Alex Smith end of season stats (what if?)

[DaWolf]

Originally Posted by pr_capone

3,500 yards - 25 TD - 10 INT - 80 QBR - 56% Completion - and all 16 games started w/no injury

Is that performance worth the two 2nd round picks KC paid?

Also... would those numbers merit a contract extension and he then gets to groom his eventual replacement?

56% completion for an "accurate" QB like Smith, let alone any QB, would be a disaster. For comparison, Matt Cassel completed 58% of his passes last year.

Smith needs to be in the low 60's for completion percentage, especially in a Reid offense. Based on what Vick and McNabb have done in Reid's system, you'd be looking at 3100 yards, 23 TD's, 11 INT's, 60% completion, and considering Vick and McNabb's injury history in Philly, plus Smith's own history, and Cassel's recent history behind this line, you're probably looking at 14 starts max for Smith.

To be worth what we paid, the bottom line will come down to did he help us win and get into the playoffs and play well in the playoffs. But if we are just basing it on stats, you'd be looking for something similar to Gannon's first year in Oakland, which is similar to the numbers above except Gannon had 700 more passing yards. Based on history and the fact that we don't have Tim Brown on this roster, I don't think hitting 3800 yards has any chance of happening...