Chiefs Late night bullshit: The path to a wild card berth.

Direckshun · 04:21 AM

The records of teams to get wildcards in the AFC of the last three years:

2013: Chiefs 11-5, Chargers 9-7

2012: Colts 11-5, Bengals 10-6

2011: Steelers 12-4, Bengals 9-7

In the last three years, 100% of the AFC teams that have finished 10-6 or better got into the playoffs, at least as Wild Cards.

In the last three years, three non-division winners finished 9-7, and only the 2011 Titans failed to secure a Wild Card berth. Zero teams with 8-8 or worse have received a WC berth.

That roughly means that if you're not winning your division in today's AFC, you've got a 0% chance to get in if you finish 8-8 or worse. Teams that finish 9-7 have a 2/3s chance of getting in. And teams that finish better than that get in 100% of the time.

The Chiefs have five games for the remainder of the season that they should definitely win:

Week 8, hosting the Rams
Week 9, hosting the Jets
Week 10, hosting the Bills
Week 12, hosting the Raiders
Week 15, visiting Oakland

With those 5 games in our pocket -- and obviously nothing is a sure thing -- that should give us a starting position of 7-2.

Which means, to get to that magical 9-7 threshold, we need two more wins. And three more wins if we want to be a sure thing.

The remaining games to get two wins from:

Week 5, visiting San Francisco
Week 7, visiting San Diego
Week 11, hosting the Seahawks
Week 13, hosting the Broncos
Week 14, visiting Arizona
Week 16, visiting Pittsburgh
Week 17, hosting the Chargers

I would hope the Chiefs could secure at least two more wins here, but I'll be damned if I know where it is.

Shit, this year's schedule is brutal.

09-30-2014, 01:35 AM	Topic Starter
Direckshun __ Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Springpatch Casino cash: $2033447	Late night bullshit: The path to a wild card berth. The records of teams to get wildcards in the AFC of the last three years: 2013: Chiefs 11-5, Chargers 9-7 2012: Colts 11-5, Bengals 10-6 2011: Steelers 12-4, Bengals 9-7 In the last three years, 100% of the AFC teams that have finished 10-6 or better got into the playoffs, at least as Wild Cards. In the last three years, three non-division winners finished 9-7, and only the 2011 Titans failed to secure a Wild Card berth. Zero teams with 8-8 or worse have received a WC berth. That roughly means that if you're not winning your division in today's AFC, you've got a 0% chance to get in if you finish 8-8 or worse. Teams that finish 9-7 have a 2/3s chance of getting in. And teams that finish better than that get in 100% of the time. The Chiefs have five games for the remainder of the season that they should definitely win: Week 8, hosting the Rams Week 9, hosting the Jets Week 10, hosting the Bills Week 12, hosting the Raiders Week 15, visiting Oakland With those 5 games in our pocket -- and obviously nothing is a sure thing -- that should give us a starting position of 7-2. Which means, to get to that magical 9-7 threshold, we need two more wins. And three more wins if we want to be a sure thing. The remaining games to get two wins from: Week 5, visiting San Francisco Week 7, visiting San Diego Week 11, hosting the Seahawks Week 13, hosting the Broncos Week 14, visiting Arizona Week 16, visiting Pittsburgh Week 17, hosting the Chargers I would hope the Chiefs could secure at least two more wins here, but I'll be damned if I know where it is. Shit, this year's schedule is brutal. Last edited by Direckshun; 09-30-2014 at 04:21 AM..
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