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#211 |
MVP
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: East Jabip
Casino cash: $4593807
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87-90 wins, that glass rotation will never hold up
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Posts: 11,058
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#212 |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $-561038
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maybe, but Id still take our overall pitching over the Cubs and Brewers.
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Mahomes is not a game manager. Release the Kraken. |
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#213 |
Comfortably Numb
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Virginia
Casino cash: $2264657
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I would put the over under at 86.5. The NL Central could be brutal this year...no easy wins/series.
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Posts: 5,855
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#214 |
Diablo Negro
Join Date: Sep 2003
Casino cash: $-307338
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94 wins. Bank it. Mainly based on better defense and relief. Offense and starting pitching just needs to be on par with last season.
Didn't the bullpen give up 70 leads last season? We didn't lose all the games they lost a lead in but that's a horrendous stat. |
Posts: 74,275
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#215 | ||
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $-561038
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Brewer fans are upset that their bullpen is going to ruin their season. Pissed off at ownership for not at least attempting to fix that issue that everyone sees as their weakness. We all know Martizez is heading to to the bullpen when he returns. Our bullpen besides Hicks sucked most of the year, they had their moments but mostly gave up may too many leads. Martinez/Hicks/Miller/Reyes is the most talented bullpen in baseball. Period. If they perform to their talent level, and stay healthy, they will add at least 4 more wins this year.
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Mahomes is not a game manager. Release the Kraken. Last edited by BigRedChief; 03-27-2019 at 08:01 AM.. |
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Posts: 81,252
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#216 |
Rabbi Goldmann
Join Date: Nov 2012
Casino cash: $5450159
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Prospectus final
Beer makers 87 Cards 86 Red Men 80 Pilates 80 Cubbie Bears 79 mega-lollers |
Posts: 87,025
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#217 | |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $-561038
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Mahomes is not a game manager. Release the Kraken. |
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#218 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jul 2009
Casino cash: $-535936
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Lotta things are gonna have to break right for them to get above 92, hell probably even 88ish.
I don't know that I see it. They have a terrible horrible track record of signing relievers so I don't know that the bullpen will be much improved. |
Posts: 84,157
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#219 | |
Comfortably Numb
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Virginia
Casino cash: $2264657
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However you ask me to look at objective projections I think that 87 wins is pretty legit. Now I think our pitching upside exceeds that of the other teams in the division, however our floor (due to innings limitations, injuries) is lower than say the Cubs. When you see every team in the division with a legitimate shot at a .500 or better record, that is a factor you have to consider when looking at how many wins you are going to get. |
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#220 | |||
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
Casino cash: $-630901
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I don't actually disagree with the approach given the volatility of pitching, but Cubs fans have little to bitch about. It isn't as though the Cubs haven't tried damn hard to address that rotation/bullpen. Quote:
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The starting pitching has to get healthy and break right for them to do any damage. If their plan is to put 2 of the 3 most electric arms in their system in short relief roles, the organization is just as stupid as I thought it was. I'd put the over/under at 88.5 and barely take the over at 89.
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"If there's a god, he's laughing at us.....and our football team..." "When you look at something through rose colored glasses, all the red flags just look like flags." |
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#221 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jul 2009
Casino cash: $-535936
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Surely to god they know not to put Reyes in the pen longer than enough time to build up his arm, right?
Same with Martinez. |
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#222 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
Casino cash: $-630901
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He needs 65 days in the minors for the Cardinals to get back one of the years of service time they torched with 2 years of reeruned handling of him. It still burns me to no end that Mozeliak didn't just take him of the 60 day, option him to Memphis and let him pitch there. By 'saving' a 40 man spot to protect someone they didn't need anyway, they kept him on the 25 man roster while he rehabbed and then when he got injured he burned yet ANOTHER season of MLB service time. He's ripped through 2+ years of cheap service time while rehabbing injuries that he shouldn't have even been on the damn MLB roster for. At least option his ass back down and get one of those back by only using about 60% of a season this year. Now you still have 4 years of control when the season is done. It's what they should've done last season coming off his previous injury to ensure they still had 5 at the beginning of this year and then they could've used him to their heart's content. But Mozeliak is functionally reeruned so this won't happen. Reyes is headed right down the Alan Benes path of being ground to hamburger and/or otherwise completely wasted.
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"If there's a god, he's laughing at us.....and our football team..." "When you look at something through rose colored glasses, all the red flags just look like flags." |
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#223 | |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $-561038
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Also hoping the plan is......After the All-Star break go down to AAA and get stretched out to start a playoff game. Like DJ said, Reyes in the bullpen is a waste of talent. Now Martinez obviously has problems with focusing. Maybe he has severe ADD or some other issue thats not publicly disclosed but whatever it is, when he is focused he can be one of the most dominate pitchers in baseball. When he's not, he's below average. Because of his mental approach on the mound, maybe the bullpen is the right spot for him. Same issue we have with Carp batting lead off. For whatever reason, we have to bat him lead-off if we want that high level production.
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Mahomes is not a game manager. Release the Kraken. |
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#224 | |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $-561038
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No idea if true or not, it was a podcast.
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#225 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
Casino cash: $-630901
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Quote:
All signing a major league contract earlier in your career does is force teams to start burning up your options immediately (that's what happened with Drew). It forces teams to give guys a shot a little earlier which increases their earning potentially immensely when they get through their 6 years for FA. We know Reyes didn't sign a Major League contract when he first came into the Cardinals organization because we can confirm that he still has all 3 option years intact. So that path is irrelevant. So if he has options, he can be sent down. If he can be sent down, he won't accumulate major league service time and if he doesn't accumulate the requisite 6 years of major league service time he CANNOT be a major league free agent. The only thing that could change that is a contract similar to what Mikolas or Cespedes signed where the team that signed him is contractually prohibited from tendering him a salary when he is arbitration eligible. Mikolas, by rule, shouldn't have been a FA after this season but because his deal with the Cardinals prohibited them from offering him a tender, he'd have been a FA anyway. Oh was the same way. Reyes, as an amateur FA, could've never negotiated a deal like that and if he did we'd have damn sure known about it before now because he's already burned 2 of his 3 pre-arb seasons and would theoretically be in his FA season this year. Whoever said that is just flat-ass wrong and if it were accurate, you wouldn't see someone like Vlad Jr having his service time ****ed with right now. Or Eloy Jimenez. Or Acuna last season. All of those guys were much more highly regarded prospects when signed than Reyes was. They're just wrong. The best argument they can make is a technical one -that INJURY can't stop it. That's technically right for any player. It's right for all MLB players regardless of contract. But that's not my point - my point is that you're not citing injury here. You're expressly taking him off the 60 day. You're saying he's sound but that he needs to go to the minors to be stretched out. The Cardinals actually believed that last season. They kept him on the 60 day DL as a roster mechanism to avoid having to clear the additional 40 man spot. But they didn't believe he was still hurt. They could've taken him off the 60 day, activated him to the 40 man and then simply used an option year to 'stretch him out to start'. That has absolutely nothing to do with injury and he'd have no grounds to contest a service time issue. And then when he would've gotten hurt down there he'd have already been optioned off the 25 man so his service time wouldn't have continued to run while in the minors. The Cardinals had a clear path here but they ****ed up.
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