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Old 02-10-2009, 11:50 PM  
aturnis aturnis is offline
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Texas busts taken in the top ten...

Someone posted a list of University of Texas players taken top 10, who all turned out to be busts. Anyone know where that was posted, or could refer me to a good source?
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:44 PM   #76
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Left tackle is one of the most important (and expensive) positions on the roster. Teams do not spend premium draft picks and high-dollar rookie contracts on players thinking "gee, it'll be okay if he fails at LT, we can just plug him in at guard". Guard is a position filled by mid- to low-round players and journeyman free agents, the highest-paid of whom don't make as much as Jake Long did last year in his rookie contract. A player drafted to play left tackle who ends up at right tackle is a disappointment. A player drafted to play left tackle who ends up at guard or anywhere else is a bust.

I'm not going to waste any more of my time arguing with someone who can't grasp that simple truth.
You are a flipping idiot. Jake Long is one of the highest paid players at any position in the NFL. Does that then mean that anyone who makes less than him is a bust if they were taken in the top 5 of the draft?

A Guard is nowhere near as important as a Left Tackle, but it's a clearly HOF worthy position. It's not a Long Snapper or a Holder or a Kicker or a Punter. Hell, I'd draft Will Shields over Tony Gonzalez right now if you gave me the chance.

If I drafted a player number 3 to be Willie Roaf and he turned out to be Will Shields, I'm laughing at the guy who drafted a player at number four to be Peyton Manning and got Ryan Leaf.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:46 PM   #77
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Originally Posted by Cyrus View Post
What about if you take OT Andre Smith this year in the top 10 and move him to LG as a rookie? And he plays like Larry Allen for the next 12 years. Would you consider him a bust then?
I'd call that a waste of a draft pick, since we drafted a left tackle in the middle of the first round last year. And he played at a high level.

A guard is not a position you spend a top-5 pick on, as I mentioned in the post you quoted.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:47 PM   #78
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You are a flipping idiot.
If you can't participate in the discussion like somebody over the age of 5, than I've got not use for you. Welcome to ignore.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:47 PM   #79
'Hamas' Jenkins 'Hamas' Jenkins is offline
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Originally Posted by Saul Good View Post
You are a flipping idiot. Jake Long is one of the highest paid players at any position in the NFL. Does that then mean that anyone who makes less than him is a bust if they were taken in the top 5 of the draft?

A Guard is nowhere near as important as a Left Tackle, but it's a clearly HOF worthy position. It's not a Long Snapper or a Holder or a Kicker or a Punter. Hell, I'd draft Will Shields over Tony Gonzalez right now if you gave me the chance.

If I drafted a player number 3 to be Willie Roaf and he turned out to be Will Shields, I'm laughing at the guy who drafted a player at number four to be Peyton Manning and got Ryan Leaf.
I'm sure Green Bay shares your sentiment, given that they could have gotten Derrick Thomas, Barry Sanders, or Deion, and went the safe route and selected Mandarich.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:49 PM   #80
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Originally Posted by Cyrus View Post
What about if you take OT Andre Smith this year in the top 10 and move him to LG as a rookie? And he plays like Larry Allen for the next 12 years. Would you consider him a bust then?
I would, I could get a productive guard that makes a fraction of what Smith makes rounds later while also getting another player in the top 5.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:50 PM   #81
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Originally Posted by keg in kc View Post
The Saints gave up the 12th pick, the 71st pick, the 107th pick, the 144th pick, the 179th pick and the 218th pick of the 1999 draft, AND the 2nd and 64th picks of the 2000 draft for Ricky Williams.

That's EIGHT picks for one player.

That's why he's not only a bust, he's one of the most monumental busts in NFL history. You can't even discuss him the same way you discuss other picks. Because a team traded their entire draft for him. You don't do that for a guy who gets suspended twice and spends a year playing in canada, a guy who only once in 9 years surpassed 1500 yards and/or 10 TDs.
What someone gave up to get a player has nothing to do with whether or not a player is a bust. Again, you don't understand the difference between busts and disappointments.

If Bill Gates buys an NFL franchise in 2010, which turns out to be an uncapped year, and he pays $10 Billion to get Matt Cassell and Matt Cassell wins him 2 Super Bowls, you would be spouting, "Cassell is a bust. For $10 billion, he should have won 811 Super Bowls." Fortunately, your stupidity would be difficult to understand, as it's difficult to enunciate while licking a window.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:50 PM   #82
'Hamas' Jenkins 'Hamas' Jenkins is offline
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It amazes me how many people still don't understand positional value. It's not superstring theory, you ****s, it's relatively simple.

