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Old 12-31-2023, 06:26 PM  
mr. tegu mr. tegu is offline
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First round opponent scenarios
We are locked into the 3 seed so what are the scenarios for the wild card game? Who do we want to play?
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Old 01-01-2024, 08:00 AM   #121
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I actually believe this in my heart, and pray to God it's true
You can tell this is the first year that Kelce had to fight through. He really had to struggle and force himself through every game. All the injuries you've pushed through are back. The aches and pains of a decade of football.

Now it's productive. Now he can just let go and give it his all. This is what he's been saving himself for...
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Old 01-01-2024, 08:03 AM   #122
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That scenario would be winner of Colts Texans
Give us the Colts, the Dolphins, and the Ravens. I want all your dragons. Let's do this the hard way and grin through it...
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Old 01-01-2024, 08:21 AM   #123
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By my reckoning Bills will either be 2 seed or eliminated next week. Chiefs locked in at 3 can kick back in LA
They are only eliminated if Pit beats Bal and Jax beats Ten and the Bills lose.
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Old 01-01-2024, 08:32 AM   #124
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They are only eliminated if Pit beats Bal and Jax beats Ten and the Bills lose.
Jacksonville beating Tennessee is pretty darn likely. The Titans have packed it in and have nothing for which to play.

If Baltimore rests any starters - or if it pulls them after halftime, say - Pittsburgh has a great shot to win that game, too.

Comes down to whether the Dolphins have enough in them to win a game in Southern heat against a cold-weather team. I actually think they do, if Tagavailoa plays.

A worse Dolphins team took a better Bills team to the wire last year.
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Old 01-01-2024, 08:48 AM   #125
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Jacksonville beating Tennessee is pretty darn likely. The Titans have packed it in and have nothing for which to play.

If Baltimore rests any starters - or if it pulls them after halftime, say - Pittsburgh has a great shot to win that game, too.

Comes down to whether the Dolphins have enough in them to win a game in Southern heat against a cold-weather team. I actually think they do, if Tagavailoa plays.

A worse Dolphins team took a better Bills team to the wire last year.
I think Baltimore will rest all of their key starters for the entire game, and the rest will play a quarter at best. Jacksonville will be playing to win obviously, but don’t know if Lawrence will be back next week or not. It’s actually been “cold” the last week in Florida with highs in the 60’s and it looks like it will be the same next week. Still give Miami a good shot next week, without Chubb. Would love to see Buffalo miss the playoffs.
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:05 AM   #126
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I think Baltimore will rest all of their key starters for the entire game, and the rest will play a quarter at best. Jacksonville will be playing to win obviously, but don’t know if Lawrence will be back next week or not. It’s actually been “cold” the last week in Florida with highs in the 60’s and it looks like it will be the same next week. Still give Miami a good shot next week, without Chubb. Would love to see Buffalo miss the playoffs.
The Titans got smoked without Levis yesterday. There's no reason to bring him back for this game against JAX, and no real reason to play Hopkins or Henry, either.

And Vrabel is smart and cut-throat enough to be cool with losing this one to improve draft position. They're 5-11 right now, as are the Chargers and Giants. There are three 4-12 teams ahead of them. There's a 6-10 team behind them.

If the Titans lose and sit at 5-12, there's a chance they could move up a few spots (Chargers win as KC rests key players? Cardinals continue their momentum and beat Seahawks? Pats beat Jets - you know Belichick isn't going to roll over for them? Giants beat Eagles - I mean, unlikely, but the Eagles did just lose to the Cardinals).
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:08 AM   #127
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Rooting for a Buffalo @ Baltimore or Cleveland @ Baltimore divisional round. If Josh Allen has an A game he could come out of there with a win. Browns are a divisional opponenet and would give the Ravens all they could handle would be an extremely physical game.
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:18 AM   #128
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Miami’s been good at home all year and the Bills suck on the road. I think Miami has a good shot.

This might actually be setting up well for the Chiefs. Solid chance they’ll host a very beatable Colts team in the first round, before either traveling to play a beatable and banged up Miami team or hosting Cleveland or Jax.
Their home opponents have a .33 winning percentage not including Dallas and still only .375 including them. The road teams have a far more respectable .473 (the Chiefs aren't included in either of those).

I think beating Dallas at home could be more of a product of the Cowboys being 3-5 on the road, as they also lost to the Cardinals on the road and got curbstomped to both the 49ers and Bills on the road.

I don't know what the hell to think of the Bills right now, but don't want to find out in the playoffs (and it would be epic if both the Bills and Bengals missed the playoffs this year). I wouldn't say they're playing all that well, but unlike so many other teams right now, they're winning games.... definitely wouldn't put it past the Bills to **** it up though, since they'll be thinking of it as a playoff game and the last time that happened against the Dolphins they almost lost to a dude named Skylar.
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:27 AM   #129
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Their home opponents have a .33 winning percentage not including Dallas and still only .375 including them. The road teams have a far more respectable .473 (the Chiefs aren't included in either of those).

I think beating Dallas at home could be more of a product of the Cowboys being 3-5 on the road, as they also lost to the Cardinals on the road and got curbstomped to both the 49ers and Bills on the road.

I don't know what the hell to think of the Bills right now, but don't want to find out in the playoffs (and it would be epic if both the Bills and Bengals missed the playoffs this year). I wouldn't say they're playing all that well, but unlike so many other teams right now, they're winning games.... definitely wouldn't put it past the Bills to **** it up though, since they'll be thinking of it as a playoff game and the last time that happened against the Dolphins they almost lost to a dude named Skylar.
Bills would have lost at home yesterday to even a credible team. Bailey Zappe gifted them that one.
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:29 AM   #130
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Our team is hardnosed as hell and they are soft as a New Years morning shit.
did you look in my toilet
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:36 AM   #131
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Cleveland is a very dangerous team.

Whoever draws them the first round is going to have problems.
Yeah I'd much rather play any of our possible scenarios than the Browns.
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:41 AM   #132
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Yeah I'd much rather play any of our possible scenarios than the Browns.
I think it’d take at least a couple really weird upsets for us to play the Browns in the playoffs. They aren’t even on my radar.
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:55 AM   #133
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I think it’d take at least a couple really weird upsets for us to play the Browns in the playoffs. They aren’t even on my radar.
I don't think we have any probability of playing them at this point do we?
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Old 01-01-2024, 09:58 AM   #134
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I don't think we have any probability of playing them at this point do we?

We can play them in the second round or in the AFC championship.
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Old 01-01-2024, 10:03 AM   #135
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I don't think we have any probability of playing them at this point do we?
I’m no statistician but we’ve probably got the lowest probability of playing the Browns this postseason, yeah.

Either the Browns or Ravens. The Ravens more so because we’d likely have to win two games just to meet them in the Championship game.
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