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Old 12-02-2014, 08:04 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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The way I understand the playoff picture...
This Arizona game is a gravy game. It's not critical to our chances at a playoff spot, but it would really help.

Due to our losses the past two weeks, we need to get to ten wins, and we need to run up the conference win record. I've been noodling down about a dozen scenarios, and the Chiefs must beat Oakland, Pittsburgh, and San Diego to get to 8-4 in AFC play, which would make the Chiefs virtually tie-breaker proof against any AFC wild card team.

Those wins get us to 10-5, and we can honestly drop the Arizona game at that point. 11-5 gets us in, of course, but 10-6 with wins over the Dolphins and Steelers almost guarantees we're in.

The Browns are imploding, the Chargers are hitting a buzzsaw of games at the end of their season. I expect both of them to fade to 9-7 or worse (I have them both at 8-8), which puts them out of contention.

The Ravens, more than anybody, have been bolstered by slaughtering cupcakes in the NFCS. The Ravens are 7-5 with a game in Miami this week that will likely be their version of KC-Pittsburgh, and three winnable games to close out the season. That's probably a 10-6 record. A 10-6 Chiefs team has a very easy tie-breaker with them because our conference record will have trounced theirs.

The most obvious threats here are the Bengals, the Dolphins, and the Steelers. Beating the Steelers mean we have any tie-breaker you want over two of those teams. And I think the Bengals are waltzing to the AFCN title.

This is a bit jumbled, but there's virtually no world where we lose to Oakland, Pittsburgh, and/or San Diego and survive to the postseason. But we can lose against the Cards and still comfortably get there by winning all three.
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:32 AM   #16
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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WELL IT'S BEEN FUN.

THANKS FOR THE FEEDBACK EVERYBODY.

HAVE A GREAT TUESDAY.
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:33 AM   #17
Simply Red Simply Red is offline
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I said in another thread. Even though we are currently in th 6th seed. It will go to someone in the afcn in the end. Chiefs blew it with the Oakland loss. Which shows they are not playoff ready and the lines seem to get softer each week.
I thought Miami's win last night knocked us out of 'current consideration' - no...?
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:34 AM   #18
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Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
WELL IT'S BEEN FUN.

THANKS FOR THE FEEDBACK EVERYBODY.

HAVE A GREAT TUESDAY.
Because we are the Chiefs.

Never forget that.

Doom is coming.
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:35 AM   #19
Simply Red Simply Red is offline
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Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
WELL IT'S BEEN FUN.

THANKS FOR THE FEEDBACK EVERYBODY.

HAVE A GREAT TUESDAY.
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:38 AM   #20
Simply Red Simply Red is offline
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Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
WELL IT'S BEEN FUN.

THANKS FOR THE FEEDBACK EVERYBODY.

HAVE A GREAT TUESDAY.
I appreciate the optimism - really I do - but let's get down to the reality of the matter. We really have almost no shot. Especially the way this team doesn't fight. It's literally the same Chiefs we saw the last six yrs or so.
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:51 AM   #21
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I get that it's an NFC team, but they are still 9-3 and KC is on the road... at 7-5, 3rd in the division with 4 games left - I don't think there are really any gravy games.

I don't see SD losing all 4, the win at BAL was impressive and I think they can beat the Patriots. Hell, they could go 2-2 or 3-1... anything is possible.

I think KC wins @ AZ and loses @ PIT, I'd flip those 2 games, but can see both home games as a win. If SD is out, you'll have a deflated visitor and should get the win. If SD is in the hunt - look out.

The Bengals - it's hard to trust them and while PIT has been sporadic, I think they'll sweep Cincy.

Here's my revision from your list - if I messed something up, you'll let me know.

Patriots, Broncos and Colts get slots 1-3.

2. Here's how the top wild card contenders fare:

Dolphins (7-5):
vs. Baltimore L
@ NE L
vs. Vikings W
vs. Jets W
Dolphins end up 9-7.

Browns (7-5):
vs. Colts L
vs. Bengals L
@ Panthers W
@ Ravens L
Browns end up 8-8.

Steelers (7-5):
@ Cincy W
@ Falcons W
vs. Chiefs W
vs. Bengals W
Steelers end up 11-5.

Ravens (7-5):
@ Dolphins W
vs. Jags W
@ Texans W
vs. Browns W
Ravens end up 11-5.

Bengals (8-3-1):
vs. Steelers L
@ Browns W
vs. Broncos L
@ Steelers L
Bengals end up 9-6-1.

Chiefs (7-5):
@ Arizona W
vs. Oakland W
@ Steelers L
vs. Chargers W
Chiefs end up 10-6.

Chargers (8-4):
vs. Patriots W
vs. Broncos L
@ 49ers W
@ Chiefs L
Chargers end up 10-6.

So, however that works out... believe that puts PIT, Baltimore and KC in as the #6 with the sweep over SD.
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:53 AM   #22
Steron Steron is offline
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How the hell in any world will the Chiefs run D stop Bell? The Steelers game is a LOSS.
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:59 AM   #23
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Originally Posted by Steron View Post
How the hell in any world will the Chiefs run D stop Bell? The Steelers game is a LOSS.
Don't have to stop, just contain.
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Old 12-02-2014, 08:59 AM   #24
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This is the NFL. Any team can beat anybody on a given night like putrid Oakland did to us. The Chiefs made trash out of New England and made Tom Brady look like he was ready to hang em up for good. The Chiefs are as much in this still as any other team since there's about a hundred AFC teams at 7-5 right now and some of those teams are in a more precarious state than we are. WE CAN DO THIS!

Ok I'm going to go take my meds now.
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Old 12-02-2014, 09:00 AM   #25
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Originally Posted by Steron View Post
How the hell in any world will the Chiefs run D stop Bell? The Steelers game is a LOSS.
I'm shocked that so many people think this is a winnable game
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Old 12-02-2014, 09:04 AM   #26
Simply Red Simply Red is offline
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This is the NFL. Any team can beat anybody on a given night like putrid Oakland did to us. The Chiefs made trash out of New England and made Tom Brady look like he was ready to hang em up for good. The Chiefs are as much in this still as any other team since there's about a hundred AFC teams at 7-5 right now and some of those teams are in a more precarious state than we are. WE CAN DO THIS!

Ok I'm going to go take my meds now.
Be thinking of some food thread ideas to dampen the stress. The food threads seem to be a healing potion for the (yet again) disappointed fans.
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Old 12-02-2014, 09:04 AM   #27
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I'm shocked that so many people think this is a winnable game
They lost to the jets, bucs, and saints. I'm shocked people act like they are unbeatable. Sure we could lose but it's a toss up. Two teams that play very good or very bad depending on the week.
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Old 12-02-2014, 09:20 AM   #28
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Be thinking of some food thread ideas to dampen the stress. The food threads seem to be a healing potion for the (yet again) disappointed fans.
Perhaps I could interest you in my Black-Eyed Pea Humuus recipe. It's delish!
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Old 12-02-2014, 09:27 AM   #29
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Don't worry, they'll bring it to the last game against the Chargers, it'll be a lose and go home, win and get in game. It'll suck all the homers in. But just like every other time it matters, they'll piss down their leg and lose in epic fashion.
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Old 12-02-2014, 09:31 AM   #30
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I think the SD and Oakland games are very winnable. Pitt is the only team I'm worried about.

But boy does their secondary suck ass. Their CB's are so bad. Too bad we can't, um ya know....TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THAT
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