The most important position on the field is QB
After that is DE and LT
After that is DT, WR, CB, RB, S, LB, and TE
Interior linemen are the least important position on the field, which is why you almost never see them go in the first round, and you never see them go in the top 10.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:57 PM   #83
Saul Good Saul Good is offline
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Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins View Post
It amazes me how many people still don't understand positional value. It's not superstring theory, you ****s, it's relatively simple.

The most important position on the field is QB
After that is DE and LT
After that is DT, WR, CB, RB, S, LB, and TE
Interior linemen are the least important position on the field, which is why you almost never see them go in the first round, and you never see them go in the top 10.
I understand positional value very clearly, and I agree with you completely. My argument is that a great NFL player can not be considered a bust regardless of where he was drafted.

I would never draft a RB in the top 5, but I wouldn't consider LaDainian Tomlinson to be a bust.

If you told me that Sanchez and Stafford were the next Leaf and Manning, but you didn't know which was which and you also said that Moreno was the next Tomlinson, I'd probably tell you to draft a QB. That's how important I think a QB is.

That doesn't mean that drafting Moreno would be a guaranteed bust, though.
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:03 PM   #84
'Hamas' Jenkins 'Hamas' Jenkins is offline
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Originally Posted by Saul Good View Post
I understand positional value very clearly, and I agree with you completely. My argument is that a great NFL player can not be considered a bust regardless of where he was drafted.

I would never draft a RB in the top 5, but I wouldn't consider LaDainian Tomlinson to be a bust.

If you told me that Sanchez and Stafford were the next Leaf and Manning, but you didn't know which was which and you also said that Moreno was the next Tomlinson, I'd probably tell you to draft a QB. That's how important I think a QB is.

That doesn't mean that drafting Moreno would be a guaranteed bust, though.
I'll put it this way:

Rather than making it a semantic argument over "bust" or not a bust, if you had to choose between Will Shields, one of the best to ever play his position, and Drew Brees, who is a premier player, but nowhere near one of the best of all time, who are you taking?

The fact of the matter is that there is absolutely no way that an interior lineman could ever play well enough to justify a top five pick. It's the same reason why you'd never give 20 million a year to a left-handed specialist in baseball. They don't have enough of an effect on the game in order to justify that draft status/monetary expenditure.
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:23 PM   #85
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I guess that Lawrence Phillips, Ryan Leaf, and Rae Carruth were also derailed by unforeseen circumstances, since they all had the physical talent to play in the league.
But none of those guys had careers cut short by injury. Billy Sims knee blew out.
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:27 PM   #86
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I'll put it this way:

Rather than making it a semantic argument over "bust" or not a bust, if you had to choose between Will Shields, one of the best to ever play his position, and Drew Brees, who is a premier player, but nowhere near one of the best of all time, who are you taking?

The fact of the matter is that there is absolutely no way that an interior lineman could ever play well enough to justify a top five pick. It's the same reason why you'd never give 20 million a year to a left-handed specialist in baseball. They don't have enough of an effect on the game in order to justify that draft status/monetary expenditure.
That's actually a pretty close choice in my book. I'd lean towards Brees, but it's about a coin flip in my book. If Brees had ever won anything, I might feel more strongly about it.

I agree that it's been an argument over semantics, but words are important. A bona fide bust is not a guy who becomes a valuable contributor to a team's success for a decade or more regardless of position.

If Shields would have been taken with a top 5 pick, the pick would not have been a bust.
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:27 PM   #87
'Hamas' Jenkins 'Hamas' Jenkins is offline
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But none of those guys had careers cut short by injury. Billy Sims knee blew out.
The argument was about Ricky Williams.
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:37 PM   #88
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96-99% of the time you wait until later rounds to draft interior o-linemen, but if you are a personnel guy that believes so-and-so is the next Larry Allen, you're not letting him go past your pick. There are exceptions.
I don't think there have been exceptions, at least not to this point in time. Steve Hutchinson was looked at as maybe the most can't-miss pure guard prospect ever. He didn't go until 17 and a lot of folks at the time argued that was too high for a guard to go (I wasn't one of them).

Any recent guard I can think of that's been drafted that high or higher (and this includes Brandon Albert) has been drafted with the intention of moving him to left tackle.

You've got to go all the way back to Chris Naole in 1997 to find an actual guard drafted higher than Hutchinson. And you've got to go all the way back to the 80s (pre salary-cap era) to find one drafted in the top-10. They just don't spend high picks on the position.
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:48 PM   #89
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Hampton was, Rogers wasnt.
mecca='good at the draft'
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:50 PM   #90
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If the argument is that Texas doesn't produce good NFL players, then you can't dismiss certain players from the discussion simply because of the round they were taken in.

Did Ross and Hampton play for the same "country club" program that all these busts played for?
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