Who are you betting on this weekend?

[diqlix]

Originally Posted by Megatron96

Not sure why you would say that. I certainly have never said that, especially about CP. The fact is that most fans tend to look at overall numbers, or total statlines, much as you did when you first came here, when you declared that the Chiefs defense was ranked last against the run last season, when in fact in the last six games of the regular season they had significantly improved their run defense to where they were actually a top-10 run stopping unit from week 11-17. Which they improved upon in the playoffs.

Which I find puzzling when you keep saying that you're studying stats, and no self-respecting stats guy would lean on such general data to analyze current trends. I never majored in stats, but I took several classes in college, and I know better than that. They must be teaching stats differently nowadays.




Yeah, IND has had some injury issues late in the season, including Buckner being out a couple games or something, and one or two of their secondary players dealing with injuries.

However, I believe Buckner will play this weekend, and he's integral to their DL and its ability to get pressure. What he'll actually be able to do is a question though.

Their secondary might be in trouble though. We could see blown coverages and bad communication as their DB unit stands right now.

The most important piece of their defense though is that DL and its ability to rush the passer. If they can do that, they can force Josh to have to be disciplined about how he QBs vs. pressure. They'd also have to make sure they take away Diggs of course, but if they can do it with some consistency that could be a problem for Allen, since he hasn't shown that he can deal with that situation at a high level.

Also, I'm pretty sure Prisco made an error in his math. But for this conversation I don't think we need to dig into that.

That’s the other weird thing.

They’re pretty low on the sacks list for a top D-line.

My honest thinking is that Chiefs fans overrate the Colts because of how they’ve beaten them.

Because the stats & facts don’t seem to mesh with how highly Chiefs fans think of them.

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by daquix

That’s the other weird thing.

They’re pretty low on the sacks list for a top D-line.

My honest thinking is that Chiefs fans overrate the Colts because of how they’ve beaten them.

Because the stats & facts don’t seem to mesh with how highly Chiefs fans think of them.

They don't blitz much. In fact, they have one of the lowest blitz percentages in the league. They do get a very high number of pressures/QB hits though. And sacks aren't an indicator of how the rush affects the passer. As we saw in the Chiefs/Bills game earlier this year. Showing pressure and creating chaos along the OL is all that's necessary to effect the passer.

As for how Chiefs view the Colts, i can't speak for everyone else on CP. I know I'm not scared of IND, but we've seen them often enough in the last three seasons(?) to have a pretty good idea of what they bring defensively. They have a core of very good players, and a DC that is one of the better defensive minds in the game. They're pretty well coached and they have stars sprinkled throughout their front and at LB.

But I think they're starting CB Ya-Sin is OUT for this game, which is a pretty big hole for them.

[mililo4cpa]

Originally Posted by daquix

That’s the other weird thing.

They’re pretty low on the sacks list for a top D-line.

My honest thinking is that Chiefs fans overrate the Colts because of how they’ve beaten them.

Because the stats & facts don’t seem to mesh with how highly Chiefs fans think of them.

More "Einstein" logic I see.....

Their isn't one Chiefs fan that I know that doesn't scratch their head at how the Colts beat us.....nobody is overrating the Colts. Most are pretty pissed that we lost that game, even given the loads of injuries. Personally, I don't like using injuries as an excuse, so I don't say that.....we should have beaten them anyways....