**Nzoner** · 01-16-2020, 07:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Why Not?

I think I’m staying away from the Chiefs this week. I’m going to the game so that’s rush enough. Plus if we win, I won’t need money to fly home. If we lose(not happening) while scoring 35(LOL)I won’t give a **** about the $ I would’ve won. I’m all in on emotion this week!

Well...emotions and the late game

Back in August I picked a Packers/Chiefs SB on the bold prediction thread here and am sticking with it.That said the only things I'd throw a few bucks on is the Packers spread and moneyline.

A few random thoughts

1.While most of the talk is about the 9er's defense(rightfully so) do not sleep on the Packers D,the Smith brothers and Martinez are play makers and I look for them to do just that.

2.Rodgers has some serious personal motivation here as he(wanting to be a 49er) was passed over in the draft by them for Alex Smith and when being interviewed afterwards basically said the 49ers would be sorry for that decision someday.

3.While the 49er's look to be the better team I'll still take the playoff experience of Rodgers.

4.Lastly and the reason for my August prediction,it's meant to be,what better way to top off the 100th season of the NFL than a rematch of the first championship game.

**RealSNR** · 01-15-2020, 08:23 PM

Do you still have Hootie's cell number?

Chiefshrink · 01-15-2020, 08:52 PM

Gambler's Anonymous

bricks · 01-15-2020, 09:09 PM

I think its going to be Chiefs vs Packers in the Superbowl this year.

I’d pick the Pack to beat the 49ers.

I think thats worth a shot. I like Rodgers a lot against the 49ers. And, maybe the NFL would want a Chiefs/Packers finale? I wouldn’t be surprised if GB gets a few calls go their way that could determine the difference in the outcome of the game.

If I were you; I would go with moneyline bet365 bro. The line is pretty good for the Packers at +265. Which means you bet a $100 and if the Pack win you get $365 back! Not too shabby. I think thats a good risk. The payout says it all.

Great Expectations · 01-15-2020, 09:57 PM

Since December 1 all but one of the 49ers games have been decided by 7 points or less.

Since December 1 only one Chief game has been decided by 7 points or less and it was the 7 point victory at New England.

Why Not? · 01-15-2020, 10:06 PM

You could also try to kinda “middle” the late game. Bet $300 on the Niners $ line then bet $200 on the Packers to cover the 7.5.

Decent chance you win both and have a nice little come up. If the Niners blowout GB, you get about a 45% rebate and have about 3 hours of entertainment for roughly $115. If GB wins, you lose about $125 total, but again for 3 hours of entertainment. Try getting an hourly average like that on any casino game.

01-15-2020, 07:09 PM	Topic Starter
Ming the Merciless Emporer of Mongo Join Date: Apr 2010 Location: Milky Way Casino cash: $2697556	Gambling advice needed! Hey so clearly the Chiefs will win by 20+ so no advice needed on that one... But...Three questions for all the gamblers here: 1) The Chiefs over/under is at 52. In years past I would take the under in a heartbeat but this year I am inclined to go with the over....what say you ? 2) The niners are giving up 7 points or even 7.5 to GB. I do think the niners will win....but will they win by 8+? SHould I take GB and take 7 or 7.5 points? Help! I haven't watched a ton of GB games so I have no idea whats happening with them this season but I do know the niners have a hell of a team...Ive watched them quite a bit. 3) The over / under for the niners is around 45. I have no idea on this one....how is GB's defense....? What do you guys think the total score will be? Keep in mind this is all for fun, I am going to do a couple parlay cards and maybe put down 20 bucks to try to win $100 or something....I was just wondering if anyone else had placed any bets and what their logic was. Thanks so much.. Your Lover, Pawnmower
Posts: 44,496

01-15-2020, 07:13 PM	#2
Eleazar Beyond the Rapids Join Date: May 2003 Location: Langley, VA Casino cash: $-370000	Give me half the money you would have lost, I'll take you out back and kick you in the nuts, we'll call it a day.
Posts: 80,659	2 0

