***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by O.city

That's the hope atleast. It would make some sense as it's the normal progression for viruses.

That would also change on how to deal with it.

[O.city]

Originally Posted by Monticore

That would also change on how to deal with it.

For sure.

I'm hopeful on it.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

https://www.dailywire.com/news/shock...ign=benshapiro

Will the cure be worse?

The*New York Times reports*that the United States Chamber of Commerce estimates “more than 40 percent of the nation’s 30 million small businesses could close permanently in the next six months” — a statistic entirely attributable to the coronavirus pandemic and ensuing lockdowns.

So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.

[dirk digler]

Originally Posted by O.city

That's the hope atleast. It would make some sense as it's the normal progression for viruses.

Could we get that lucky? I might cut my right nut off for that.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by O.city

For sure.

I'm hopeful on it.

Would lockdowns downs help it die out sooner or the Sweden model that I am not sure.

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by Monticore

So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.

Interesting observation.

[IowaHawkeyeChief]

Originally Posted by Monticore

Wrong spelling, sorry used to writing the one way more than the other.

Some parts are extremely busy and some are not , unfortunately not all departments are qualified to deal with these patients, and the amount of patients in a hospital doesn’t always tell the true story, dealing with 1 covid patient might need a lot more resources and time , than dealing with a broken leg.

I was just giving you some crap... I added the

[stumppy]

Originally Posted by Monticore

So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.

There's also something else they have in common. A little reading in CPDC will tell you what it is.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by IowaHawkeyeChief

I was just giving you some crap... I added the

To be honest I have no clue what most of the emogies mean lol, I had a flip phone untill a few years ago .

[BigCatDaddy]

Originally Posted by Monticore

So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.

I give up with you dipshits.

Ok..Sure, lets shut shit down for months and every thing will be the way it was right away. Lets go with that. JFC

I see why DJ left this cesspool thread.

[O.city]

Originally Posted by dirk digler

Could we get that lucky? I might cut my right nut off for that.

Originally Posted by Monticore

Would lockdowns downs help it die out sooner or the Sweden model that I am not sure.

I would think the more chances it has to spread the more chances for mRNA to **** it up. But that's not scientific at all.

[loochy]

Originally Posted by Monticore

So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.

That's quite a zinger. (really, it is. I'm not being sarcastic)

[IowaHawkeyeChief]

Originally Posted by Monticore

Would lockdowns downs help it die out sooner or the Sweden model that I am not sure.

I have been reading the Imperial College Model which is said to be the main reason for the "lockdown" in Mid March. They predicted 2.2 million deaths in the US without mitigation, a 50% reductions with partial mitigation, and 65% with full mitigation for 12-18 months. Obviously they were wrong early. They also did a 3-5 month mitigation, with schools closed and social isolation as we have done in the US. This is a quote from the model:

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imp...9-Report-9.pdf

Once interventions are relaxed (in the example in Figure 3, from September onwards), infections begin to rise, resulting in a predicted peak epidemic later in the year. The more successful a strategy is at temporary suppression, the larger the later epidemic is predicted to be in the absence of vaccination, due to lesser build-up of herd immunity.

This is why I am leaning Sweden as this virus is here, and absence a vaccine, will touch every corner.

[O.city]

If you can get the infections low enough, you can test and trace out which would allow you to reopen the economy.

[BWillie]

New York with 11,571 new Covid cases on April 15th. Yesterday they had 2,538.

New Jersey 4,287 new cases on April 15th. Yesterday they had 1,525.

Connecticut with 2,109 cases on April 15th. Yesterday 523.

The east coast hot spot was where the majority of new cases so this is very encouraging. The rest of the country as a whole is going up a little it seems but I'm encouraged by seeing more and more people wearing masks wherever I go.