Top 5 Pick Success Rate

[SenselessChiefsFan]

Originally Posted by arc

To be intellectually honest, he should have broken the percentages down in all areas of the draft, too. Who's to say that the top 5 isn't the safest spot to get a QB, percentage-wise, than anywhere else in the draft, despite the low number?

Top five should be safest spot in the draft to pick ANY position. It is when you have your pick of everyone in the draft class. The percentages would go down with any position as you drop in the draft.

[DaKCMan AP]

Originally Posted by SensibleChiefsfan

Top five should be safest spot in the draft to pick ANY position. It is when you have your pick of everyone in the draft class. The percentages would go down with any position as you drop in the draft.

Some positions drop off at a higher rate than others.

[SenselessChiefsFan]

Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP

Some positions drop off at a higher rate than others.

The other part of this is that there is MORE opportunity for nearly every other position than QB.

There is only one starting QB in the NFL.

Guys get better with experience and a QB doesn't get on the field unless he is the best QB on the roster.

A WR gets on the field as the fourth best WR. A linebacker can get playing time on special teams and situational defense. An OT, may move to guard.

The third or fourth corner would get time on the field. The third or fourth safety can get time on the field.

That is why, to ME, experience in college is a very important piece of the QB picture. Mainly, it will be very tough for that QB to overcome a lack of experience in the NFL.

Because it is very hard to get a QB experience when he gets to the NFL if he isn't ready.

['Hamas' Jenkins]

Originally Posted by SensibleChiefsfan

The other part of this is that there is MORE opportunity for nearly every other position than QB.

There is only one starting QB in the NFL.

Guys get better with experience and a QB doesn't get on the field unless he is the best QB on the roster.

A WR gets on the field as the fourth best WR. A linebacker can get playing time on special teams and situational defense. An OT, may move to guard.

The third or fourth corner would get time on the field. The third or fourth safety can get time on the field.

That is why, to ME, experience in college is a very important piece of the QB picture. Mainly, it will be very tough for that QB to overcome a lack of experience in the NFL.

Because it is very hard to get a QB experience when he gets to the NFL if he isn't ready.

No one is debating any of that, with the exception of the last part of your post....yeah, it's difficult to get him in-game, on-field exp., but that doesn't mean that film study and working with the 2nd and 3rd teams offer no benefits. If they didn't, teams would just throw rookies to the wolves.

With regards to the first, the lack of good QBs and the difficulty in finding one is precisely why we are arguing for one of these two quarterbacks. They have all the tools that you could want for a franchise signal caller, and since we all lack precognition, we're going to have to take a leap of faith that they will work out at the NFL level, because going on what we know, they have the skillset that very few other people on this earth do.

[SenselessChiefsFan]

Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins

No one is debating any of that, with the exception of the last part of your post....yeah, it's difficult to get him in-game, on-field exp., but that doesn't mean that film study and working with the 2nd and 3rd teams offer no benefits. If they didn't, teams would just throw rookies to the wolves.

With regards to the first, the lack of good QBs and the difficulty in finding one is precisely why we are arguing for one of these two quarterbacks. They have all the tools that you could want for a franchise signal caller, and since we all lack precognition, we're going to have to take a leap of faith that they will work out at the NFL level, because going on what we know, they have the skillset that very few other people on this earth do.

Um...no. Sanchez is 6'2" with an above average arm.

Sanchez will just be further behind the eight ball than even most junior QB's. He has to get experience, practice will only do so much. And then the point is can you get him that experience without killing his confidence.

[htismaqe]

Originally Posted by SensibleChiefsfan

Um...no. Sanchez is 6'2" with an above average arm.

Sanchez will just be further behind the eight ball than even most junior QB's. He has to get experience, practice will only do so much. And then the point is can you get him that experience without killing his confidence.

I don't think I buy that argument.

I'm of the opinion that these guys either have it or they don't.

But that's just a gut feeling at this point in time. Just like my feelings on both Stafford and Sanchez, it will change by this time tomorrow.

What a screwed up draft to be picking #3.

[Frosty]

Originally Posted by SensibleChiefsfan

Top five should be safest spot in the draft to pick ANY position. It is when you have your pick of everyone in the draft class. The percentages would go down with any position as you drop in the draft.

Which is exactly what I was implying. Just because the number is low (29% or whatever) doesn't mean it isn't much worse later.

[SenselessChiefsFan]

Originally Posted by arc

Which is exactly what I was implying. Just because the number is low (29% or whatever) doesn't mean it isn't much worse later.

To me, that is just logic. It is worse for all positions.

The risk is also much less.

[Frosty]

Originally Posted by SensibleChiefsfan

The risk is also much less.

The reward can be considerably less, too. Personally, I'm not wanting "just a QB".