Drop rates for WRs.

[Dante84]

I know, I know... another WR thread.

But I can *never* find this stat anywhere prior to a draft, and I always want to know it, so I am dropping it here for reference. Yes, PFF is flawed, but at least someone's tracking this stat.

Career drop rates

George Pickens: 2.1%
Skyy Moore: 3.3%

Chris Olave: 4.7%
Jahan Dotson: 5.1%
Drake London: 5.7

Alec Pierce: 6.4%
Garrett Wilson: 6.8%
Justyn Ross: 7.1%
Treylon Burks: 7.4%
Jameson Williams: 7.7%
Jalen Tolbert: 8.4%

Christian Watson: 12.7% pic.twitter.com/QH1qlhHq2L

— Ben Linsey (@PFF_Linsey) April 7, 2022

[BlackOp]

I think drop rate is one of the most important statistics...great hands is an inherent trait. You either have them or you dont...Watson would be far down my board if I were a GM.

Jeudy dropped a lot passes in college...and guess what...he had a drop rate of 17.6% in 2020...which was the highest percentage of any receiver with at least 100 attempts.

Take productive WRs that catch everything...and have a good short shuttle time.

[emaw1979]

Originally Posted by BlackOp

I think drop rate is one of the most important statistics...great hands is an inherent trait. You either have them or you dont...Watson would be far down my board if I were a GM.

Jeudy dropped a lot passes in college...and guess what...he had a drop rate of 17.6% in 2020...which was the highest percentage of any receiver with at least 100 attempts.

Take productive WRs that catch everything...and have a good short shuttle time.

Watson's drop rate is a little misleading. He's thrown far fewer balls than a lot of those receivers and his primary role is a deep threat, which tends to lead to more drops compared to 10-yard-outs. His drop rate doesn't concern me at all and I agree it is one of the most important statistics.

I'm a huge Watson fan but what concerns me isn't his drops but it's he's a 5th year player (redshirt year) and will be a 23 year old rookie. Even though he plays in the most boring offense in college, I'd think his coaches would have recognized the talent and featured him a bit more.

[Couch-Potato]

I'd also point out the obvious that each of these WRs has a different QB throwing them the ball. That variable has huge implications on the outcome.

[DJ's left nut]

Originally Posted by RunKC

Not shitting on Dotson either. Just bc I like Skyy better doesn’t mean I don’t like him. I’d be happy with Dotson

Why should I like Moore over Austin? Or a half dozen other 2nd day WR prospects for that matter?

Austin's far more athletic and has worked more inside/outside during his college career.

I get the 'I don't want Austin because he's short' crowd. I disagree with them, but I understand it. But Moore's like an inch taller than Austin. And a very similar style of player, though I think Austin plays tougher than Moore does.

I just can't talk myself into Moore as this premium prospect. He's a slower Austin or shorter Pickens. He didn't test well at all, what flashes he shows on tape are largely a product of poor competition.

I don't get the Skyy Moore love at all. I don't have him among my top 10 WRs this year. There's just nothing I see that makes him more than a late 3rd selection. At best.

I'm not even a Dotson fan, but c'mon - Moore vs. Dotson is a 1st round knockout. Dotson is a FAR better prospect.

[RunKC]

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Why should I like Moore over Austin? Or a half dozen other 2nd day WR prospects for that matter?

Austin's far more athletic and has worked more inside/outside during his college career.

I get the 'I don't want Austin because he's short' crowd. I disagree with them, but I understand it. But Moore's like an inch taller than Austin. And a very similar style of player, though I think Austin plays tougher than Moore does.

I just can't talk myself into Moore as this premium prospect. He's a slower Austin or shorter Pickens. He didn't test well at all, what flashes he shows on tape are largely a product of poor competition.

I don't get the Skyy Moore love at all. I don't have him among my top 10 WRs this year. There's just nothing I see that makes him more than a late 3rd selection. At best.

I'm not even a Dotson fan, but c'mon - Moore vs. Dotson is a 1st round knockout. Dotson is a FAR better prospect.

His hands are the best in this class. His hands are over 10 inches which is likely why he’s so good. Also his drop rate is slightly more than Pickens but he got a lot more targets than Pickens so that should say something.

Dude is also an elite route runner. For someone who has only played for 3 years he sure as hell knows how to play. His feet are quick at release point and his shoulders/hips are really good at selling his routes. Watch him on tape.

Also doesn’t hurt that he’s a 4.41 guy with adequate size.

Speaking of size, you need to accept what Calvin Austin is. He’s Clyde Edwards-Elaire’s height (5’8”) and 162 lbs. Thats over 30 pounds less than Skyy Moore.

This kid isn’t lining up outside. He’ll get dismantled at the LOS. His role is probably Hardman/DAT. He’s a gadget player with a little room for some specific routes IMO. I think that’s his ceiling