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Old 01-14-2022, 01:29 AM   Topic Starter
Rain Man Rain Man is offline
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Our likely divisional-round opponents
I'm running the numbers based on the point spreads, and here are our odds of playing each divisional-round possibility.

Bills - 58.3 percent (Chiefs win, Bills win)
Bengals - 20.9 percent (Chiefs win, patriots win, Bengals win)
(No one) - 11.3 percent (We draw those amateur refs from the Bengals game)
Raiders - 9.4 percent (Chiefs win, patriots win, Raiders win)

Just figured I'd share this.
Last edited by Rain Man; 01-14-2022 at 01:52 AM..
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:37 AM   #2
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is offline
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I'm really hoping the Raiders and Pats win

And the Chiefs too
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:41 AM   #3
RaidersOftheCellar RaidersOftheCellar is offline
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I'm really hoping the Raiders and Pats win

And the Chiefs too
I don't see why so many people are scared of meeting these teams in Arrowhead. The Chiefs have been a dominant force at home lately.

I'd like to see the Titans lose so that KC can host the AFCC, but aside from that, bring 'em on.
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:47 AM   #4
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is offline
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I don't see why so many people are scared of meeting these teams in Arrowhead. The Chiefs have been a dominant force at home lately.

I'd like to see the Titans lose so that KC can host the AFCC, but aside from that, bring 'em on.
I really want to face the Patriots in Arrowhead . Other than that it would be fun to beat the Raiders 40-3 again.
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:39 AM   #5
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this is wrong

we get the bills if they win no matter what

if the patriots win, we get the winner of LV/CIN

its going to be 0 degrees in Buffalo Saturday night so I think the Patriots have a better than average chance of winning that game...I am not gonna be shocked if the Patriots go to Tennessee, beat a terrible Titans offense, and show up in Arrowhead to get WHOMPED
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:42 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
this is wrong

we get the bills if they win no matter what

if the patriots win, we get the winner of LV/CIN

its going to be 0 degrees in Buffalo Saturday night so I think the Patriots have a better than average chance of winning that game...I am not gonna be shocked if the Patriots go to Tennessee, beat a terrible Titans offense, and show up in Arrowhead to get WHOMPED
Oh, dang, you're right. I forgot that there was a worthless #1 seed that gets the lowest seed. Let me rerun it.
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Old 01-15-2022, 09:41 PM   #7
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its going to be 0 degrees in Buffalo Saturday night so I think the Patriots have a better than average chance of winning that game...
Kiss of death
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Old 01-16-2022, 07:18 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
this is wrong

we get the bills if they win no matter what

if the patriots win, we get the winner of LV/CIN

its going to be 0 degrees in Buffalo Saturday night so I think the Patriots have a better than average chance of winning that game...I am not gonna be shocked if the Patriots go to Tennessee, beat a terrible Titans offense, and show up in Arrowhead to get WHOMPED

Goatsedradamus
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Old 01-16-2022, 08:34 AM   #9
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The Patriots run a complex defense that requires coordination or switching responsibilities of their defenders.

When done right it can frustrate many of the leagues top offenses, QBs. The problem was one of the easiest ways to counter it is Air Raid overs concept where WRs just cross the field towards each other and the QB just reads the region.

Guess what Daboll created as a major staple for the Buffalo offense?

Buffalo's offense just got to play scissors to another teams thin paper.

KC defense doesn't run 1 high safety trail coverage.

BBs disciple Flores had the same problem. He would run that scheme against Buffalo and Miami would get obliterated.
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:45 AM   #10
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If the Bills lose to the Patriots, their fanbase should just head to the edge of the top of Niagara Falls and collectively jump.
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Old 01-14-2022, 09:18 AM   #11
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If the Bills lose to the Patriots, their fanbase should just head to the edge of the top of Niagara Falls and collectively jump.
Some of them will.
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Old 01-14-2022, 09:18 AM   #12
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Some of them will.
Only if there's a folding table at the bottom.
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Old 01-14-2022, 10:37 AM   #13
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Originally Posted by Chieftain View Post
If the Bills lose to the Patriots, their fanbase should just head to the edge of the top of Niagara Falls and collectively jump.
With folding tables at the bottom for good measure!
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Old 01-14-2022, 01:49 AM   #14
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is offline
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Originally Posted by Rain Man View Post
I'm running the numbers based on the point spreads, and here are our odds of playing each divisional-round possibility.



Just figured I'd share this.


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Old 01-14-2022, 01:51 AM   #15
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Okay, it's fixed now and we're back in business. Big changes occur when you take into account that we're not the #1 seed.
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