CMU QB Dan LeFevour says he has had in-depth talks w/ Chiefs

[patteeu]

Originally Posted by HMc

QB Round

B R'Burger 1
E Manning 1
P Manning 1
T Brady 6
B Johnson 9
T Dilfer 1
K Warner n/a
J Elway 1
B Favre 2
T Aikman 1?
S Young 1?
M Rypien 6
J Hostetler 3
J Montana 3
D Williams 1
P Simms 1
J McMahon 1
J Plunkett 1
J Theismann 4
T Bradshaw 1
R Staubach 10
K Stabler 2
B Griese 1
J Unitas 9
L Dawson 1
J Namath 1
B Starr 17

1: 15 Everything else : 11

So the first round has produced almost 40% more SB winning QBs than all the other rounds put together. I'd say the odds of striking gold in round 6 are fairly slim.

Drafting a QB in the first round is high reward, but it's also high risk. Chris Meck gave us a taste of the busts that came from drafting first round QBs. Other busts include JaMarcus Russell, Matt Leinart, JP Losman, Kyle Boller, Rex Grossman, Patrick Ramsey, Tim Couch, Akili Smith, and on and on. When you miss on a 4th rounder, it's no big deal, when you draft JaMarcus Russell, you've married your franchise to a lodestone that's going to drag you down for years.

I'm all for drafting a 1st round QB if you're in a position to do it, you have a reasonable need and you're fairly confident he's the guy. But we've already got a QB who our braintrust seems to think has potential and it's not clear to me that there's a Ben Rothlisberger in this draft, much less a Peyton Manning. Under those circumstances, I think you pass on a 1st round QB, but take a flyer on a later round guy to keep a pipeline of fresh prospects flowing through your franchise so you have a shot at finding the next Montana, Theisman, Brady, Hasselbeck, Gannon, or Warner. When you lose confidence in your main guy (i.e. Cassel), then think about drafting a QB in the first or trading for a guy you like from some other roster.