01-15-2020, 07:42 PM	#3
Megatron96 Suupraa Geniuuusss Join Date: Jan 2019 Location: Phoenix, AZ Casino cash: $1670400	Check the weather, but if it's not going to be raining, (snow is fine), take the over. TEN is going to score some points; probably around 20. Chiefs are going to score more than 30. If you have it available and the vig is the same (-110, Was for me), I'd just take the Chiefs to score more than 30.5 for the game. The 49ers/GB game is a little tougher, IMO. I think the 49ers are going to win. But by a TD is tough. I think the sharps are taking the points, GB +7.5. Again, I'd probably take the over. The Packers don't run defend that well, and the 49ers can run. Packers have Aaron and Aaron. Unlikely this game stays under 45, IMO. If you're going to play a parlay, I'd buy all the 0.5 points. The parlay multiplier makes up for the points. YMMV.
Posts: 30,218	1 0

01-15-2020, 08:02 PM	#4
lewdog Mod Team Join Date: Sep 2011 Location: Valley of the hot as **** Casino cash: $1621900	Talk to TLO or Why Not. They are gambling addicts.
Posts: 45,660	1 0

01-15-2020, 08:10 PM	#6
Megatron96 Suupraa Geniuuusss Join Date: Jan 2019 Location: Phoenix, AZ Casino cash: $1670400	I didn't touch the 49ers/GB game btw. If I had to, I'd probably take the over and leave the rest of it alone. I took the Chiefs to score over 30.5 points; that's about as close to a lock as there is between these two games. Threw a flier parlay at the Chiefs -9 (vig was +107) and the over.
Posts: 30,218	1 0

01-15-2020, 08:14 PM	#8
Why Not? In Search of a Life Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: Kansas Casino cash: $2878994	Honestly, I try to stay away from action on Chiefs games unless it’s the $ line or the Chiefs team total. Chiefs laying the number is okay also. I would never bet the under on a Chiefs game. Weird shit happens to people when $ is on the line and I don’t ever want to be at a place where I am not rooting for the Chiefs to score points. I also don’t really ever bet the over on a Chiefs game for the same reason, but opposite side. I want Chiefs opponents to score no points ever. Look at the Chiefs team total. Last week it was 30.5. Cha ching cha ching! Here’s how you make a bunch of money on the NFC game. Two leg 6 point Teaser. Packers plus 13 and over 32. Profit.
Posts: 21,803

01-15-2020, 08:20 PM	#9
Why Not? In Search of a Life Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: Kansas Casino cash: $2878994	I think I’m staying away from the Chiefs this week. I’m going to the game so that’s rush enough. Plus if we win, I won’t need money to fly home. If we lose(not happening) while scoring 35(LOL)I won’t give a **** about the $ I would’ve won. I’m all in on emotion this week! Well...emotions and the late game
Posts: 21,803	1 0

01-15-2020, 09:09 PM	#13
bricks Hey Teacher! Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: land of maple syrup Casino cash: $9902559	I think its going to be Chiefs vs Packers in the Superbowl this year. I’d pick the Pack to beat the 49ers. I think thats worth a shot. I like Rodgers a lot against the 49ers. And, maybe the NFL would want a Chiefs/Packers finale? I wouldn’t be surprised if GB gets a few calls go their way that could determine the difference in the outcome of the game. If I were you; I would go with moneyline bet365 bro. The line is pretty good for the Packers at +265. Which means you bet a $100 and if the Pack win you get $365 back! Not too shabby. I think thats a good risk. The payout says it all. __________________ Adopt a chief: Pat Mahomes baby!
Posts: 5,513	1 0

01-15-2020, 09:57 PM	#14
Great Expectations MVP Join Date: Dec 2008 Location: Joplin, MO Casino cash: $13422338	Since December 1 all but one of the 49ers games have been decided by 7 points or less. Since December 1 only one Chief game has been decided by 7 points or less and it was the 7 point victory at New England. __________________
Posts: 7,228	1 0

01-15-2020, 10:06 PM	#15
Why Not? In Search of a Life Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: Kansas Casino cash: $2878994	You could also try to kinda “middle” the late game. Bet $300 on the Niners $ line then bet $200 on the Packers to cover the 7.5. Decent chance you win both and have a nice little come up. If the Niners blowout GB, you get about a 45% rebate and have about 3 hours of entertainment for roughly $115. If GB wins, you lose about $125 total, but again for 3 hours of entertainment. Try getting an hourly average like that on any casino game.
Posts: 21,803