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View Poll Results: Which of these will happen within 50 years? Check all that apply.
A human celebrates his or her 130th birthday 37 29.13%
A mile-high skyscraper is built somewhere in the world 14 11.02%
A single war produces more than 20 million deaths 36 28.35%
A third party holds the US Presidency 36 28.35%
A U.S. president is assassinated 52 40.94%
Anti-gravity is brought into everyday use 10 7.87%
Artificial intelligence routinely conducts media interviews 23 18.11%
At least one dinosaur will be alive 10 7.87%
At least one human will have their brain transplanted into a cloned version of their own body. 17 13.39%
Brick and mortar stores will cease to be the major means of purchases in the U.S. 53 41.73%
Chiefs win a Super Bowl 79 62.20%
Cure for cancer (Late-stage survival rates > 97%) 29 22.83%
Earthquake of Magnitude 8.3 or greater strikes somewhere in the continental U.S. 73 57.48%
Evidence of a pre-Ice Age civilization is discovered 12 9.45%
Faster than light travel is achieved (human transport) 8 6.30%
Flying cars 23 18.11%
Food shortages lead to permanent ban on consumption of meat in at least one country (population > 10 million) 23 18.11%
Households manufacture all necessary goods themselves, purchasing only raw materials and plans for 3D printing 14 11.02%
Human sets foot on Mars 66 51.97%
Humans can communicate directly with at least two species of animals. 14 11.02%
Implantable computer/phone/internet devices are in 80+% of Americans 33 25.98%
Large scale nuclear bomb dropped or launched in a hostile act 40 31.50%
Major epidemic kills 10% or more of the US population 18 14.17%
Major epidemic kills 25% or more of a nation’s population (nation > 10 million people) 23 18.11%
Major meteor strike or other interplanetary event kills 1 million or more people 5 3.94%
One-world government is established 14 11.02%
Prenatal selection of certain traits will be possible for the middle class (e.g., height, nose shape, eye color) 46 36.22%
Peaceful resolution to the Israel-Arab conflicts is achieved 1 0.79%
Permanent cessation of Islamic extremism and terrorism 2 1.57%
Permanent human presence on Mars 5 3.94%
Permanent human presence on the moon 18 14.17%
Poverty is eliminated in the U.S., based on minimum standards of living that are achieved 5 3.94%
Proof of extraterrestrial life is confirmed 35 27.56%
Race is no longer an issue of conflict, contention, or policy in the U.S. 5 3.94%
Robot labor means that humans do not have to work to obtain basic needs (food, clothing, shelter) 13 10.24%
Robot labor provides household servants for the middle class (maid, butler, etc.) 26 20.47%
Small-scale radiation dirty bomb set off in hostile act 60 47.24%
Space tourism becomes a feasible option for the American middle class 33 25.98%
The US Senate OR House becomes majority female 8 6.30%
The world ends as described in the holy book of your choice 6 4.72%
Time travel to the future (more than one day) 1 0.79%
Time travel to the past (more than one day) 2 1.57%
U.S. adds at least one new state from territory that is not part of a current state 32 25.20%
U.S. is no longer the world’s most powerful nation 70 55.12%
U.S. no longer needs petroleum products as energy source 25 19.69%
U.S. splits into two or more countries 10 7.87%
None of these things will occur within 50 years. 1 0.79%
Poll fail. We will invent time travel, so the future will cease to exist. 5 3.94%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 127. You may not vote on this poll

 
 
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Old 11-26-2014, 05:25 PM   #11
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rain Man View Post
So let's go down the list. Right now, 40% think we'll have a human celebrating their 130th birthday in the next 50 years.

I voted yes. I think we've had people hit 120, so it's not that much of a stretch. However, I've also heard that life expectancy may be going down in the U.S. because of bad diets and no exercise. So it may be a small window in the short term where we have people who lived without fast food and get modern medicine, assuming no revolutionary breakthroughs.

But I voted yes primarily because I think some scientist somewhere will figure out how to slow down our cellular degeneration. I think there will be a revolutionary breakthrough. It won't help everybody, but if you're the type who lives to 100 it'll help you keep going.

Of course, the other wildcard is quality of life in China. If they continue to make strides forward, they may have big life expectancy boosts, and that doubles the pool of people who might make it to 130.

The interesting sidebar to this issue is affording to live that long. A 130 year-old person today would have likely retired shortly after World War II. That's a long time to stretch your savings. So if we can live longer, are we working longer to afford it? That's a different question in my mind. You're trying to keep people vital from ages 75 to 90 or so, as opposed to stretching out the 105 year old another 25 years.
I think we will soon be able to slow down degradation due to aging but it may not help folks who are already way old to live longer. Since the folks to make it to 130 must already be 80, I don't think this will happen.
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