Super Bowl 58 Mic'd Up

[ChiTown]

Originally Posted by DaFace

While true, it's not as clear-cut as everyone's acting like it is. Everyone's using logic based on college rules, which works to some extent, but in the NFL's version, it becomes sudden death after both teams have touched the ball. So, for example, if the 9ers kicked a FG and they held the Chiefs to a FG, the 9ers would just need one more FG to win it.

We don't have any historical data to get a feel for the actual probabilities, but it's likely gonna be somewhere between 40-60% probabilities for either approach. I still think kicking is the way to go, but it's not the 30-70% variation people are acting like it is.

At first, I thought they were crazy AF to take the ball. However, if you look at it from the perspective that they had just finished the game in regulation playing D on a drive they stopped inside their 10, they probably figured their D was physically cashed, and they wanted to give them more time to rest up. I'm not sure they'd admit to that, but I bet it went into the decision making. And honestly, the only part of their team in OT that still looked somewhat fresh was (remarkably) their DL. That back 7 looked physically smoked.

It's never a good idea to give the other team, especially Mahomes, the luxury of another down if the need it. But, I get what they may have been thinking.