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Old 04-13-2009, 07:18 AM  
Amnorix Amnorix is offline
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History of Trade Value of #3 Pick

Patriots fans are lucky enough to have two truly superb amateur NFL observers -- AdamTJ and Miguel.

Miguel is a salary cap guru, and Adam is a general guru. Adam runs a blog, and recently posted the trade history of all NFL draft picks since 1992.

http://adamjt13.blogspot.com/

What has teh #3 pick garnered in the past, you ask?

In 1997 the #3 and 63 picks got back the 11, 41, 70 and 100th pciks

In 2000 the 3 got back the 12, 24, 119 and 154.

Not sure just how useful it is in light of the fact that the economic value of the top 5 picks has become fairly prohibitive, and the "most recent" data goes back to when Clinton was still President....
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Old 04-13-2009, 03:48 PM   #16
SenselessChiefsFan SenselessChiefsFan is offline
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The thing about them automatically being a top 5 paid player is why you take a player at a position that warrants the contract.
I think picking the player that is worth the contract is much more important than the position.

I think the team needs to worry about the talent and the player before the position.

There are no hard fast rules when it comes to the draft.
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Old 04-13-2009, 03:49 PM   #17
Mecca Mecca is offline
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You do realize most smart teams have a list of how much money they are willing to pay each position...you place value on positions with dollars.

Which is why you never see several positions get drafted high.
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Old 04-13-2009, 04:00 PM   #18
SenselessChiefsFan SenselessChiefsFan is offline
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You do realize most smart teams have a list of how much money they are willing to pay each position...you place value on positions with dollars.

Which is why you never see several positions get drafted high.
Money isn't the only factor. Many positions have historically not been drafted high. Back when the money wasn't an issue. It is opportunity cost.

And, I do realize that teams consider the financial commitment at each position, but most don't make their decisions primarily on that.

As I said, there are no hard fast rules in the draft.

If there were a kicker that was litterally 100% in college, every kickoff was a touchback beyond the end zone, and legitamitely could hit 90% of their field goals from 80 yards.... he would be worth the first overall pick.

I know this is a ridiculous example, but it would have to be for a kicker to be worth the #1 pick.

Every team has a guide about what they want to spend, what they value the most, what they are looking for, but it is a sliding scale... few, if any hard fast rules.
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Old 04-14-2009, 09:57 AM   #19
AdamJT13 AdamJT13 is offline
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Originally Posted by Amnorix View Post
Patriots fans are lucky enough to have two truly superb amateur NFL observers -- AdamTJ and Miguel.
Just to clarify, I'm not a Patriots fan, I'm a Cowboys fan. I've posted some stuff on a Patriots message board, but I'm by no means a fan of the Patriots. I read a lot of other teams' message boards and occasionally post on them.
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