Trade Down Quandry...What would you do

Alphaman · 04-04-2009, 07:16 AM

For the sake of argument, let's assume that the Lions having missed out on Jay Cutler and realizing none of the top 3 QBs will be available at #20, take Matt Stafford #1 in the draft. Let's further assume that the Rams take Jason Smith at #2.

The Chiefs are on the clock and having had trade discussions all morning long with this scenario in mind, have the following trade offers on the table for the 3rd pick in the draft. Which offer would you take or would you say no to all and draft a player

Offer #1 - Cleveland - #5 and #36 presumably to draft Aaron Curry

My analysis: Good deal for Chiefs. Since they have two 2nd round picks, they may be inclined to really go after Curry. Seahawks would likely take Monroe or Sanchez. If they take Sanchez we could probably still trade down with a team looking for an OT. If they take Monroe, we could have several options available to trade down to a team looking for Sanchez.

Offer #2 - Cincinnati - #6 and #38 presumbly to draft Eugene Monroe.

My analysis: Good deal for Chiefs, but not as good as offer #1. Monroe, Sanchez and Curry would all likely be off the board, so the Chiefs would take Crabtree, Brown or Orakpo. There wouldn't be opportunity for further trade downs.

Offer #3 - San Francisco - #10 and #43 presumably to draft Mark Sanchez.

My analysis: Good deal for Chiefs but not as good as offer #2. SF would likely have to pony up a 2nd next year or a 3rd this year to be in the discussion.

Offer #4 - Denver - #12 and #18 presumably to draft Mark Sanchez

My analysis: Good deal for Chiefs, in fact better than offer #1. However, it would give Denver the opportunity to improve themselves as well, depending on what we think of Sanchez. I'd still be inclined to truly consider this deal. deal could still be available to us if we take offer #1.

Offer #5 - Philadelphia - #21, #28 and #85 presumably to take Eugene Monroe.

My analysis: Definitely better than #2 with Cincy. 3 more picks in the top 100 would be very good for us. Still no 2nd rounder, but an extra first is good.

If I were relatively sure the Browns would take Curry, I would take offer #1, because I think I could still get offer #4 or offer #5 at the 5th pick in the draft. If not those, then other teams would jump in to try to get Sanchez or Monroe, which ever is available at #5.

04-04-2009, 07:16 AM	Topic Starter
Alphaman Veteran Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Austin, TX, USA Casino cash: $10004900	Trade Down Quandry...What would you do For the sake of argument, let's assume that the Lions having missed out on Jay Cutler and realizing none of the top 3 QBs will be available at #20, take Matt Stafford #1 in the draft. Let's further assume that the Rams take Jason Smith at #2. The Chiefs are on the clock and having had trade discussions all morning long with this scenario in mind, have the following trade offers on the table for the 3rd pick in the draft. Which offer would you take or would you say no to all and draft a player Offer #1 - Cleveland - #5 and #36 presumably to draft Aaron Curry My analysis: Good deal for Chiefs. Since they have two 2nd round picks, they may be inclined to really go after Curry. Seahawks would likely take Monroe or Sanchez. If they take Sanchez we could probably still trade down with a team looking for an OT. If they take Monroe, we could have several options available to trade down to a team looking for Sanchez. Offer #2 - Cincinnati - #6 and #38 presumbly to draft Eugene Monroe. My analysis: Good deal for Chiefs, but not as good as offer #1. Monroe, Sanchez and Curry would all likely be off the board, so the Chiefs would take Crabtree, Brown or Orakpo. There wouldn't be opportunity for further trade downs. Offer #3 - San Francisco - #10 and #43 presumably to draft Mark Sanchez. My analysis: Good deal for Chiefs but not as good as offer #2. SF would likely have to pony up a 2nd next year or a 3rd this year to be in the discussion. Offer #4 - Denver - #12 and #18 presumably to draft Mark Sanchez My analysis: Good deal for Chiefs, in fact better than offer #1. However, it would give Denver the opportunity to improve themselves as well, depending on what we think of Sanchez. I'd still be inclined to truly consider this deal. deal could still be available to us if we take offer #1. Offer #5 - Philadelphia - #21, #28 and #85 presumably to take Eugene Monroe. My analysis: Definitely better than #2 with Cincy. 3 more picks in the top 100 would be very good for us. Still no 2nd rounder, but an extra first is good. If I were relatively sure the Browns would take Curry, I would take offer #1, because I think I could still get offer #4 or offer #5 at the 5th pick in the draft. If not those, then other teams would jump in to try to get Sanchez or Monroe, which ever is available at #5.
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